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GASO

Georgia Southern 40 at Ball State 3

BALL
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:24 · Alex Smith punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−44.0Score differential−24.6Pregame prior−6.3Garbage-time factor−10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:47: Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +2.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:37: Michael Lantz 41 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:36: Michael Lantz 26 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +3.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Michael Lantz 37 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +1.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:47: Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 11GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 12:47GASO 4th & 4 at BALL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:44BALL 4th & 17 at BALL 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:20GASO 4th & 2 at BALL 43, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−1.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:14BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 9, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:37GASO 4th & 15 at BALL 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:54BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:36GASO 4th & 4 at BALL 8, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:59BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:16GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 27, up 20
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:43BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:09BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:02GASO 4th & 5 at BALL 48, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:57BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 3, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:24GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 29, up 30
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:03GASO 4th & 4 at BALL 17, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:48BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 25, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:15BALL 4th & 4 at GASO 6, down 40
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:10GASO 4th & 8 at BALL 46, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:46BALL 4th & 14 at BALL 16, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:51GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:47GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:47GASO Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:42GASO Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:5369% → 70%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
30.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
30.7%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
30.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
30.9%
KD Dorsey run for no gain to the BALL 33Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+14
31.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 14 yds to the BALL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
31.2%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keaton UpshawSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+13
31.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 13 yds to the BALL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
31.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the BALL 1Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Evan Lester Jr. for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2931% → 31%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
30.8%
Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
30.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:1769% → 72%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
30.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 12 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+38
30.6%
OJ Arnold run for 38 yds to the BALL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
30.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the BALL 9Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
27.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 9 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:0329% → 29%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.1%
PENALTY GSU Offside (Bullard,Latrell) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+12
29.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 12 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
29.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
29.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 6 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
29.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the GASO 45Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
29.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the GASO 46Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-7
29.2%
Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 47Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
28.6%
Lucas Borrow punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:1672% → 74%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
27.6%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 22Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+16
27.4%
Khaleb Hood run for 16 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
26.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
26.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 4 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
26.6%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
26.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 7 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
26.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 1 yd to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
26.0%
Terrance Gibbs run for no gain to the BALL 43Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
26.2%
Alex Smith punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4627% → 26%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
26.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ahmad Edwards for 2 yds to the BALL 5Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+4
26.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BALL 9Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
26.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
26.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3175% → 78%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
25.2%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the BALL 39Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
24.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Evan Lester Jr. for 21 yds to the BALL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
24.6%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the BALL 18Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
24.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Evan Lester Jr.Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
24.7%
(12:45) PENALTY GSU False Start (Wimbley,Pichon) 5 yards from BSU18 to BSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
24.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
21.8%
Michael Lantz 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:3223% → 22%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
23.3%
(12:31) Shotgun Kelly,Kiael pass complete short right to Cooper,Marquez for 21 yards to the BSU50 (Meyers,Justin), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Gillie,Malcolm) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+3
23.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-7
22.8%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Marc Stampley II for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 20Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+5
22.1%
Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 14
OWN 25
+7
21.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 7 yds to the GASO 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:1080% → 85%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
19.6%
OJ Arnold run for 11 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
18.8%
PENALTY BSU Disconcerting Signals (Mims,Kyron) 5 yards from GSU48 to BSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 5
OPP 47
0
18.6%
Dalen Cobb pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+11
18.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 11 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
18.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 8 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+14
19.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 14 yds to the BALL 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
19.1%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the BALL 13Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
18.9%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
18.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 5 yds to the BALL 8Similar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
14.7%
Michael Lantz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:2718% → 17%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
17.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
17.7%
Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the BALL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
16.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 16 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
18.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 2 yds to the BALL 49Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
17.2%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Marquez CooperSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
16.8%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
16.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:3487% → 89%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
12.9%
David Mbadinga run for 7 yds to the GASO 14Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
12.6%
David Mbadinga run for 4 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
11.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
11.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 4 yds to the GASO 22Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
11.1%
Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
11.0%
Alex Smith punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2814% → 14%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
14.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-7
13.8%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 8Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+11
13.4%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 11 yds to the BALL 19Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+10
13.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 24 , Khaleb Hood returns for 10 yds to the GASO 29 Georgia Southern Penalty, Illegal Block Personal Foul (Davon Gilmore) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:3890% → 92%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+25
9.7%
OJ Arnold run for 25 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
9.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the BALL 47Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+10
9.2%
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
9.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
9.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
9.4%
Davis Brin run for 8 yds to the BALL 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+37
7.7%
Michael Lantz 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4014% → 13%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.6%
Kadin Semonza run for 7 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
13.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GASO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:5591% → 93%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
8.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+16
8.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 16 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
8.1%
Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 42Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+1
7.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 1 yd to the GASO 41Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+11
6.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the BALL 48Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
6.7%
Alex Smith punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0510% → 7%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
9.8%
PENALTY GSU Offside (Bullard,Latrell) 5 yards from BSU01 to BSU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+3
9.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 3Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
6.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
6.9%
Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Qian MagwoodSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+8
6.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 61 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 8 yds to the GASO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:5594% → 97%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+35
5.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 35 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
5.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
5.4%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the BALL 21Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+21
2.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18INT
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:053% → 2%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
2.7%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 9 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+23
2.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 23 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
2.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 27 yds to the GASO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
2.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 13 yds to the GASO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
2.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the GASO 10Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
2.2%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Ahmad EdwardsSimilar
Q3 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
2.1%
Kadin Semonza pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
2.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
2.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 1 yd to the GASO 27Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
2.0%
Terrance Gibbs run for 2 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
2.1%
Alex Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.4%
Kadin Semonza pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:5698% → 99%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 0
OPP 45
+5
1.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 5 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
1.0%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the BALL 40Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
1.0%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+17
1.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 17 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
0.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 6 yds to the BALL 17Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
0.9%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
0.9%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to David MbadingaSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
1.0%
Michael Lantz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
0.5%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Lucas Borrow punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+43
0.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 43 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Evan Lester Jr.Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
0.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 4 yds to the BALL 8Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
0.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:200% → 0%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 25Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
0.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 20 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.3%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 45Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
0.3%
Kiael Kelly pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+25
0.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 25 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
0.3%
Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the GASO 29Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
0.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Justin Morris for 8 yds to the GASO 21Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+9
0.3%
Rico Barfield run for 9 yds to the GASO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
0.3%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Maximus Webster for 9 yds to the GASO 3Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
0.2%
Rico Barfield run for 1 yd to the GASO 4Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
0.2%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the GASO 6Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
0.2%
Jackson Courville 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
0.3%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
0.2%
JC French run for 18 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
0.2%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 9 yds to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-5
0.2%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun French,JC pass incomplete deep right to Buchannon,DeAndre PENALTY GSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Williams,Matthew) 5 yards from BSU39 to BSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
0.2%
Terron Dixon III run for 3 yds to the BALL 41Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
0.2%
Terron Dixon III run for 5 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Alex Smith punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Qian Magwood at the BALL 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the BALL 22Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
0.1%
Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the BALL 25Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-9
0.1%
Kiael Kelly sacked by Jacob Ferguson for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 16Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
0.1%
Lucas Borrow punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
0.1%
Terron Dixon III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 9
50
+1
0.1%
Terron Dixon III run for 1 yd to the BALL 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+12
0.1%
Terron Dixon III run for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:36
Michael Lantz 26 yd FG GOOD
-3.9
FG · Q2 12:37
Michael Lantz 41 yd FG GOOD
-3
TD · Q3 8:47
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com