Try the model
NWST

Northwestern State 13 at Louisiana 38

UL
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadNWST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreNWST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kendrell Williams run for 9 yds to the NWST 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:49: Brett Money 37 yd FG GOOD — NWST win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:39: Ben Wooldridge run for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:09: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 2:17: Brett Money 41 yd FG GOOD — NWST win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:28: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 50 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NWST made the numbers' call on 14 of 16
  1. Q1 12:48NWST 4th & 3 at NWST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01NWST 4th & 13 at NWST 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:45UL 4th & 5 at UL 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:36NWST 4th & 10 at UL 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49NWST 4th & 16 at UL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:10UL 4th & 3 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:58NWST 4th & 6 at NWST 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:46NWST 4th & 8 at NWST 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:53NWST 4th & 12 at NWST 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:50UL 4th & 5 at UL 42, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:47NWST 4th & 6 at NWST 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:27NWST 4th & 6 at UL 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:17NWST 4th & 7 at UL 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:56UL 4th & 1 at UL 43, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:25UL 4th & 10 at UL 47, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:41UL 4th & 13 at NWST 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 11:16NWST 4th & 3 at NWST 27, down 15
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:58NWST 4th & 19 at NWST 32, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:13UL 4th & 5 at UL 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  20. Q3 3:10NWST 4th & 2 at NWST 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:55UL 4th & 8 at NWST 16, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 14:55NWST 4th & 1 at NWST 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 10:22NWST 4th & 23 at NWST 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:59NWST 4th & 1 at NWST 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NWST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:55UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:39UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:09UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:28UL Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:59UL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:01NWST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NWSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:122% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 3 yds to the NWST 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.0%
Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the NWST 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.0%
Northwestern State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NWST 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Zach Patterson for 3 yds to the NWST 32Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Brett Money punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:5398% → 98%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 5 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+62
97.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 62 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:502% → 3%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
97.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the NWST 20Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
97.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+18
97.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Twon Hines for 18 yds to the NWST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the NWST 41Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-10
97.7%
BOONE, Darius rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the NSU44 (WILLIAMS, Jasper). PENALTY NSU Holding on MCMILLAN, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the NSU41 to the NSU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+4
97.7%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the NWST 35Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Brett Money punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1697% → 97%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.4%
Jacob Kibodi run for 7 yds to the UL 37Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-2
97.4%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 35Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
97.2%
Thomas Leo punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.2%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the NWST 42Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+15
97.2%
Louisiana Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tyree Skipper) to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Brett Money punt for 25 yds , returns for no gain to the UL 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 6FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:473% → 3%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
97.0%
Scooter Adams run for 4 yds to the UL 10Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
97.0%
Scooter Adams run for 2 yds to the UL 8Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-12
97.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UL 20Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
96.8%
Brett Money 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3197% → 97%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
96.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 10 yds to the NWST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+26
96.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 26 yds to the NWST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
96.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Charles Robertson for 6 yds to the NWST 29Similar
Q1 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
96.6%
Zylan Perry run for a loss of 7 yards to the UL 18 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by NWST Cadillac RhoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:284% → 4%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Zach Patterson for 2 yds to the UL 16Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-2
96.2%
Kennieth Lacy run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 18Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-10
96.3%
VANDER WAAL, Tyler pass up the middle incomplete thrown to the LA21; QB hurried by LAWSON, Jordan. PENALTY NSU Holding on MCMILLAN, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the LA18 to the LA28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 20
OPP 28
-10
96.4%
VANDER WAAL, Tyler pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KING, Ke'Nard thrown to the LA2. PENALTY NSU Holding on COOPER, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the LA28 to the LA38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 30
OPP 38
+6
96.1%
Scooter Adams run for 6 yds to the UL 32 Scooter Adams fumbled, recovered by UL Kendre' GantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2896% → 96%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
96.1%
Ben Wooldridge run for 8 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
95.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the UL 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
95.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
50
0
95.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 3
50
0
95.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zach Patterson at the NWST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:124% → 4%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
95.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the NWST 10Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+1
95.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the NWST 11Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
95.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
95.6%
Brett Money punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the NWST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:1996% → 97%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
95.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 11 yds to the NWST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
95.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the NWST 24Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
95.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+24
96.6%
Ben Wooldridge run for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:534% → 3%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Kolbe Burrell run for 2 yds to the NWST 27Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Brett Money punt for 15 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:3797% → 98%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the NWST 40Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+8
96.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the NWST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
97.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:163% → 3%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.4%
Scooter Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 23Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
97.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.2%
Brett Money punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0398% → 97%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Zylan Perry for 2 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
97.5%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
97.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
97.3%
Thomas Leo punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zach Patterson at the NWST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.1%
Kennieth Lacy run for 4 yds to the NWST 21Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
97.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
97.1%
Brett Money punt for 45 yds, downed at the UL 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2097% → 97%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 18FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:103% → 4%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
96.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-3
96.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UL 37Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+10
96.9%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 10 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
96.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
96.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Zach Patterson for 5 yds to the UL 19Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-5
96.6%
Northwestern State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 24Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
96.1%
Brett Money 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:4997% → 97%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
96.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+9
96.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
96.8%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
97.1%
Thomas Leo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zach Patterson at the NWST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 20END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:253% → 3%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
97.4%
Scooter Adams run for 8 yds to the NWST 18Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+10
97.0%
Scooter Adams run for 10 yds to the NWST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.2%
Kolbe Burrell run for 5 yds to the NWST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1097% → 96%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
96.6%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BERNARD, Jacob thrown to the NSU26. PENALTY NSU Pass Interference on DAVIS, Kevin enforced 15 yards to the NSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
96.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the NWST 39Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
96.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the NWST 39Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-5
96.5%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Donovan Green for a loss of 5 yards to the NWST 44Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
96.0%
Thomas Leo punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:254% → 4%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.9%
Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 21Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
95.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+6
96.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Stanley King for 6 yds to the NWST 27Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Brett Money punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:4896% → 99%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
96.3%
Jacob Kibodi run for 9 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+8
96.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 8 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
96.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
50
+50
98.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 50 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:302% → 1%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Twon Hines for 8 yds to the NWST 33Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
98.5%
Kolbe Burrell run for 8 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
98.5%
BURRELL, Kolbe rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the NSU44 (MCGRIFF, Nijel). PENALTY Before the snap, LA Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the NSU41 to the NSU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 5
OWN 46
-3
98.4%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 3 yards to the NWST 43Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the NWST 43Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-11
98.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Tyler Guidry for a loss of 11 yards to the NWST 32Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Brett Money punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.6%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 52 yds, downed at the NWST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:031% → 1%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
98.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Travon Jones for 6 yds to the NWST 21Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
98.7%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 1 yd to the NWST 22Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+1
98.7%
Kolbe Burrell run for 1 yd to the NWST 23Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Brett Money punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:1599% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
98.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 35 yds to the NWST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the NWST 23Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+5
99.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the NWST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.0%
Ben Wooldridge run for 3 yds to the NWST 15Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
99.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the NWST 9Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-7
99.2%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Kevin Davis Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the NWST 16Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
99.6%
Kenneth Almendares 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 4:331% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Twon Hines for 5 yds to the NWST 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Scooter Adams for 1 yd to the NWST 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Scooter Adams run for 3 yds to the NWST 34Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.5%
Kolbe Burrell run for 9 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.5%
Scooter Adams run for 2 yds to the NWST 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
99.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 5 yards to the NWST 40Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-10
99.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Antoine Baylis for a loss of 10 yards to the NWST 30Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 23
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Brett Money punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 29TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 3 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for 6 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the UL 46Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+15
99.7%
Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (Ara Rauls III) to the NWST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.7%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the NWST 21Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
99.7%
Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the NWST 48Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Tavion Smith for 21 yds for a TD (Alan Guerrieri KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 30TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:580% → 0%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 37Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Kennieth Lacy run for 4 yds to the NWST 41Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 44Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Dennis Smith for 6 yds to the UL 47Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+47
99.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Scooter Adams for 47 yds for a TD (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 31END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Kendrell Williams run for 2 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Kendrell Williams run for 12 yds to the NWST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Kendrell Williams run for 9 yds to the NWST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:28
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 50 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 9:09
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 32 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 11:39
Ben Wooldridge run for 24 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com