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CCU

Coastal Carolina 28 at Georgia Southern 38

GASO
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.4GASO 64.9%Michael Lantz 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 24 · Q3 7:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:10 · Michael Lantz 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense+4.1Pregame prior+4.7Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:29: Max Balthazar run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +9.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:54: Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +11.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:02: Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +15.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:58: Khadry Jackson 20 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick) — GASO win probability +14.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:16: Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +11.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:21CCU 4th & 2 at GASO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54GASO 4th & 10 at CCU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:46CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:04GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:33CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 20, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:22CCU 4th & 7 at GASO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:04GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:41GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:10GASO 4th & 16 at CCU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:41CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:58CCU 4th & 8 at GASO 23, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45CCU 4th & 10 at GASO 13, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:08GASO 4th & 9 at CCU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:41CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 20, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:26GASO 4th & 22 at CCU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:49CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:29CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:54GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:02CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:58GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:49GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:16CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1137% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.1%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
63.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
63.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 37 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
62.9%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
62.8%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+5
62.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+21
62.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 21 yds to the GASO 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.4%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:5462% → 60%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
61.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 16 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
61.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for no gain to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-4
61.5%
Davis Brin sacked by Allen Henry for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
60.4%
Alex Smith punt for 38 yds , returns for no gain to the CCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0340% → 41%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
60.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 4 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
60.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+10
59.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
59.2%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-3
58.5%
Max Balthazar run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
58.6%
Grayson McCall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:3860% → 64%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
59.9%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 8
50
+15
59.8%
(05:02) BRIN, Davis pass to the left incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the CCU36, clock 04:55. PENALTY CCU Face mask on WHITSON, Will enforced 15 yards from the GS50 to the CCU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
60.3%
(04:54) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HOOD, Khaleb thrown to the CCU0, clock 04:47. PENALTY GS Holding on BROADWAY, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the CCU35 to the CCU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+12
59.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
60.2%
Davis Brin run for 7 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
59.4%
JC French run for 1 yd to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
59.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
59.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Elija Walton for 7 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
58.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the CCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
58.9%
(01:24) BRIN, Davis pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to BURGESS JR., Derwin caught at the CCU13 and advanced to the CCU9 (FLETCHER, Tobias), clock 01:17. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on COBB, Dalen enforced 15 yards to the CCU29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 25
OPP 29
0
58.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 25
OPP 29
+27
58.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 27 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
58.6%
Jalen White run for no gain to the CCU 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0339% → 38%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.3%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
61.4%
(14:45) SIMPKINS, Ja'Vin rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the CCU27 (BULLARD, Latrell), clock 14:39. PENALTY CCU Holding on JUMPER, Evan enforced 10 yards from the CCU20 to the CCU10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+16
61.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 16 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
61.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
62.2%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the GASO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3163% → 62%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
62.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+6
62.1%
Dalen Cobb run for 6 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
62.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
61.6%
Alex Smith punt for 46 yds, downed at the CCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1939% → 38%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
61.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+9
61.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 9 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
61.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
62.2%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 67 yds, downed at the GASO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4362% → 60%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
61.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
62.2%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-6
62.1%
Davis Brin sacked by Tobias Fletcher for a loss of 6 yards to the GASO 19Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
61.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
60.4%
Alex Smith punt for 53 yds, downed at the CCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:5640% → 52%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
60.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 29 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
56.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 42 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.6%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:3451% → 65%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
50.8%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GASO 20Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
50.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
49.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+18
49.2%
Alex Smith run for 18 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
51.3%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Delay Of Game (Davis Brin) to the GASO 33Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
50.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+11
50.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+17
51.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 17 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
52.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
53.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
53.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
53.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
65.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:2442% → 44%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
58.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 17 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
57.5%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Personal Foul (Marques Watson-Trent) to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
54.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
54.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
54.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
54.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
56.2%
Liam Gray 34 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1461% → 59%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
61.0%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
59.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jared Brown at the CCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:1443% → 45%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
56.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 15 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
54.6%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
54.6%
Grayson McCall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 0:3062% → 74%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
62.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+29
63.8%
Jalen White run for 29 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
64.2%
(00:27) BRIN, Davis pass deep to the right incomplete intended for COBB, Dalen thrown to the CCU15, clock 00:22. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on POWELL, Juan enforced 15 yards to the CCU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+12
65.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
73.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
72.2%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1873% → 70%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
71.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:41
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.3%
Alex Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Brown at the CCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:3329% → 48%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
69.6%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
69.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 11 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
69.2%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 44Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+13
71.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 13 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
68.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 18 yds to the GASO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
52.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:4460% → 65%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
60.4%
Jalen White run for 17 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
62.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 11 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
64.1%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+7
64.2%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
64.3%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the CCU 37Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+16
64.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the CCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
65.3%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
65.3%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-10
63.9%
(07:27) BRIN, Davis pass short to the right incomplete intended for HOOD, Khaleb broken up by ISBELL, Clayton at the CCU12, clock 07:20. PENALTY GS Holding enforced 10 yards from the CCU17 to the CCU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
61.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+45
64.9%
Michael Lantz 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-20
79.7%
Khadry Jackson 20 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1620% → 19%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
78.7%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
81.2%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:4681% → 94%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
81.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
81.4%
Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+8
81.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 8 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
83.4%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Brian Miller) to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+7
82.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
83.7%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+43
83.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 43 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
84.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ethan Dirrim for 2 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.4%
Jalen White run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:336% → 16%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Max Balthazar for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+20
93.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 20 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
93.5%
Max Balthazar run for 9 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
93.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
93.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
94.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 17 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.7%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
94.1%
(13:06) MCCALL, Grayson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the GS14, End of Play, clock 13:00. PENALTY CCU Holding on JUMPER, Evan enforced 10 yards from the GS25 to the GS35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+12
94.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
94.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+10
94.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 10 yds to the GASO 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
94.6%
(11:18) MCCALL, Grayson pass to the right incomplete intended for KARR, Kendall thrown to the GS5, clock 11:12. PENALTY CCU Holding on LINDSAY, Zovon enforced 10 yards from the GS13 to the GS23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 20
OPP 23
0
94.9%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+9
94.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 9 yds to the GASO 14Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+1
95.7%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the GASO 13Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+12
95.3%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23MISSED FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 5:0087% → 93%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
86.6%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Juan Powell) to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
89.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
91.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
91.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
92.1%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
92.5%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+13
92.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
92.8%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-10
93.2%
(04:46) ARNOLD, OJ rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the CCU9 (ISBELL, Clayton), clock 04:38. PENALTY GS Holding on MILLER, Brian enforced 10 yards from the CCU20 to the CCU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 17
OPP 30
0
93.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 17
OPP 30
+8
93.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 8 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
93.4%
Michael Lantz 40 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:227% → 4%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
92.8%
Grayson McCall sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the CCU 12Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+13
93.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 13 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-5
95.2%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Sam Pinckney) to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
95.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+11
95.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the CCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25MISSED FG
9 plays · -1 yds · 1:0896% → 97%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
96.0%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the CCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
96.8%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-10
96.9%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Miller) to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 18
OPP 28
-5
96.6%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Brian Miller) to the CCU 33Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 23
OPP 33
+1
96.6%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 22
OPP 32
+50
96.5%
Michael Lantz 50 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:043% → 3%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
96.6%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+7
96.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Max Balthazar for 7 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
96.6%
(01:07) MCCALL, Grayson pass short to the right complete for 10 yards to BALTHAZAR, Max caught at the GS48 and advanced to the GS42 (JACKSON, Khadry), out of bounds, clock 01:01. PENALTY CCU Holding on HANSON, Joseph enforced 10 yards from the CCU48 to the CCU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+4
97.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Max Balthazar for 4 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+5
97.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Max Balthazar for 5 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
97.0%
Grayson McCall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.4%
(00:11) [NH] Kneel down by GS at GS40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:04.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:02
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q3 6:58
Khadry Jackson 20 Yd Interception Return (Michael Lantz Kick)
+14.8
TD · Q4 9:16
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com