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GASO

Georgia Southern 13 at James Madison 41

JMU
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:35 · Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+13.2Score differential+4.8Garbage-time factor+2.4Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Pregame prior+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:01: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +6.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:32: Camden Wise 23 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:31: Camden Wise 46 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +6.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:48: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:46: Kaelon Black run for 20 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00JMU 4th & 2 at GASO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:25GASO 4th & 15 at JMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:27GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:32JMU 4th & 5 at GASO 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:32GASO 4th & 6 at JMU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:30GASO 4th & 9 at JMU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:31JMU 4th & 10 at GASO 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35GASO 4th & 1 at JMU 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 9 at JMU 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−7.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:25GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:29JMU 4th & 4 at GASO 39, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−1.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:06GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:25GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:01JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 3, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:02JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 19, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:06JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:01JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:48JMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:46JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:06JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:26GASO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5456% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 1 yd to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
55.5%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
55.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 26 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
55.5%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+9
55.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 9 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
55.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
55.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
55.5%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+3
55.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 3 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
58.4%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 23 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 4:3442% → 40%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
57.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
57.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
57.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
57.5%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+11
57.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to KD Dorsey for 11 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
57.1%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 48Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
57.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+5
57.5%
James Madison Penalty, Offsides (Jamree Kromah) to the JMU 43Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+7
57.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
57.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
57.1%
BRIN, Davis pass short to the left complete for 9 yards to BURGESS JR., Derwin caught at the JMU34 and advanced to the JMU27 (THOMAS, Jacob). PENALTY GSO Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MILLER, Brian enforced 5 yards from the JMU36 to the JMU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
57.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
57.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for no gain to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
60.1%
Alex Smith punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2460% → 68%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
59.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 26 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
60.7%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+12
60.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 12 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+28
60.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 28 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
60.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
60.9%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the GASO 15Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
67.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:2834% → 32%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
65.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 9Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+7
66.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GASO 16Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+6
65.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
65.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
67.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+18
66.8%
Jalen White run for 18 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 4 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
-5
66.1%
Davis Brin sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 46Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
68.5%
Alex Smith punt for 43 yds, downed at the JMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:5570% → 77%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
69.8%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMU 14Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+15
69.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 15 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
69.9%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tyler Stephens) to the JMU 24Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+6
69.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
69.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 3 yds to the JMU 33Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+37
69.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 37 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
70.9%
MCCLOUD, Jordan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SARRATT, Elijah thrown to the GSO0. PENALTY GSO Pass Interference on ROBERTSON, Seth enforced 15 yards to the GSO15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
70.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the GASO 9Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+5
70.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 5 yds to the GASO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the GASO 3Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.5%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
72.9%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Marques Watson-Trent for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 5Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
77.4%
Camden Wise 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0224% → 27%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
76.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 27 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
73.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 12 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
73.6%
Davis Brin sacked by Jalen Green and Tyrique Tucker for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 43Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+5
75.2%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the JMU 38Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+6
75.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+6
74.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the JMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
72.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
73.2%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the JMU 25Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
73.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
73.3%
Michael Lantz 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:5975% → 82%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
74.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 12 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
74.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 9 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+26
74.8%
Omarion Dollison run for 26 yds to the GASO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
75.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
75.2%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
82.0%
Camden Wise 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 1:3120% → 21%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
80.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 18 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
80.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
79.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
79.4%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the JMU 48Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
82.6%
Davis Brin run for 2 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
84.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 19 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
82.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+18
85.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 18 yds to the JMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
80.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
80.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
78.8%
Michael Lantz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3521% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
78.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to KD Dorsey for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
79.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
78.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
81.0%
Alex Smith punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:5682% → 84%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
82.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 15 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
82.7%
Jordan McCloud run for 12 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
82.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 9 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-3
82.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 39 fumbled, recovered by JMU Cole PottsSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
83.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, downed at the GASO 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2317% → 16%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
83.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
83.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
83.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 2
0
84.2%
Alex Smith punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:1886% → 95%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
85.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 8 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
85.5%
Kaelon Black run for 15 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
94.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13INT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:546% → 4%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.2%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
93.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 10 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
93.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
93.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 5 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
93.9%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the JMU 43Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+7
94.3%
Davis Brin run for 7 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-18
94.2%
Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the GASO 46Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 28
OWN 46
-10
95.8%
JC French pass intercepted James Madison Penalty, Illegal Block (TEAM) to the JMU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 20 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 7 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Alex Smith punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 14 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.5%
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the GASO 4Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17INT
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:170% → 0%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+7
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.7%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+18
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 18 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.7%
OJ Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+6
99.7%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+10
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 10 yds to the JMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 14 yds to the JMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
99.8%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 1Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+2
99.8%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 3Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, downed at the GASO 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Dallas for 11 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Davis Brin pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 20Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 19Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:360% → 0%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+13
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 13 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 5 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 15 yds to the JMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
JC French run for 2 yds to the JMU 14Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
99.9%
JC French pass complete to Jaylon Barden for no gain to the JMU 14Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+13
99.9%
JC French pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 13 yds to the JMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the JMU 1Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the JMU 1Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by JMU at JMU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:48
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
+9.2
FG · Q2 1:31
Camden Wise 46 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
TD · Q1 2:01
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com