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GASO

Georgia Southern 24 at Texas State 45

TXST
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:36 · Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense+18.7Score differential+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6Garbage-time factor+4.3Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:45: TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +7.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:46: TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +10.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:04: Mason Shipley 31 yd FG GOOD — TXST win probability +3.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:42: TJ Finley run for 16 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +8.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:52: TJ Finley run for 12 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +5.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:09GASO 4th & 4 at TXST 11, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:44TXST 4th & 2 at GASO 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:27GASO 4th & 5 at TXST 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:04TXST 4th & 6 at GASO 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:28GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:36GASO 4th & 2 at TXST 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−2.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:14GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:24TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:32TXST 4th & 12 at TXST 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:45TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:36GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:45TXST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:46TXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:42TXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:52TXST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:34TXST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:25GASO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:40GASO Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1552% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
51.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 12 yds to the TXST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
51.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the TXST 41Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-1
52.0%
TJ Finley sacked by Marques Watson-Trent for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 40Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+37
51.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 37 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
53.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 23 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2347% → 47%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
52.6%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the TXST 11Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
52.6%
Davis Brin run for no gain to the TXST 11Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
52.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
52.6%
Michael Lantz 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3FUMBLE
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:2853% → 55%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
52.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 20 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
53.3%
Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+14
53.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
53.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+6
53.3%
Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
53.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the GASO 20Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+13
53.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete short middle to Hawkins,Ashtyn, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GS Pass Interference (Hickman,Damel) 13 yards from GS20 to GS07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
53.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 3 yds to the GASO 4Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
53.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 3 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+20
55.1%
TJ Finley rush for no gain to the GS07, fumbled by TJ Finley at GS07 recovered by GS Isaac Walker,at GS27, Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:0546% → 49%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
54.2%
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.9%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
54.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 1 yd to the GASO 38Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+13
54.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 13 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
52.8%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the TXST 31Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-8
52.7%
Davis Brin sacked by Ben Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the TXST 39 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by GASO Davis Brin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+39
51.4%
Jalen White run for 39 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:5150% → 59%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 26Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
49.7%
TJ Finley sacked by Justin Rhodes for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 19Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+11
49.2%
Ismail Mahdi run for 11 yds to the TXST 30Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
48.7%
O'Kelly,Seamus punt 37 yards to the GS33 Hood,Khaleb return 3 yards to the GS36 (Ortega-Jones,Julian; Culp,Kaleb) PENALTY GS Running Into The Kicker (Thompson,Joshua) 5 yards from TXST30 to TXST35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
49.5%
Donerio Davenport run for 14 yds to the TXST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
50.8%
Donerio Davenport run for 2 yds to the TXST 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+6
49.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 6 yds to the TXST 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+9
49.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 9 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+4
50.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
51.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 11 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
51.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn HawkinsSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
51.8%
Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+17
51.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 17 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for no gain to the GASO 7Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
51.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 3Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:1843% → 43%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.4%
Jalen White run for 13 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
56.3%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+10
55.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.1%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the TXST 45Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
55.2%
Davis Brin sacked by Chance Main for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 47Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+7
56.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the TXST 40Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
56.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:4161% → 73%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
61.1%
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 41Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+37
60.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 37 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
62.1%
Ashtyn Hawkins run for 2 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+14
61.9%
Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the GASO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
62.1%
TJ Finley run for 2 yds to the GASO 8Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
73.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.9%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3578% → 82%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
78.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 19 yds to the GASO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
75.3%
TJ Finley sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 20Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
79.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kole WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+7
79.0%
TJ Finley run for 7 yds to the GASO 13Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
81.7%
Mason Shipley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3620% → 19%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
79.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+30
81.5%
punt blocked by Kenny Haynes, punt out-of-bounds at the TXST 40 blocked by Kenny HaynesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:4683% → 92%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
83.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the TXST 46Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
83.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 2 yds to the TXST 48Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
82.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+32
83.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 17 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, Tripping (Marc Stampley II) to the GASO 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.2%
TJ Finley run for 16 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
90.5%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1811% → 10%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 24Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
89.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
88.7%
PENALTY GS False Start (Broadway,Bryson) 5 yards from GS34 to GS29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+24
89.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 24 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Joshua ThompsonSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
88.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the TXST 39Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
88.1%
Jalen White run for no gain to the TXST 39Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
90.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:4493% → 98%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
92.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the TXST 45Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+26
92.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 26 yds to the GASO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
92.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Beau Corrales for 17 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
92.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.4%
TJ Finley run for 12 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:322% → 1%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.5%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 21Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
98.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 4 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
98.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
98.4%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Davis Brin) to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:4099% → 100%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.0%
Donerio Davenport run for 6 yds to the TXST 32Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
99.0%
Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the TXST 33Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
99.2%
Donerio Davenport run for 12 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
TJ Finley run for no gain to the TXST 45Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.2%
Donerio Davenport run for 15 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.3%
Donerio Davenport run for 8 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+14
99.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 14 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
99.5%
Donerio Davenport run for 13 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.5%
Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the GASO 2Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.5%
TJ Finley run for 1 yd to the GASO 1Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
99.6%
Jalen White run for 22 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.6%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
99.6%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.7%
Jalen White run for 13 yds to the TXST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 32 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Titus Lyons for 6 yds to the TXST 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the TXST 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.7%
TJ Finley run for 6 yds to the TXST 40Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:440% → 1%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
99.8%
Jalen White run for 22 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+4
99.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 4 yds to the TXST 32Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
99.8%
JC French run for 6 yds to the TXST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the TXST 18Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
99.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the TXST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.7%
PENALTY GS False Start (Strong,Chandler) 5 yards from TXST02 to TXST07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.6%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TXST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the TXST 43Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+11
99.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 11 yds to the TXST 46Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.7%
Ismail Mahdi run for 2 yds to the TXST 49Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
99.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ismail MahdiSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the TXST 49Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 10 , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GASO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FUMBLE
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.6%
Terrance Gibbs run for 9 yds to the GASO 19Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+15
99.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 15 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.5%
Terrance Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+38
99.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 38 yds to the TXST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
99.4%
Davis Brin run for 18 yds to the TXST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for no gain to the TXST 7Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.5%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the TXST 5Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the TXST 6 Davis Brin fumbled, recovered by GASO Brian Holloway No Huddle-Shotgun Brin,Davis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TXST06 fumbled by Brin,Davis at TXST07 recovered by TXST Holloway,Brian at TXST06, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
99.9%
Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST04 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 4
-1
99.9%
Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST03 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
Kneel down by Texas St. at TXST02 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:46
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 0:42
TJ Finley run for 16 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 10:45
TJ Finley pass complete to Konner Fox for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com