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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 14 at Memphis 56

MEM
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:19 · Max Tulen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+31.7Home team on offense+33.2Score differential+27.0Blowout margin+13.5Garbage-time factor+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:28: Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK) — BCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:15: Amarie Jones 69 Yd Interception Return (Cade Hechter Kick) — BCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:13: Seth Morgan 26 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:26: Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Henigan pass to Anthony Landphere for Two-Point Conversion) — MEM win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:59: Sutton Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK) — MEM win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BCU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 9:09BCU 4th & 1 at MEM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39MEM 4th & 5 at BCU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07MEM 4th & 21 at BCU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46BCU 4th & 15 at BCU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:08MEM 4th & 1 at BCU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36BCU 4th & 12 at BCU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:13MEM 4th & 8 at BCU 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:19BCU 4th & 13 at BCU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:06BCU 4th & 14 at BCU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:03BCU 4th & 3 at BCU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:18BCU 4th & 3 at BCU 43, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:19BCU 4th & 7 at BCU 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:58BCU 4th & 24 at BCU 11, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:20BCU 4th & 19 at BCU 16, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:53MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 43, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:22BCU 4th & 4 at BCU 38, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:37MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 23, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:55BCU 4th & 19 at BCU 32, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:28MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15BCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:08MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:26MEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:59MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:27MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:23MEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:37MEM Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:25BCU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 1 yd to the MEM 28Similar
Q1 14:58
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+22
99.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
50
+13
99.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 13 yds to the BCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
99.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 22 yds to the BCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.6%
Blake Watson run for 13 yds to the BCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:191% → 1%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Walter Simmons III run for 6 yds to the BCU 31Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Dacarri Allen-Johnson for 3 yds to the BCU 34Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.5%
Jaiden Bivens run for 8 yds to the BCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.5%
Walter Simmons III run for 7 yds to the BCU 49Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Daveno Ellington for no gain to the BCU 49Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
99.5%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 2 yds to the MEM 49Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
99.3%
Jimmie Robinson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:0299% → 99%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 7 yds to the BCU 43Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-2
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the BCU 45Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+17
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 17 yds to the BCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 12 yds to the BCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds Memphis Penalty, Offensive Holding (Demeer Blankumsee) to the BCU 24Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 18
OPP 24
-3
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for a loss of 3 yards to the BCU 27Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 21
OPP 27
0
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 21
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for no gain to the BCU 27Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 21
OPP 27
+45
99.1%
Seth Morgan 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Walter Simmons III run for no gain to the BCU 25Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
SIMMONS III, Walter pass to the left complete for 14 yards to LYNUM, Caleb caught at the BCU38 and advanced to the BCU39 (BELL, DJ). PENALTY BCU Illegal Touch-Pass on LYNUM, Caleb enforced 0 yards from the BCU25 to the BCU25, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.1%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dacarri Allen-Johnson) to the BCU 20Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.1%
Max Tulen punt for 24 yds, downed at the BCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.1%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the BCU 43Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+24
99.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 24 yds to the BCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-69
98.8%
Amarie Jones 69 Yd Interception Return (Cade Hechter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0799% → 99%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
98.8%
Sutton Smith run for 12 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
98.8%
Sutton Smith run for 11 yds to the BCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.9%
Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the BCU 44Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
98.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 9 yds to the BCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.7%
Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the BCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
98.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 5 yds to the BCU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
98.7%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the BCU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
98.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the BCU 15Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Blake Watson run for 15 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
98.7%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Dacarri Allen-Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the BCU 16Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+1
98.7%
Walter Simmons III run for 1 yd to the BCU 17Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
98.8%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Max Tulen punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2399% → 99%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 5 yds to the BCU 14Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
98.7%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the BCU 13Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+4
98.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 4 yds to the BCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.7%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the BCU 8Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
98.9%
Seth Morgan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Corey Turner II for 1 yd to the BCU 26Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.7%
Terry Lindsey run for 4 yds to the BCU 30Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.7%
Terry Lindsey run for 1 yd to the BCU 31 Terry Lindsey fumbled, recovered by MEM Andres FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:3999% → 99%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
98.8%
Memphis Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BCU 30Similar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 9
OPP 30
+19
98.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 19 yds to the BCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
98.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 9 yds to the BCU 2Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Henigan pass to Anthony Landphere for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.3%
Walter Simmons III sacked by CorMontae Hamilton for a loss of 3 yards to the BCU 22Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Max Tulen punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 4 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+11
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 11 yds to the BCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the BCU 41Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.2%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Nebanye Moore for 1 yd to the BCU 24Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+1
99.2%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 1 yd to the BCU 25Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+15
99.2%
TULEN, Max punt 23 yards to the BCU48 out of bounds, clock 02:23. PENALTY MEM Roughing the Kicker on THOMAS, Brandon enforced 15 yards from the BCU25 to the BCU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.2%
Walter Simmons III run for 3 yds to the BCU 43Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
99.2%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 1 yd to the BCU 44Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-8
99.1%
Walter Simmons III sacked by An'Darius Coffey for a loss of 8 yards to the BCU 36Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Max Tulen punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
99.4%
Seth Henigan sacked by Amarie Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MEM 8Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 16
OWN 8
+21
99.5%
Blake Watson run for 21 yds to the MEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.4%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the MEM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 2 yds to the BCU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.2%
Jimmie Robinson III run for 2 yds to the BCU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Christopher Grant Iii for 3 yds to the BCU 32Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Max Tulen punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:0499% → 100%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the BCU 38Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+9
99.3%
Sutton Smith run for 9 yds to the BCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
99.3%
Sutton Smith run for 14 yds to the BCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
99.3%
Sutton Smith run for 11 yds to the BCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Sutton Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Walter Simmons III run for 11 yds to the BCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Jouvensly Bazil for 1 yd to the BCU 37Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 7 yds to the BCU 44Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
99.8%
Jouvensly Bazil run for a loss of 1 yard to the BCU 43Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Max Tulen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the MEM 22Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+22
99.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 22 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the BCU 47Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 47 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 8 yds to the BCU 33Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BCU 28Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Max Tulen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 6 yds to the MEM 39Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+54
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 54 yds to the BCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for no gain to the BCU 7Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Christian Carter for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Daveno Ellington for 5 yds to the BCU 30Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Walter Simmons III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-15
99.9%
SIMMONS III, Walter pass short to the left complete for 7 yards to ALLEN-JOHNSON, Dacarri caught at the BCU35 and advanced to the BCU37 (JOHNSON, Jaylen), out of bounds. PENALTY BCU Pass Interference on ELLINGTON, Daveno enforced 15 yards to the BCU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
99.9%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Forward Pass on SIMMONS III, Walter enforced (-5 Yards) to the BCU 11Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Max Tulen punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 16 yds to the BCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 5 yds to the BCU 20Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the BCU 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the BCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
99.9%
HARGROVE, Ke'Travion rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the BCU10 (HILL-ROBINSON, Omari), out of bounds. PENALTY MEM Holding on POUNDERS, Makylan enforced 10 yards from the BCU14 to the BCU24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+13
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 13 yds to the BCU 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+7
99.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the BCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the BCU 3Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Sutton Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
100.0%
Luke Sprague sacked by Jaylen Joyner for a loss of 6 yards to the BCU 19Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Walter Simmons III pass complete to Terry Lindsey for no gain to the BCU 19Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-5
100.0%
Bethune-Cookman Penalty, Delay Of Game (Dacarri Allen-Johnson) to the BCU 14Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass complete to Jaylin Terzado for 2 yds to the BCU 16Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Max Tulen punt for 45 yds, downed at the MEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 4 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for no gain to the MEM 43Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tevin Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dacarri Allen-Johnson at the BCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+20
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass complete to Omari Stewart for 20 yds to the BCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-6
100.0%
Luke Sprague sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the BCU 38Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Max Tulen punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Demeer Blankumsee at the MEM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
100.0%
Tevin Carter run for 11 yds to the MEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.9%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 16Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+9
99.9%
Tevin Carter pass complete to Christian Carter for 9 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 23Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dacarri Allen-Johnson at the BCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-16
100.0%
Luke Sprague pass complete to Jouvensly Bazil for a loss of 1 yard to the BCU 40 Bethune-Cookman Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the BCU 25Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 26
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 5 yds to the BCU 30Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Jouvensly Bazil run for 2 yds to the BCU 32Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Max Tulen punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the MEM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 28FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
100.0%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for 6 yds to the MEM 23Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Ke'Travion Hargrove run for no gain to the MEM 23Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+19
100.0%
Ejike Brown 19 Yd Fumble Return (Cade Hechter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CARTER, Tevin at MEM42 (team loss of 5).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CARTER, Tevin at MEM37 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:26
Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Seth Henigan pass to Anthony Landphere for Two-Point Conversion)
+0.6
TD · Q3 10:59
Sutton Smith run for 4 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 2:15
Amarie Jones 69 Yd Interception Return (Cade Hechter Kick)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com