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CCU

Coastal Carolina 27 at App State 24

APP
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 10, 2023 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:25: Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +11.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:18: Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +20.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:03: Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 32 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +21.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:47: Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +27.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +31.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:50APP 4th & 5 at APP 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43APP 4th & 18 at APP 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:08CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 48, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:05APP 4th & 9 at CCU 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:18APP 4th & 10 at CCU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:22APP 4th & 1 at APP 37, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:20APP 4th & 4 at CCU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:03CCU 4th & 3 at APP 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−3.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:53APP 4th & 13 at CCU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−2.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:21CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:47APP 4th & 3 at CCU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−15.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:58CCU 4th & 2 at APP 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−4.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−28.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:12CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:22CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:25APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:18APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:03CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:47APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:3939% → 41%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
60.9%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 16Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+4
60.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+40
60.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 40 yds to the APP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
60.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the APP 37Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
60.6%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the APP 37Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+5
60.5%
Appalachian State Penalty, Illegal Motion (Nick Ross) to the APP 32Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+31
60.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 31 yds to the APP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1759% → 59%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.4%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the APP 26Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
59.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
59.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+33
58.6%
Mitchell Lake punt for 33 yds, downed at the CCU 37 Appalachian State Penalty, Illegal Touching (Andre Hamilton) to the CCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:2141% → 46%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
58.6%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
58.2%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
57.7%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
57.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 49Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+51
53.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 51 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3455% → 53%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.2%
Joey Aguilar run for 3 yds to the APP 28Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
55.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 21 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
55.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for no gain to the APP 49 Appalachian State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Murphy) to the APP 34Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 25
OWN 34
+6
54.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 40Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+1
53.7%
Joey Aguilar run for 1 yd to the APP 41Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
53.2%
Mitchell Lake punt for 56 yds, downed at the CCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:3148% → 53%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
52.2%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
51.6%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCU 7Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+6
51.2%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
50.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 17 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
49.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
48.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 2 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
47.6%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the CCU 42Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+6
47.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 6 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
47.0%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:2748% → 50%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
47.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Ahmani MarshallSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
47.4%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 30Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+30
46.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 30 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
47.8%
Aguilar, Joey pass incomplete to Stroman, Dalton, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (McDoom, Matthew) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
48.3%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 13 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
47.2%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai JacksonSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
47.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
46.1%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
49.5%
Michael Hughes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:3152% → 60%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+63
47.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 63 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
46.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the APP 6Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-15
45.3%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Pinckney, Sam, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Pinckney, Sam) 15 yards to the APP STATE21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 0
OPP 21
0
45.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for no gain to the APP 21Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 0
OPP 21
+5
45.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the APP 16Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
40.4%
Kade Hensley 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5940% → 53%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 26Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
39.8%
Aguilar, Joey pass incomplete to Horn, Christan, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Lusk, Keonte) 15 yards to the APP STATE41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
41.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the APP 49Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+3
41.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
41.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 8 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+2
40.9%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 2 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
40.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Michael HetzelSimilar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
40.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the CCU 38Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
39.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+32
38.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 32 yds to the CCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+3
41.3%
Aguilar, Joey pass incomplete, PENALTY COASTALCAR 12 men on the field 3 yards to the COASTALCAR3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 1:0954% → 55%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
46.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 13 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
43.7%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 35Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-15
44.8%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Sam Pinckney) to the CCU 20Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 28
OWN 20
0
45.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 28
OWN 20
+8
45.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 8 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 20
OWN 28
+55
45.4%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 27 Appalachian State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the APP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:4446% → 45%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
45.5%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 9 yds to the APP 26Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
46.6%
Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the APP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
45.7%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
45.1%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+5
45.0%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 5 yds to the APP 37Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
45.2%
Mitchell Lake punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jared Brown at the CCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
13 plays · 33 yds · 1:1857% → 59%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
43.2%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+9
42.1%
Reese White run for 9 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
41.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
41.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 5 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
41.0%
Reese White run for 12 yds to the APP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
38.7%
Grayson McCall sacked by Kevin Abrams-Verwayne and Thomas Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 48Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+12
40.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 12 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
39.0%
McCall, Grayson pass complete to Beasley, CJ for 19 yards to the APP STATE17, PENALTY COASTALCAR holding (Lindsay, Zovon) 10 yards to the APP STATE46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
41.3%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:3745% → 44%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.8%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
44.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 10 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
44.6%
Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
45.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
46.1%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 47Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
45.4%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 6 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
45.9%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
43.6%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1262% → 61%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
38.1%
Max Balthazar run for 5 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
37.3%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
37.3%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the APP 46Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
39.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3845% → 66%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
45.3%
Aguilar, Joey pass incomplete to Stroman, Dalton, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Jenkins, Keontae) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
46.6%
Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+20
48.5%
Maquel Haywood run for 20 yds to the CCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
48.3%
Maquel Haywood run for 6 yds to the CCU 7Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
48.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
45.9%
Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.2%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:0043% → 70%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
56.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Logan MauldinSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
56.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 14 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
55.2%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
52.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
52.0%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
51.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the APP 47Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+15
51.8%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete to Pinckney, Sam, PENALTY APP STATE pass interference (Johnson, Ethan) 15 yards to the APP STATE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
30.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 32 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:5440% → 34%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
39.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 18 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
41.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 12 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
43.4%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-15
43.3%
Aguilar, Joey pass complete to Larkins, David for 3 yards to the COASTALCAR37, PENALTY APP STATE illegal block (Davis, Dashaun) 15 yards to the APP STATE45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 21
OWN 45
+8
38.7%
Kanye Roberts run for 8 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
36.0%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
34.2%
Mitchell Lake punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jared Brown at the CCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:2568% → 72%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
32.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 10 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
29.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 24Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+15
29.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
25.8%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
25.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-1
26.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 42Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
28.0%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2932% → 63%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.2%
Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the APP 21Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+67
31.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 67 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
38.2%
Maquel Haywood run for 3 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
38.4%
Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+4
35.7%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
62.8%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3445% → 50%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
54.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+14
55.2%
Jared Brown run for 14 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+47
53.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 47 yds to the APP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
45.4%
Reese White run for no gain to the APP 22Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
45.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the APP 14Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
46.9%
Reese White run for no gain to the APP 14Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 2
OPP 14
-1
50.0%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+69
60.6%
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Milan Tucker for 69 yds Milan Tucker fumbled, forced by Keonte Lusk, recovered by CCU Abraham Temoney IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21END OF GAME
16 plays · 77 yds · 4:3846% → 95%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
54.2%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+16
54.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 16 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
52.8%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the CCU 33Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+20
53.6%
Jared Brown run for 20 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
45.0%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the APP 44Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+12
44.9%
Braydon Bennett run for 12 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
42.4%
CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
39.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the APP 23Similar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+21
40.7%
CJ Beasley run for 21 yds to the APP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
38.0%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 4 yards to the APP 6Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
38.3%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
5.0%
Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOOD
-31.9
TD · Q4 8:47
Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Hughes KICK)
+27.1
TD · Q3 3:03
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 32 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-21.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com