Try the model
LAM

Lamar 14 at UL Monroe 24

ULM
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Malone Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:22 · Braxton Guilbeau punt for 35 yds, downed at the LAM 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense+27.0Score differential+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.2Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:37: Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 19 yds for a TD (Chris Esqueda KICK) — LAM win probability +4.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:31: Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 25 — ULM win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:16: Izaha Jones run for 47 yds for a TD (Chris Esqueda KICK) — LAM win probability +10.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: LAM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:08: Hunter Herring pass incomplete — ULM win probability +7.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:35: Derek McCormick 30 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +4.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7LAM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 5:30ULM 4th & 6 at LAM 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:25LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:54LAM 4th & 2 at ULM 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:36LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:56LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02ULM 4th & 7 at midfield, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:53ULM 4th & 14 at LAM 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:34LAM 4th & 2 at LAM 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:49ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 27, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:37LAM 4th & 2 at ULM 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:22ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 28, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:35ULM 4th & 7 at LAM 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:12LAM 4th & 24 at LAM 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LAM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:43ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:17ULM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:37LAM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:16LAM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAMDrive 1INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 6:406% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.1%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 12 yds to the LAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.1%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the LAM 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.1%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 9 yds to the LAM 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+15
94.1%
Robert Coleman run for 15 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
94.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the ULM 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
94.1%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Andre Dennis for 7 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
94.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the ULM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
94.1%
Robert Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+11
94.1%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Nathan Gaskamp for 11 yds to the ULM 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
94.1%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the ULM 18Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+30
92.4%
UL Monroe Penalty, Personal Foul (Max Harris) to the ULM 0 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:5093% → 92%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
92.5%
Bugs Mortimer run for 23 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
92.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
92.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the ULM 47Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
92.6%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the LAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
92.7%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
92.7%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the LAM 44Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
92.7%
Hunter Herring run for no gain to the LAM 44Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
91.7%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyndon Fuselier at the LAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:058% → 9%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
91.6%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 9 yds to the LAM 17Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 17
0
91.5%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the LAM 17Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
91.7%
Robert Coleman run for no gain to the LAM 17Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
91.1%
Alfonso Deleon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bugs Mortimer at the ULM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:4291% → 92%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
91.1%
Hunter Smith run for 11 yds to the LAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
91.4%
Hunter Herring run for 9 yds to the LAM 40Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
91.4%
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the LAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.4%
Hunter Smith run for no gain to the LAM 37Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
91.3%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 5 yds to the LAM 32Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+5
90.6%
Hunter Herring run for 5 yds to the LAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.8%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
92.2%
Hunter Smith run for 27 yds for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:068% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.6%
Damashja Harris run for 8 yds to the LAM 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-3
91.3%
Robert Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the LAM 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
91.6%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Izaha Jones for 12 yds to the LAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
91.3%
Damashja Harris run for 2 yds to the LAM 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
91.3%
Robert Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+23
91.4%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 23 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
90.8%
HARRIS, Damashja rush to the left for no gain to the ULM33 (GLASS, Carl;SNYDER, Kenard). PENALTY ULM Holding on BARQUET JR., Earl enforced 10 yards from the ULM33 to the ULM23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.7%
Robert Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
90.8%
Andre Dennis run for 7 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-6
91.0%
Robert Coleman run for 4 yds to the ULM 12 Lamar Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ULM 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+11
91.3%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 11 yds to the ULM 15Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
90.0%
Chris Esqueda 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:0092% → 92%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
92.3%
Isaiah Woullard run for 14 yds to the ULM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
92.4%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Justin Kimber for 15 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.8%
Isaiah Woullard run for 7 yds to the LAM 44Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-2
92.8%
Hunter Herring sacked by Foday Jalloh for a loss of 2 yards to the LAM 46Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
92.6%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-5
92.3%
UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (Braxton Guilbeau) to the ULM 49Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
91.8%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kyndon Fuselier at the LAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 7PUNT TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:188% → 6%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
91.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 12 yds to the LAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
91.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the LAM 21Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
91.6%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Izaha Jones for no gain to the LAM 21Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Robert Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
94.1%
punt blocked by Car'lin Vigers blocked by Car'lin Vigers for a TD (Derek McCormick KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:456% → 6%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the LAM 28Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
93.8%
Robert Coleman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:3495% → 98%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
95.2%
Hunter Smith run for 15 yds to the LAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
95.4%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 28 yds to the LAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
94.8%
Hunter Herring run for 9 yds to the LAM 11Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
94.6%
Hunter Smith run for 2 yds to the LAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
94.7%
Hunter Smith run for 8 yds to the LAM 1Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Thad Franklin Jr. 1 Yd Run (Derek McCormick Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:103% → 3%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
97.2%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Andre Dennis for 4 yds to the LAM 19Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
97.2%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Kyndon Fuselier for 6 yds to the LAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.2%
Damashja Harris run for 5 yds to the LAM 30Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-7
97.2%
Robert Coleman sacked by James Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the LAM 23Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
97.4%
Damashja Harris run for 1 yd to the LAM 24Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.4%
Alfonso Deleon punt for 59 yds, downed at the ULM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:5498% → 97%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
97.7%
Isaiah Woullard run for 15 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.7%
Hunter Herring run for 6 yds to the ULM 38Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+9
97.7%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 9 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.8%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.2%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 7
50
+18
97.1%
Hunter Herring run for 18 yds to the LAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:0797% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
Isaiah Woullard run for 6 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
97.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 2 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
97.3%
Hunter Herring run for 7 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.4%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 1 yd to the ULM 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+25
97.3%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 25 yds to the LAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
97.5%
Bugs Mortimer run for a loss of 6 yards to the LAM 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+2
97.4%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Isaiah Woullard for 2 yds to the LAM 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
97.4%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
97.5%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Kyndon Fuselier at the LAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:193% → 2%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
97.3%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the LAM 12Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+5
97.3%
Robert Coleman run for 5 yds to the LAM 17Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
97.3%
Robert Coleman run for 1 yd to the LAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
97.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 9 yds to the LAM 27Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+5
97.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the LAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the LAM 33Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
97.1%
Robert Coleman run for 4 yds to the LAM 37Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
97.7%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Devyn Gibbs for 3 yds to the LAM 40Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
97.7%
Alfonso Deleon punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4598% → 98%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.4%
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 23Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
98.4%
Hunter Herring pass complete to NyNy Davis for 1 yd to the ULM 24Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
98.4%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Hunter Smith for 3 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kyndon Fuselier at the LAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 15TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:122% → 6%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
97.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Izaha Jones for 11 yds to the LAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.9%
Damashja Harris run for 2 yds to the LAM 41Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+12
97.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Andre Dennis for 12 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.8%
Rashaad Johnson run for 3 yds to the ULM 44Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+7
97.8%
Rashaad Johnson run for 7 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
Rashaad Johnson run for 3 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-6
98.5%
Robert Coleman sacked by Michael Batton and Dylan Howell for a loss of 6 yards to the ULM 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+13
98.7%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Andre Dennis for 13 yds to the ULM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
98.5%
Robert Coleman sacked by James Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the ULM 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 34
0
98.6%
Robert Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 17
OPP 34
+15
99.0%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 15 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+19
94.2%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Major Bowden for 19 yds for a TD (Chris Esqueda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.6%
Hunter Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Hunter Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+2
98.5%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Justin Kimber for 2 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 35 yds, downed at the LAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 2:064% → 15%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
95.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Khalan Griffin for 1 yd to the LAM 38Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
95.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the LAM 41Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+12
95.9%
Robert Coleman pass complete to Andre Dennis for 12 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
85.3%
Izaha Jones run for 47 yds for a TD (Chris Esqueda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:3393% → 98%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.6%
Hunter Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+44
92.4%
Isaiah Woullard run for 44 yds to the LAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
94.0%
Hunter Herring run for 3 yds to the LAM 25Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
93.9%
Isaiah Woullard run for 5 yds to the LAM 20Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+4
93.1%
Isaiah Woullard run for 4 yds to the LAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
93.9%
Isaiah Woullard run for a loss of 3 yards to the LAM 19Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+3
93.9%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 3 yds to the LAM 16Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+3
93.2%
Hunter Herring pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 3 yds to the LAM 13Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
98.2%
Derek McCormick 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:174% → 3%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
95.9%
Robert Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the LAM 30Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 14
OWN 30
-5
96.2%
Lamar Penalty, False Start (Knox Boyd) to the LAM 25Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 19
OWN 25
-5
96.3%
Robert Coleman sacked by Adin Huntington and James Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the LAM 20Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 24
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Robert Coleman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Alfonso Deleon punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the ULM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
98.7%
Hunter Smith run for 24 yds to the LAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.8%
Hunter Smith run for 4 yds to the LAM 26Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
98.9%
Hunter Smith run for no gain to the LAM 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
98.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ULM at LAM28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:16
Izaha Jones run for 47 yds for a TD (Chris Esqueda KICK)
-10.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:08
Hunter Herring pass incomplete
+7.3
FG · Q4 3:35
Derek McCormick 30 yd FG GOOD
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com