Try the model
BUCK

Bucknell 3 at James Madison 38

JMU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Bridgeforth Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadBUCK aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreBUCK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:52 · Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior+45.7Home team on offense+1.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:26: Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:02: Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds for a TD — JMU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:17: Timeout James Madison, clock 05:17 — BUCK win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:45: Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:28: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 57 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BUCK made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 10:12BUCK 4th & 8 at BUCK 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45JMU 4th & 11 at BUCK 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05BUCK 4th & 9 at BUCK 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52JMU 4th & 6 at BUCK 6, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:05BUCK 4th & 1 at JMU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:40BUCK 4th & 12 at BUCK 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:11JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:09BUCK 4th & 3 at BUCK 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00BUCK 4th & 14 at JMU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:01JMU 4th & 7 at JMU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:41BUCK 4th & 9 at BUCK 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:06JMU 4th & 3 at BUCK 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:25BUCK 4th & 10 at BUCK 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:27BUCK 4th & 16 at BUCK 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:06JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:23BUCK 4th & 10 at BUCK 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:26BUCK 4th & 3 at BUCK 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 14:26JMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:02JMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:45JMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:28JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:35JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUCKDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:121% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds to the BUCK 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 9 yds to the BUCK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.4%
Coleman Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUCK 35Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-2
99.2%
Ralph Rucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUCK 33 Ralph Rucker fumbled, recovered by JMU Jamree KromahSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.3%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Cole Potts) to the BUCK 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 15
OPP 38
0
99.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Reggie Brown for no gain to the BUCK 38Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+2
99.3%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the BUCK 36Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
99.2%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUCK 25Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Charlie Kreinbucher for 4 yds to the BUCK 29Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.1%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds to the BUCK 34Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the BUCK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the BUCK 22Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
99.1%
Bucknell Penalty, Delay Of Game (Connor Carretta) to the BUCK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
99.1%
Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUCK 18Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+36
98.9%
Camden Wise 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:401% → 1%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Ralph Rucker run for 2 yds to the BUCK 27Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 2 yds to the BUCK 29Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
98.9%
RUCKER, Ralph scrambles to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the BUC37 (JONES, Taurus). PENALTY BUC Holding on BAKER, Rushawn enforced 10 yards from the BUC29 to the BUC19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
99.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 7 yds to the BUCK 26Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Ruben Anderson punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1399% → 98%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 8 yds to the BUCK 37Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
98.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the BUCK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
98.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 7 yds to the BUCK 22Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+13
98.8%
Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds to the BUCK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the BUCK 7Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.8%
Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the BUCK 6Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:472% → 2%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+32
98.4%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Damian Harris for 32 yds to the BUCK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.3%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+30
98.3%
Rushawn Baker run for 30 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
98.2%
Ralph Rucker run for 6 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
98.2%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+3
98.2%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the JMU 23Similar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
98.1%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the JMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:3498% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+57
98.1%
Kaelon Black run for 57 yds to the BUCK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
98.2%
Kaelon Black run for 11 yds to the BUCK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 5:462% → 2%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the BUCK 28Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.3%
Coleman Bennett run for 5 yds to the BUCK 33Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.3%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Adam Barakat for 16 yds to the BUCK 49 for a 1ST down Bucknell Penalty, Personal Foul (Connor Carretta) to the BUCK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.3%
Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the BUCK 37Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+14
98.3%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Josh Gary for 14 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
98.2%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Adam Barakat for 3 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
98.2%
Rushawn Baker run for 1 yd to the JMU 45Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
98.2%
Ralph Rucker run for 4 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-10
98.3%
QB Keeper RUCKER, Ralph rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the JMU38 (WALKER, Jailin). PENALTY BUC Holding on QUARTERMAN, Sean enforced 10 yards from the JMU41 to the BUC49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.9%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
97.9%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMU 40Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
97.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
97.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 59 yds, downed at the BUCK 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 4:022% → 3%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
97.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 6 yds to the BUCK 7Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+2
97.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the BUCK 9Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+5
97.9%
Ralph Rucker run for 5 yds to the BUCK 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
97.8%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the BUCK 18Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+1
97.8%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the BUCK 19Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+2
97.8%
Ralph Rucker run for 2 yds to the BUCK 21Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
97.4%
Ruben Anderson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0798% → 99%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+30
97.5%
Kaelon Black run for 30 yds to the BUCK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.6%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the BUCK 13Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
98.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 13FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.3%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Damian Harris for 20 yds to the BUCK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
98.2%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Damian Harris for 9 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+18
98.1%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 18 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.0%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Eric Weatherly for no gain to the JMU 28Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
98.0%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-4
97.9%
Ralph Rucker sacked by Taurus Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
97.8%
Matt Schearer 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
97.9%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMU 28Similar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:203% → 3%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
97.4%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUCK 31Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Ralph Rucker run for no gain to the BUCK 31Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+4
97.6%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the BUCK 35Similar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
97.4%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3598% → 97%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
97.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 8 yds to the BUCK 9Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+2
97.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the BUCK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
97.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the BUCK 2Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.7%
Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the BUCK 2Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
97.6%
Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUCK 3Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
97.3%
Yamir Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUCK 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
97.1%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUCK 1Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+3
97.2%
Rushawn Baker run for 3 yds to the BUCK 4Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 4
0
97.2%
Ralph Rucker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
97.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 39 yds, downed at the BUCK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
97.6%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 15 yds to the BUCK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
97.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the BUCK 21Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+16
96.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 16 yds to the BUCK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Nick Semptimphelter pass complete to Josh Gary for 2 yds to the BUCK 27Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the BUCK 28Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
99.0%
Nick Semptimphelter sacked by Jailin Walker and James Carpenter for a loss of 9 yards to the BUCK 19Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
99.3%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Mike Bright Jr. and Brad Jamison for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 33Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+5
99.3%
Latrele Palmer run for 5 yds to the JMU 38Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Ryan Hanson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ethan Robinson at the BUCK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.2%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 11 yds to the BUCK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.1%
Bucknell Penalty, False Start (Okeyo Ayungo) to the BUCK 26Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Ralph Rucker run for 4 yds to the BUCK 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUCK 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Ralph Rucker pass complete to Eric Weatherly for 2 yds to the BUCK 31Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Ruben Anderson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
99.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 22 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.6%
MCCLOUD, Jordan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Reggie broken up by TAYLOR, Mason at the BUC37. PENALTY BUC Holding on SMITH JR., Alex enforced 10 yards from the JMU38 to the JMU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
99.6%
MCCLOUD, Jordan scrambles to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU47, out of bounds. PENALTY JMU Holding on WYATT, Tyshawn enforced 10 yards from the JMU48 to the JMU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+5
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 57 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 23PUNT
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nick Semptimphelter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
99.9%
Nick Semptimphelter sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 11 yards to the BUCK 14Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+2
99.9%
Paul Neel run for 2 yds to the BUCK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 9 yds to the BUCK 46Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the BUCK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 15
50
+20
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 20 yds to the BUCK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the BUCK 23Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+10
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Maxwell Moss for 10 yds to the BUCK 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Maxwell Moss for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Paul Neel run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUCK 23Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
SEMPTIMPHELTER, Nick pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BARAKAT, Adam thrown to the BUC45. PENALTY JMU Offsides on NAOTALA, Seth enforced 5 yards from the BUC23 to the BUC28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Nick Semptimphelter pass complete to Paul Neel for 4 yds to the BUCK 32Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Nick Semptimphelter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ruben Anderson punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the JMU 36Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Brett Griffis pass complete to Wayne Knight for 11 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the JMU 48Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
GRIFFIS, Brett pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for DOLLISON, Omarion thrown to the BUC15. PENALTY BUC Pass Interference on PEARSON, Roman enforced 15 yards to the BUC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Brett Griffis pass complete to Troy Lewis for 5 yds to the BUCK 32Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Brett Griffis run for 4 yds to the BUCK 28Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 3 yds to the BUCK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
99.9%
Wayne Knight run for 22 yds to the BUCK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Brett Griffis run for 1 yd to the BUCK 2Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the BUCK 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:45
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 2:02
Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds for a TD
+1.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:17
Timeout James Madison, clock 05:17
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com