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PV

Prairie View A&M 0 at SMU 69

SMU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadPV aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scorePV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Ronald Young Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:17: Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 15 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:13: Chris Megginson 53 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Collin Rogers Kick) — SMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:40: Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 91 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:44: Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:05: Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PV made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:42PV 4th & 6 at PV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:13PV 4th & 7 at SMU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:52PV 4th & 12 at PV 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53PV 4th & 4 at SMU 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:41PV 4th & 12 at PV 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:08PV 4th & 3 at PV 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:17PV 4th & 4 at PV 46, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:07PV 4th & 15 at PV 20, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:24PV 4th & 8 at PV 18, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:27PV 4th & 10 at PV 25, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:49PV 4th & 3 at SMU 42, down 69
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:18SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 46, up 69
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:17SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:13SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:40SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:23SMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:44SMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:05SMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:34SMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:02SMU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:46SMU Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:18SMU Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PVDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Ahmad Antoine run for 1 yd to the PV 26Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Khristopher Simmons for 3 yds to the PV 29Similar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 21 yds to the PV 50, out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:2299% → 99%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
50
0
98.9%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
50
+1
98.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the PV 49Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
98.8%
(12:59) STONE, Preston pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KERLEY, Jordan thrown to the PVU7, clock 12:56. PENALTY PVU Pass Interference on BYRD III, Freddie enforced 15 yards to the PVU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the PV 33Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
98.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the PV 31Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
98.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 6 yds to the PV 25Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+12
98.7%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (12 Yards) to the PV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 15 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 3MISSED FG TD
17 plays · 56 yds · 8:001% → 2%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
Ahmad Antoine run for 4 yds to the PV 29Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
98.7%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Shemar Savage for 10 yds to the PV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
98.6%
Ahmad Antoine run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 38Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+15
98.6%
(09:16) CONNLEY, Trazon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SAVAGE, Shemar thrown to the SMU39, clock 09:14. PENALTY SMU Pass Interference on MEGGINSON, Chris enforced 15 yards to the SMU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.5%
Ahmad Antoine run for 2 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
98.5%
Ahmad Antoine run for 6 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
98.4%
Ahmad Antoine run for 4 yds to the SMU 35 Ahmad Antoine fumbled, recovered by PV Ahmad Antoine for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.3%
Caleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
98.3%
Caleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-5
98.2%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+9
98.2%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Khristopher Simmons for 9 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.1%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
98.1%
Caleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
98.0%
Caleb Johnson run for no gain to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+53
98.4%
Chris Megginson 53 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Collin Rogers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Ahmad Antoine run for 3 yds to the PV 28Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
98.3%
Trazon Connley sacked by Nelson Paul for a loss of 5 yards to the PV 23Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Efren Jasso punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2998% → 98%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd to the SMU 42Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
98.4%
Preston Stone pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:062% → 2%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.1%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
98.2%
Connor Wisham run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+8
98.1%
Connor Wisham run for 8 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Efren Jasso punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
1 play · 91 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+91
98.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 91 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:041% → 1%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.8%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Khristopher Simmons for 13 yds to the PV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
98.8%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PV 33Similar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
98.8%
Ahmad Antoine run for 3 yds to the PV 36Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-7
98.8%
Trazon Connley sacked by Kori Roberson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the PV 29Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+7
98.9%
Ahmad Antoine run for 7 yds to the PV 36Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Efren Jasso punt for 24 ydsSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
99.0%
(11:31) STONE, Preston pass deep to the left complete for 35 yards to BAILEY, Jake caught at the PVU30 and advanced to the PVU25, End of Play, clock 11:16. PENALTY SMU Holding on ERVIN, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the SMU40 to the SMU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+15
98.9%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Freddie Byrd III) to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.0%
Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the PV 44Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
99.0%
Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the PV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
99.0%
(10:16) STONE, Preston pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to BAILEY, Jake caught at the PVU30 and advanced to the PVU30 (LEWIS, Dejuan), clock 10:05. PENALTY SMU Holding on SPARKS, Ben enforced 10 yards from the PVU39 to the PVU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+15
99.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 15 yds to the PV 34Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
99.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the PV 30Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+13
99.1%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Face mask (13 yards) (Derrick Ray Jr.) to the PV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the PV 5Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Preston Stone run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:111% → 0%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Caleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the PV 27Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.6%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Illegal Snap on DA SILVA, Pedro enforced (-5 Yards) to the PV 22Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Caleb Johnson run for no gain to the PV 22Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Mekhi Metcalf for 10 yds to the PV 32Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Efren Jasso punt for 42 yds, downed at the SMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+15
99.4%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Calvin Pressley Jr.) to the PV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
99.5%
Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the PV 40 for a 1ST down Prairie View A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Caleb Johnson) to the PV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 9 yds to the PV 16Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
99.5%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
99.5%
Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the PV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.6%
Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the PV 5Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Connor Wisham run for 2 yds to the PV 27Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.8%
CONNLEY, Trazon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SPILLER, Trejon thrown to the SMU47, clock 02:59. PENALTY SMU Pass Interference on ROGERS, Jahari enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the PVU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass complete to David Murray for 6 yds to the PV 46Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Efren Jasso punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 3 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
99.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 16 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
99.7%
SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 18
OWN 31
+9
99.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
99.7%
Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+33
99.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 33 yds to the PV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+20
99.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 20 yds to the PV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 59 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Connor Wisham run for 3 yds to the PV 28Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
99.8%
Trazon Connley sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the PV 20Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.8%
Kevin Jennings run for 8 yds to the PV 48Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the PV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Carter Campbell for 10 yds to the PV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.8%
Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the PV 27Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 27 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Channing Dumas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Connor Wisham run for no gain to the PV 16Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Channing Dumas run for 2 yds to the PV 18Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the PV 47Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the PV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the PV 36Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the PV 32Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 5 yds to the PV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the PV 23Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
99.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Joey Bruszer for 23 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Channing Dumas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jamarious Brooks run for 1 yd to the PV 26Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Jamarious Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 25Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+26
99.9%
Alex Padilla pass complete to Tripp Riordan for 26 yds to the PV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 9 yds to the PV 20Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 5 yds to the PV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the PV 11Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 6 yds to the PV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the PV 3Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 7 yds to the PV 37Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+14
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 14 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 1 yd to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Efren Jasso punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Keldric Luster pass complete to Keaton Cheves for 3 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
99.9%
Zane Minors run for 10 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+10
100.0%
Keldric Luster run for 10 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
Zane Minors run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 41Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Zane Minors run for 5 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Keldric Luster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 47 yds · 5:450% → 0%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Channing Dumas run for 3 yds to the PV 23Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Jamarious Brooks run for 1 yd to the PV 24Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
Channing Dumas pass complete to Marquise Doucette for 11 yds to the PV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Jamarious Brooks run for 3 yds to the PV 38Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Jamarious Brooks run for 2 yds to the PV 40Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+17
100.0%
Jamarious Brooks run for 17 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Jamarious Brooks run for 1 yd to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for 6 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
SMU Penalty, Offsides (Mike Yoan Sandjo-Njiki) to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
100.0%
Ronald Young Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:40
Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 91 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 3:13
Chris Megginson 53 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Collin Rogers Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q1 11:17
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 15 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com