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CIT

The Citadel 0 at Georgia Southern 34

GASO
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—GASO 99.9%Michael Lantz 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 34 · Q4 9:25
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Q4 9:25 · Michael Lantz 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+25.8Garbage-time factor+13.9Blowout margin+11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:22: Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:02: Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:02 — CIT win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:40: Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 18 — GASO win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:24: Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK) — GASO win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5CIT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:02CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47GASO 4th & 1 at CIT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:53CIT 4th & 6 at CIT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56CIT 4th & 5 at CIT 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:02GASO 4th & 4 at CIT 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:45CIT 4th & 6 at GASO 36, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:32CIT 4th & 16 at GASO 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:23CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 47, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:21GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:52CIT 4th & 10 at CIT 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:24GASO 4th & 8 at CIT 43, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:57CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:25GASO 4th & 11 at CIT 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 28, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:34GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:22GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:24GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the CIT 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
98.0%
Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the CIT 31Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
97.9%
Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIT 28Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.9%
James Platte punt for 12 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:1798% → 98%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
97.8%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khaleb Hood) to the CIT 45Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+12
97.8%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the CIT 33Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+7
97.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the CIT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.7%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the CIT 21Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+4
97.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 4 yds to the CIT 17Similar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
97.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CIT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.5%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 5Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
97.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the CIT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.4%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the CIT 1Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the CIT 26Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
97.4%
Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 6 yards to the CIT 20Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
97.4%
Graeson Underwood pass complete to Cooper Wallace for 9 yds to the CIT 29Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.3%
James Platte punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:5597% → 98%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.3%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
97.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+5
97.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
97.2%
Dalen Cobb run for 15 yds to the CIT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
97.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the CIT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.1%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
97.1%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the CIT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
97.0%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 11Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
97.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 3 yds to the CIT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
96.9%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (Jjay Mcafee) to the CIT 13Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
96.8%
The Citadel Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Carson Walter) to the CIT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.5%
Jalen White run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:503% → 3%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.2%
Johnny Crawford III run for 4 yds to the CIT 29Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
97.1%
Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the CIT 30Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.0%
Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 30Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.1%
James Platte punt for 43 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GASO 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2097% → 98%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.2%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
97.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 9 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
97.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 30 yds to the CIT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the CIT 20Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-10
97.2%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Illegal Block (Khaleb Hood) to the CIT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
97.2%
OJ Arnold run for 17 yds Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIT 13Similar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 6
OPP 13
+13
98.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:312% → 2%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
98.2%
Cooper Wallace run for 26 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.1%
Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the GASO 48Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+12
98.1%
Cooper Wallace run for 12 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
98.1%
Graeson Underwood run for 12 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
97.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the GASO 23Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
97.9%
Johnny Crawford III run for 6 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
98.0%
Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+5
97.9%
(07:59) CRAWFORD III, Johnny rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the GS12 (LEE JR., Tarian;STROUD, MJ), clock 07:55. PENALTY GS Offsides on RHODES, Davion enforced 5 yards from the GS15 to the GS10 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
97.8%
Johnny Crawford III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 11Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-11
97.8%
Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 11 yards to the GASO 22 Graeson Underwood fumbled, recovered by GASO Tyrell DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 4:3898% → 99%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
98.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+7
98.4%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 3 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
98.4%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the CIT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
98.5%
Jalen White run for 10 yds to the CIT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
98.5%
OJ Arnold run for 17 yds to the CIT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the CIT 13Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+9
98.6%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the CIT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.7%
Jalen White run for no gain to the CIT 4Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.7%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.6%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
98.6%
Michael Lantz 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 25Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+35
98.2%
Cooper Wallace run for 35 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
97.8%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
97.9%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
98.0%
punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
98.5%
Jalen White run for 13 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.6%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+24
98.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 24 yds to the CIT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
98.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 9 yds to the CIT 18Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
98.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 2 yds to the CIT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
(12:23) UNDERWOOD, Graeson pass short to the right incomplete intended for GRAVES-BILLIPS, Jay thrown to the CIT28, clock 12:20. PENALTY GS Personal Foul on WALKER, Isaac enforced 15 yards from the CIT25 to the CIT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
99.7%
Graeson Underwood run for 27 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the GASO 30Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
99.7%
Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-8
99.7%
Graeson Underwood sacked by Khadry Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 34Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 11
OPP 34
-5
99.6%
The Citadel Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GASO 39Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
99.8%
James Platte punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Davis Brin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-2
99.8%
Ricky Conway run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIT 42Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Graeson Underwood pass complete to Johnny Crawford III for 5 yds to the CIT 47Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
99.8%
James Platte punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 6 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Alex Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.8%
Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the CIT 28Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
Graeson Underwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 27Similar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
James Platte punt for 48 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GASO 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the GASO 31Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
The Citadel Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Melvin Ravenel) to the CIT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CIT 42Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-8
99.9%
Davis Brin sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 15
50
+7
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the CIT 43Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Alex Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the CIT 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 12Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Graeson Underwood pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+23
99.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 23 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
The Citadel Penalty, False Start (Cameron Moewe) to the CIT 30Similar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the CIT 30Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Ricky Conway run for 5 yds to the CIT 35Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the CIT 38Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
James Platte punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+20
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 20 yds to the CIT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 15 yds to the CIT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Davis Brin sacked by Chris Iverson and Maurice Bonneau Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 30Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+20
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 30 yds Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chandler Strong) to the CIT 38Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 19
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Dalen Cobb for a loss of 1 yard to the CIT 39Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to OJ Arnold for 9 yds to the CIT 30Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
Michael Lantz 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the CIT 25Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the CIT 25Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the CIT 28Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Jack Weil punt for 42 yds , returns for no gain to the CIT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 6 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 8 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Terrance Gibbs run for 3 yds to the CIT 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Terrance Gibbs run for 7 yds to the CIT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
100.0%
JC French pass complete to KD Dorsey for 8 yds to the CIT 34Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+12
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for 12 yds to the CIT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
100.0%
JC French pass complete to DeAndre Buchannon for 7 yds to the CIT 15Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-7
100.0%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 7 yards to the CIT 22 David Mbadinga fumbled, recovered by CIT Maurice Bonneau Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
100.0%
Varney Fahrnbullah run for 13 yds to the CIT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Hayden Johnson run for 4 yds to the CIT 39Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Hayden Johnson run for 7 yds to the CIT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Varney Fahrnbullah run for 7 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Varney Fahrnbullah run for 5 yds to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Hayden Johnson run for 3 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Hayden Johnson run for 5 yds to the GASO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:24
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 16 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 12:22
Davis Brin pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)
+1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:40
Davis Brin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 18
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com