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JKST

Jackson State 34 at Texas State 77

TXST
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:38 · Matt Noll punt for 51 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+24.4Home team on offense+27.2Score differential+19.7Blowout margin+10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Garbage-time factor+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:47: Irv Mulligan run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK) — JKST win probability +2.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:01: Donerio Davenport run for 9 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +2.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:11: Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK) — JKST win probability +3.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:48: TJ Finley run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +3.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:15: TJ Finley run for 6 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TXST win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2JKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:33JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37JKST 4th & 1 at TXST 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:46TXST 4th & 1 at JKST 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:22JKST 4th & 15 at JKST 12, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:38JKST 4th & 18 at JKST 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:38TXST 4th & 1 at JKST 33, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:15JKST 4th & 20 at JKST 45, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:56JKST 4th & 11 at TXST 20, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:02JKST 4th & 25 at TXST 28, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:33JKST 4th & 4 at TXST 49, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 11 of 11JKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:18TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:37TXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:35JKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:46TXST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:47JKST Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:01TXST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 11:11JKST Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 9:48TXST Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 8:15TXST Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 6:15TXST Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q2 0:24TXST Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 8:05TXST Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 2:48JKST Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 14:52TXST Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 10:02JKST Touchdown, down 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 6:48TXST Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:3589% → 89%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
89.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 15 yds to the TXST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
89.3%
Ismail Mahdi run for 56 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4511% → 11%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Duke MillerSimilar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.3%
Irv Mulligan run for 6 yds to the JKST 31Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
89.3%
Jason Brown run for 1 yd to the JKST 32Similar
Q1 14:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
89.3%
PENALTY JSU False Start (Noll,Matt) 5 yards from JSU32 to JSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.1%
Matt Noll punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:5689% → 90%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
89.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 2 yds to the TXST 26Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+1
89.1%
Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the TXST 27Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+23
89.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 8 yds to the TXST 35 for a 1ST down Jackson State Penalty, Personal Foul (John Huggins) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
50
+9
89.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 9 yds to the JKST 41Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
89.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 5 yds to the JKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.2%
Donerio Davenport run for 5 yds to the JKST 31Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+16
89.2%
Donerio Davenport run for 16 yds to the JKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.2%
Donerio Davenport run for 1 yd to the JKST 14Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
89.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 14 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0211% → 13%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.6%
Irv Mulligan run for 1 yd to the JKST 24Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
89.5%
Jason Brown pass complete to Seven McGee for 17 yds to the JKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.4%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
89.5%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Seven McGeeSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
89.4%
Jason Brown pass complete to Joanes Fortilien for 4 yds to the TXST 45Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+18
89.4%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jency Riley for 18 yds to the TXST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
89.2%
Irv Mulligan run for 6 yds to the TXST 21Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
89.2%
Irv Mulligan run for 2 yds to the TXST 23Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+16
89.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to Duke Miller for 16 yds to the TXST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Jason Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Matt Noll PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4388% → 91%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+42
88.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 42 yds to the JKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
88.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 9 yds to the JKST 15Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
88.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ismail MahdiSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
88.6%
Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the JKST 15Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
90.5%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 15 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 6TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 3:5210% → 13%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
90.3%
Irv Mulligan run for 1 yd to the JKST 16Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
90.3%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Rico PowersSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+1
90.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to Desmond Moultrie for 1 yd to the JKST 15Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+32
90.0%
Ahmad Miller run for 32 yds to the TXST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
89.7%
Ahmad Miller run for 2 yds to the TXST 36Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+11
89.7%
Jason Brown pass complete to Hayden Hagler for 11 yds to the TXST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
89.4%
Ahmad Miller run for 1 yd to the TXST 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
89.4%
Zy McDonald run for 4 yds to the TXST 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+11
89.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Rico Powers for 11 yds to the TXST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.4%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Jency RileySimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
87.0%
Irv Mulligan run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:3489% → 91%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
88.5%
Malik Hornsby run for 5 yds to the JKST 9Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
91.3%
Donerio Davenport run for 9 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:5010% → 14%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Jason pass incomplete short right to Powers,Rico QB hurried by Bell,Ben PENALTY JSU Holding (Henry,Evan) 10 yards from JSU35 to JSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
89.3%
Zy McDonald run for 8 yds to the TXST 24Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.3%
Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1288% → 92%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
88.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Drew Donley for 27 yds to the JKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
88.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for 12 yds to the JKST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.6%
TJ Finley run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.3%
Jason Brown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 1:1892% → 96%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
91.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete deep right to Donley,Drew PENALTY JSU Pass Interference (Hughes,Jalin) 15 yards from TXST41 to JSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.7%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ashtyn HawkinsSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.7%
TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the JKST 39Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+33
91.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ismail Mahdi for 27 yds to the JKST 12 for a 1ST down Jackson State Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (B.J. Washington) to the JKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.1%
TJ Finley run for 6 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:455% → 5%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.8%
Irv Mulligan run for 1 yd to the JKST 18Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
94.9%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-6
95.0%
Jason Brown sacked by Deven Wright for a loss of 6 yards to the JKST 12Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 15
OWN 12
+32
95.5%
Matt Noll punt for 47 yds , Joey Hobert returns for 32 yds to the JKST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
97.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 27 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:301% → 1%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.6%
Desmond Moultrie run for 4 yds to the JKST 18Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+2
98.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jency Riley for 2 yds to the JKST 20Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+21
98.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Fabian McCray for 21 yds to the JKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.5%
Desmond Moultrie run for 1 yd to the JKST 40Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-8
98.6%
Jason Brown sacked by Terry Webb for a loss of 8 yards to the JKST 32Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+1
98.7%
Ahmad Miller run for 1 yd to the JKST 33Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Matt Noll punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
98.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 9 yds to the TXST 25Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+19
98.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 19 yds to the TXST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Joey Hobert for 14 yds to the JKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
98.8%
TJ Finley run for 6 yds to the JKST 36Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 3 yds to the JKST 33Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
98.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
98.8%
Donerio Davenport run for 3 yds to the JKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 2 yds to the JKST 28Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
98.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Donerio Davenport for 8 yds Donerio Davenport fumbled, recovered by JKST Donerio Davenport for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kole Wilson for 20 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.4%
J. Brown takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:451% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
No Huddle Brown,Jason pass incomplete short left to McCray,Fabian QB hurried by Bell,Ben PENALTY JSU Illegal Motion (Miller,Duke) 5 yards from JSU25 to JSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.2%
Irv Mulligan run for 1 yd to the JKST 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
99.2%
Jason Brown pass complete to Rico Powers for 8 yds Rico Powers fumbled, recovered by JKSTSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.1%
Irv Mulligan run for 12 yds to the JKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to Fabian McCray for 14 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
99.1%
Jason Brown sacked by Derick Mourning Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the JKST 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+12
99.2%
Jason Brown pass complete to Ahmad Miller for 12 yds to the TXST 40Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Rico PowersSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-15
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Jason pass complete short middle to Powers,Rico for 14 yards to the TXST26 (Mills,Chris; Culp,Kaleb) PENALTY JSU Pass Interference (Hagler,Hayden) 15 yards from TXST40 to JSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Matt Noll punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:1099% → 100%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.4%
Malik Hornsby run for 9 yds to the TXST 25Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Donerio Davenport run for 9 yds to the TXST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.4%
Donerio Davenport run for 4 yds to the TXST 30Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+21
99.3%
Malik Hornsby pass complete to Langston Anderson for 21 yds to the TXST 46 for a 1ST down Jackson State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Allen Walker) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.4%
Malik Hornsby run for 7 yds to the JKST 47Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+13
99.4%
Malik Hornsby pass complete to Chris Dawn Jr. for 13 yds to the JKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
99.6%
Malik Hornsby run for 31 yds to the JKST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Jason Brown pass complete to Fabian McCray for 7 yds to the JKST 32Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Irv Mulligan run for 5 yds to the JKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
99.8%
Jason Brown pass complete to Kobe Paul for 44 yds to the TXST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.7%
Irv Mulligan run for 2 yds to the TXST 17Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
99.7%
Jason Brown pass complete to Ahmad Miller for 3 yds to the TXST 20Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 11
OPP 20
-7
99.8%
Jason Brown sacked by Deven Wright for a loss of 7 yards to the TXST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Malik Hornsby pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.8%
Ahmad Miller run for 8 yds to the TXST 27Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.8%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 1 yd to the TXST 26Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Jency Riley for 4 yds to the TXST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.8%
Zy McDonald run for 10 yds to the TXST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.8%
Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the TXST 9Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Zy McDonald pass incomplete to Joanes FortilienSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.8%
Malik Hornsby run for 4 yds to the TXST 20Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+10
99.7%
Damarius Good run for 10 yds to the TXST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
Malik Hornsby run for 15 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Damarius Good run for 11 yds to the JKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Malik Hornsby run for 5 yds to the JKST 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+15
99.8%
Damarius Good run for 15 yds to the JKST 24 Damarius Good fumbled, recovered by JKST Damarius Good for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Malik Hornsby run for 24 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 23TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:410% → 0%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Zy McDonald pass complete to George McCorley for 4 yds to the JKST 40Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Ahmad Miller run for 9 yds to the JKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Zy McDonald pass incomplete to Andre HuntSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the TXST 48Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Kobe Paul for 10 yds to the TXST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
99.9%
Ahmad Miller run for 25 yds to the TXST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the TXST 16Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-12
99.9%
Zy McDonald sacked by John Blunt Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the TXST 28 Zy McDonald fumbled, recovered by JKST Cameron James , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 25
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Zy McDonald pass incomplete to Kobe PaulSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 25
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Hayden Hagler for 28 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK)Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
PENALTY JSU False Start (Townes-Blue,D'Andre ) 5 yards from TXST03 to TXST08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 7 yds to the TXST 47Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+25
99.9%
Malik Hornsby run for 25 yds to the JKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Damarius Good run for 6 yds to the JKST 22Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+14
99.9%
Damarius Good run for 14 yds to the JKST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Damarius Good run for no gain to the JKST 8Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Malik Hornsby pass incomplete to Jake SimpsonSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Malik Hornsby run for 8 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Ahmad Miller run for 3 yds to the JKST 28Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
100.0%
Zy McDonald pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 17 yds to the JKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
100.0%
Zy McDonald sacked by Victor Obi for a loss of 8 yards to the JKST 37Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Ahmad Miller run for 7 yds to the JKST 44Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Ahmad Miller run for 7 yds to the TXST 49Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Matt Noll punt for 36 yds , Chris Dawn Jr. returns for 4 yds to the TXST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
100.0%
Damarius Good run for 9 yds to the TXST 26Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+24
100.0%
Damarius Good run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
50
+6
100.0%
Damarius Good run for 6 yds to the JKST 44Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Damarius Good run for 7 yds to the JKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Damarius Good run for 3 yds to the JKST 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
C. Rogers takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
C. Rogers takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:15
TJ Finley run for 6 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 9:48
TJ Finley run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 11:11
Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Noll KICK)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com