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JMU

James Madison 20 at Marshall 9

MRSH
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2023 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:52 · Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−27.2Score differential−11.4Garbage-time factor−11.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8Pregame prior−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:17: Timeout Official, clock 10:17 — JMU win probability +6.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:12: Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:08: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 28 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55: Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 27 — MRSH win probability +18.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 2:34: Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 38 — JMU win probability +8.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 10JMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:34JMU 4th & 10 at MRSH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:53MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 9, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:04MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:42JMU 4th & 7 at MRSH 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:42MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:31MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:38JMU 4th & 3 at MRSH 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:58MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:46JMU 4th & 6 at MRSH 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:48MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:57JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:18MRSH 4th & 6 at JMU 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−1.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:17JMU 4th & 9 at MRSH 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−10.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:07MRSH 4th & 21 at MRSH 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−5.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:35JMU 4th & 3 at MRSH 38, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−2.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:52JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:34MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:30JMU 4th & 15 at MRSH 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:05MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 10, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 1:12JMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:08JMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2652% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
47.8%
Kaelon Black run for 13 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
47.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 5 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
48.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 10 yds to the MRSH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
47.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
47.9%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMU 48Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+5
48.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
48.0%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
48.3%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, downed at the MRSH 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4148% → 48%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
48.2%
Ethan Payne run for 6 yds to the MRSH 7Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OWN 7
-1
48.2%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 6Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+3
48.0%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 9Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
48.2%
John McConnell punt for 74 yds, downed at the JMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:3151% → 52%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
48.8%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+1
48.7%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMU 25Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
48.9%
Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
48.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 26 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
48.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 19 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
48.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the MRSH 18Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
48.1%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted by Micah AbrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1849% → 48%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
49.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
48.9%
Ethan Payne run for 5 yds to the MRSH 6Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 6
-5
48.6%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 1Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
48.4%
John McConnell punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2252% → 51%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
47.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the MRSH 38Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-2
47.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 40Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
48.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
48.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, downed at the MRSH 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:1150% → 51%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+14
49.6%
Ethan Payne run for 14 yds to the MRSH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
49.8%
Ethan Payne run for 16 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
50.0%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 28Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
49.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+12
49.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 12 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+1
49.7%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
50.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for no gain to the MRSH 41Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
50.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 4 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+2
50.4%
Cam Fancher run for 2 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
51.0%
John McConnell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2251% → 53%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
49.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+6
48.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+47
48.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 47 yds to the MRSH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
47.0%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the MRSH 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
47.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 2 yds to the MRSH 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
47.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 3 yds to the MRSH 9Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
46.7%
Camden Wise 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4046% → 44%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
46.0%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jamree Kromah for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 18Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 26
OWN 9
0
46.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+7
45.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 7 yds to the MRSH 16Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
44.3%
John McConnell punt for 44 yds, downed at the JMU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1254% → 55%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
46.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 9 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
46.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
45.5%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+2
45.8%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
45.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the MRSH 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5844% → 42%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
44.1%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the MRSH 6Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
43.9%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the MRSH 3Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+16
43.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 16 yds to the MRSH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
43.8%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 17Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+24
42.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 24 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
46.0%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-10
46.1%
Cam Fancher sacked by Chris Chukwuneke and Jamree Kromah for a loss of 10 yards to the MRSH 34Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+1
42.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 1 yd to the MRSH 35Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
42.2%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds, downed at the JMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5155% → 56%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
44.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 14 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
43.6%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
43.6%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
43.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
43.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the MRSH 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5743% → 42%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
42.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 4 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
42.6%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
41.5%
Ethan Payne run for 5 yds to the MRSH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
42.9%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 18
-1
42.1%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4248% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
47.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 4 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
49.9%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+16
46.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 16 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
50.4%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
50.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
47.2%
John McConnell punt for 42 yds, downed at the JMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14SF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2154% → 51%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
45.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the JMU 2Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
49.1%
TyQaze Leggs SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3253% → 55%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
52.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 2 yds to the MRSH 45Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
52.9%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the MRSH 45Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+36
50.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 36 yds to the JMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
55.4%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted by Francis MeehanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:5651% → 59%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
48.8%
MCCLOUD, Jordan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Reggie thrown to the JMU29. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on HILL, D'Yoni enforced 15 yards to the JMU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+53
48.2%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 53 yds to the MRSH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
43.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Reggie Brown for 10 yds to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
43.4%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
43.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-1
45.3%
Billy Atkins sacked by Owen Porter and Elijah Alston for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 20Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
41.2%
Camden Wise 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:1043% → 40%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
42.9%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 20Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-6
41.3%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 14Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
40.3%
John McConnell punt for 48 yds, downed at the JMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:5561% → 80%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
39.4%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 38Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
39.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 6 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+22
39.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 22 yds to the MRSH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
36.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 8 yds to the MRSH 26Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
36.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 7 yds to the MRSH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
36.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the MRSH 14Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
31.7%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+6
33.3%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the MRSH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
31.7%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the MRSH 6Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
20.4%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3823% → 23%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
23.1%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 39Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
23.3%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 37 Ethan Payne fumbled, recovered by JMU Chris ChukwunekeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:1781% → 94%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
19.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
18.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 15 yds to the MRSH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
18.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-6
18.6%
Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 28Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 16
OPP 28
+28
5.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 28 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22PUNT
14 plays · 4 yds · 5:3176% → 87%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
24.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 16 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
22.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
21.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 4 yds to the MRSH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
16.3%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 47Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+11
16.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the MRSH 36Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-2
15.9%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 38Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
15.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 35 yds, downed at the MRSH 3Similar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
16.1%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the MRSH 5Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
15.7%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the MRSH 7Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 7
0
14.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
12.6%
John McConnell punt for 48 yds, downed at the JMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3286% → 88%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
13.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds Elijah Sarratt fumbled, recovered by JMU , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
50
+1
13.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the MRSH 49Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
13.9%
MCCLOUD, Jordan pass up the middle incomplete intended for SPROLES, Phoenix thrown to the MAR38. PENALTY Before the snap, JMU Illegal Motion on BROWN, Reggie enforced 5 yards from the MAR49 to the JMU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+3
14.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
12.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:1812% → 7%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
12.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
12.0%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the MRSH 12Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+11
11.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 11 yds to the MRSH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
12.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 9 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+18
13.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
50
0
15.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
50
+6
14.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 6 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-10
15.3%
Cam Fancher sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MRSH 46Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 14
OWN 46
-8
6.6%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5993% → 94%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
6.8%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the MRSH 38Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
6.8%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the MRSH 36Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-2
7.0%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 38Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
5.9%
James Madison Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Hanson) to the MRSH 43Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
5.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:256% → 5%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
5.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 3 yds to the MRSH 10Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
5.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
5.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 10
-8
4.8%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jalen Green for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 1:0595% → 96%
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.1%
[NH] Kneel down by JMU at MAR5 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
4.4%
[NH] Kneel down by JMU at MAR7 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the JMU 27
+18.6
TD · Q4 14:08
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 28 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 1:12
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com