Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 6 at Coastal Carolina 34

CCU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:09 · Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the MRSH 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+27.6Garbage-time factor+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6Blowout margin+13.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:18: Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +3.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:40: Kade Hensley 33 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +8.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:23: Rece Verhoff 23 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +1.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:00: Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +15.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:57: Jarrett Guest pass complete to De'Andre Coleman for 27 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +7.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 10:55CCU 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25MRSH 4th & 13 at CCU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:40CCU 4th & 6 at MRSH 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−6.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:10MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23MRSH 4th & 3 at CCU 4, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03MRSH 4th & 9 at CCU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 49, down 21
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:37CCU 4th & 17 at MRSH 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:16MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:44MRSH 4th & 6 at CCU 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:22CCU 4th & 3 at MRSH 15, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:25MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 45, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09CCU 4th & 2 at MRSH 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:09MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 41, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:47CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:18CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:00CCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:57CCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:49CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:0548% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
48.3%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 39 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
48.3%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
48.3%
Marshall Penalty, off-side (Isaiah Gibson Sr.) to the MRSH 29Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-6
48.7%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kendall Karr for 9 yds to the MRSH 20 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, personal foul (Dillon Luther) to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
48.7%
Jared Brown run for 14 yds to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
48.7%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the MRSH 20Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+2
48.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the MRSH 18Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
48.7%
Reese White run for no gain to the MRSH 18Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
49.8%
Kade Hensley 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3050% → 49%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
49.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 27 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
49.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+14
49.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 14 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
49.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the CCU 27Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
49.0%
pass incomplete to Cade ConleySimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-4
49.8%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 31Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
50.7%
Rece Verhoff 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 2:0750% → 54%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
50.3%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+33
50.4%
Jarrett Guest run for 33 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
51.2%
Kyre Duplessis pass complete to Ethan Vasko for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 30Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+30
54.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:3247% → 45%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the MRSH 25Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
pass incomplete to Caleb McMillanSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 11 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.8%
pass incomplete to Caleb McMillanSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
53.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 8 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
52.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 45Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
53.0%
Marshall Penalty, delay of game (Sam Burton) to the MRSH 40Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
54.8%
John McConnell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 6:0656% → 67%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
55.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 31 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
56.7%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 9
50
-2
56.7%
Jarrett Guest run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+21
55.8%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 21 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
56.9%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
56.9%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the MRSH 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
58.5%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the MRSH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
59.1%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the MRSH 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+3
59.1%
Jared Brown run for 3 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
58.5%
pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
66.5%
Kade Hensley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3036% → 34%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 5 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
63.3%
Ethan Payne run for 5 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.5%
pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
63.6%
pass incomplete to Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
64.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 4 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+5
66.0%
John McConnell punt for 43 yds , Jared Brown returns for 5 yds to the CCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4737% → 38%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
63.5%
Jayden Harrison run for 8 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
63.5%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Talik Keaton, broken up by Tobias FletcherSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
64.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the CCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
63.5%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+2
63.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-1
64.4%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 4Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+23
62.4%
Rece Verhoff 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:2363% → 79%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
63.3%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-5
63.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, false start (Kendall Karr) to the CCU 10Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+1
63.1%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+17
62.3%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 17 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
63.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to CJ Beasley for 7 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
64.2%
pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
63.4%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Deon Fountain for 6 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
79.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:5224% → 22%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
75.7%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 18Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
77.8%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted by Courtney Eubanks at MRSH 31, Courtney Eubanks return 4 yds to MRSH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:1181% → 89%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.0%
pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
88.5%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to De'Andre Coleman for 27 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:5414% → 13%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
86.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 24 yds to the MRSH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
85.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 12 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
85.1%
Cam Fancher run for 8 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
84.1%
pass incomplete to Mason PierceSimilar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
84.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.1%
pass incomplete to Cade ConleySimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
84.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-15
85.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons Marshall Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jayden Harrison) to the CCU 41Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 24
OPP 41
+15
86.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 15 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
87.4%
Rece Verhoff 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-15
92.7%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted Coastal Carolina Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Courtney Eubanks) to the MRSH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4812% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
88.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 4 yds to the MRSH 29 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, roughing passer (JT Killen) to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
87.8%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
87.5%
Fancher,Cam rush middle (Whitson,Will).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Darryle Simmons, broken up by Juan PowellSimilar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
89.4%
John McConnell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:3591% → 93%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
91.0%
pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
90.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+15
90.8%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney for a 1ST down Marshall Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dyoni Hill) to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+31
91.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kendall Karr for 31 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
91.6%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
91.6%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the MRSH 32Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
92.6%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1494% → 94%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
93.6%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the MRSH 34Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
93.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 5 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
93.5%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Jameson Tucker, broken up by Jacobie Henderson for a 1ST down Marshall Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jacobie Henderson) to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
93.6%
pass incomplete to Matt AlaimoSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
93.6%
Jarrett Guest run for 5 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
94.3%
Jarrett Guest pass intercepted by AG McGhee at the MRSH 0, AG McGhee return 0 yds to the MRSH 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:326% → 4%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.7%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Cade Conley for 6 yds to the MRSH 26Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
93.5%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 11 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.5%
pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
93.5%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
93.5%
pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+4
93.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
93.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
93.3%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Talik Keaton for 6 yds to the CCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.4%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Cade Conley for 5 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+12
93.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 12 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.5%
pass incomplete to Darryle SimmonsSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.8%
Antwan Roberts run for 3 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+6
93.1%
Ethan Payne run for 6 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 1
OPP 15
-5
93.1%
Marshall Penalty, false start (Sam Burton) to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
96.4%
pass incomplete to Ethan PayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:2297% → 98%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.1%
Reese White run for 14 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
97.1%
Jared Brown run for 9 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kendall Karr, broken up by Ahmere FosterSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
97.2%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
97.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 18 yds to the MRSH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
97.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 13 yds to the MRSH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the MRSH 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
97.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Vasko,Ethan rush right (Neal,Eli;Martin,Kerion).Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
98.2%
Kade Hensley 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19Uncategorized
1 play · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
98.4%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 6 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:5099% → 100%
Q4 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
White,Reese rush middle (Thomas Jr.,Chris;Dix, Jr.,Stephen).Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Reese White run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 11 yds to the MRSH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 4 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-4
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Rasheen Ali for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 45Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Mason PierceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for 4 yds to the MRSH 37Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Balthazar,Max rush middle (Dix, Jr.,Stephen;Gibson,Isaiah).Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the MRSH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Bryan Robinson for 5 yds to the MRSH 41Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
pass incomplete to Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass incomplete to Talik Keaton, broken up by Trelon SladeSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Bryan Robinson for 5 yds to the MRSH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Cole Pennington pass intercepted by Tray Brown.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for 2 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for 3 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 34 yds , Mason Pierce returns for no gain to the MRSH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
100.0%
pass incomplete to Darryle SimmonsSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
100.0%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Mason Pierce for 9 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Antwan Roberts run for 8 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
100.0%
Cole Pennington pass complete to Antwan Roberts for 17 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
Cole Pennington run for 6 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Cole Pennington pass intercepted by Dre Pinckney, out-of-bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:00
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+15.7
FG · Q2 12:40
Kade Hensley 33 yd FG GOOD
+8
TD · Q2 2:57
Jarrett Guest pass complete to De'Andre Coleman for 27 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com