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FAMU

Florida A&M 24 at South Florida 38

USF
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:08 · Jeremy Moussa pass intercepted
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense+26.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.4Score differential+11.1Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:07: Terrell Jennings run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Gillis KICK) — FAMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Byrum Brown pass complete to Jayson Littlejohn for 6 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +3.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:22: Byrum Brown run for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +7.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:04: Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Gillis KICK) — FAMU win probability +9.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:39: Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 10 of 10FAMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:56USF 4th & 3 at FAMU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12FAMU 4th & 9 at FAMU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54USF 4th & 6 at FAMU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:24USF 4th & 3 at FAMU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51USF 4th & 5 at FAMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07FAMU 4th & 8 at USF 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:18USF 4th & 16 at USF 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:32USF 4th & 19 at FAMU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:50FAMU 4th & 7 at USF 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:05USF 4th & 5 at USF 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:39FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:03FAMU 4th & 13 at FAMU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:10USF 4th & 17 at FAMU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:39USF 4th & 6 at FAMU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:16FAMU 4th & 2 at USF 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:08FAMU 4th & 16 at USF 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:56USF 4th & 12 at USF 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FAMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:21FAMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:05USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:02USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:07FAMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:48USF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:22USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:04FAMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:39USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:379% → 10%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
91.1%
Marcus Riley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAMU 20Similar
Q1 14:58
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+20
91.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Riley for 20 yds to the FAMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
91.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Kamari Young for 26 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.1%
South Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (Tramel Logan) to the USF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
91.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 8 yds to the USF 1Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Terrell Jennings 1 Yd Run (Cameron Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1690% → 90%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jayson Littlejohn for 5 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+22
90.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 22 yds to the FAMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Byrum Brown run for no gain to the FAMU 48Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
90.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 49Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+14
90.1%
Byrum Brown run for 14 yds to the FAMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+28
90.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 28 yds to the FAMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
90.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 18 yds to the FAMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 7 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5490% → 90%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
90.0%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the FAMU 14Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
90.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+4
90.0%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the FAMU 10Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+3
89.9%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the FAMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
90.0%
Byrum Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 8Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.4%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4310% → 10%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
90.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the FAMU 22Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
90.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
90.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
90.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the FAMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:1890% → 90%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 9
OWN 25
+4
90.1%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the USF 29Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
90.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 9 yds to the USF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
90.2%
DUKES, Michel rush up the middle for no gain to the USF38 (MORGAN, Javan). PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on DUNN JR, Anthony enforced 15 yards from the FAM50 to the FAM35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
90.4%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 36Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
90.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+5
90.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 5 yds to the FAMU 31Similar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
89.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 6INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1110% → 10%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
89.6%
Kelvin Dean run for 4 yds to the FAMU 35Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
89.5%
Florida A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FAMU 30Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
89.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+5
89.8%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass to the right complete for 1 yard to YOUNG, Kamari caught at the FAM30 and advanced to the FAM31 (BERRYHILL, Logan). PENALTY USF Offsides on HARRIS, D.J. enforced 5 yards from the FAM30 to the FAM35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+15
89.7%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DAVIS, Trevonte thrown to the USF45. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on BROWN, Aamaris enforced 15 yards to the FAM50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
50
-1
89.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jeremiah Pruitte for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 49Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
89.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
89.7%
BROWN, Byrum pass to the left incomplete intended for DUKES, Michel thrown to the USF39. PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on CHANEY JR., Johnny enforced 15 yards from the USF43 to the FAM42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1990% → 89%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
89.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jayson Littlejohn for 5 yds to the FAMU 37Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+2
89.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the FAMU 35Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
89.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the FAMU 33Similar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
88.7%
Florida A&M Penalty, False Start (Marcus Riley) to the FAMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 8INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:2011% → 11%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
88.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 15
OWN 28
0
88.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1390% → 89%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
89.5%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the FAMU 20Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
89.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the FAMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
89.5%
Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the FAMU 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
89.4%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the FAMU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
89.2%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
89.2%
John Cannon 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:4411% → 11%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.1%
Jaquez Yant run for 9 yds to the FAMU 34Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
88.8%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
88.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Riley for 12 yds to the FAMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.4%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the USF 49Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+5
88.6%
WILHOIT, Trey punt 39 yards to the USF10, fair catch by ATKINS, Sean, clock 12:19. PENALTY USF Running Into the kicker on HARRIS, D.J. enforced 5 yards from the USF49 to the USF44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-5
88.3%
Florida A&M Penalty, False Start (Nicholas Dixon) to the USF 49Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
88.6%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 48 yds, downed at the USF 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:4988% → 87%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
88.0%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the USF 3Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
87.9%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the USF 6Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
87.6%
South Florida Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the USF 3Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+12
87.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 12 yds to the USF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.1%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-9
87.9%
Byrum Brown sacked by Isaiah Major for a loss of 9 yards to the USF 9Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 16
OWN 9
0
87.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
87.0%
Andrew Stokes punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:1112% → 19%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
87.8%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Jacquez Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the FAMU 38Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+14
88.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 14 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
87.4%
South Florida Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Khafre Brown) to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
86.7%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
86.7%
Terrell Jennings run for no gain to the USF 26Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+17
87.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Koby Gross for 17 yds to the USF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
86.7%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 10Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.7%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass to the right incomplete intended for GASSETT, Jamari thrown to the USF0. PENALTY USF Holding on BERRYHILL, Logan enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the USF10 to the USF5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
86.7%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the USF 1Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.5%
Terrell Jennings run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 4:0985% → 89%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
85.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 12 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.8%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the USF 24Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+6
84.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 6 yds to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
84.9%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the USF 25Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-10
84.7%
BROWN, Byrum pass to the right complete for 20 yards to ATKINS, Sean caught at the USF40 and advanced to the USF45. PENALTY USF Holding on JENNINGS, Donovan enforced 10 yards from the USF25 to the USF15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+9
84.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 9 yds to the USF 24Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+15
84.6%
BROWN, Byrum pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TERRY, Yusuf thrown to the FAM38. PENALTY FAM Pass Interference on KING, Kym-Mani enforced 15 yards to the USF39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
85.6%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the USF 41Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-3
85.7%
Byrum Brown sacked by Gentle Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 38Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+16
82.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 16 yds to the FAMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+39
84.7%
Sean Atkins pass complete to Michel Dukes for 39 yds to the FAMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
84.9%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the FAMU 6Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jayson Littlejohn for 6 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:4311% → 12%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 12 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
88.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Riley for 22 yds to the USF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
88.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 21 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+13
87.6%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Riley for 13 yds Marcus Riley fumbled, recovered by USF D.J. HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
89.9%
K'Wan Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2889% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
88.6%
Byrum Brown run for 7 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+15
88.8%
WRIGHT, Nay'Quan rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the USF37 (DUNN JR, Anthony). PENALTY FAM Personal Foul on DUNN JR, Anthony enforced 15 yards from the USF39 to the FAM46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
89.5%
BROWN, Byrum pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for TERRY, Yusuf thrown to the FAM25. PENALTY FAM Pass Interference on FRAZIER, Winsome enforced 15 yards to the FAM31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
89.5%
Byrum Brown sacked by Allen Smith Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+5
89.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 5 yds to the FAMU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-8
89.1%
Byrum Brown sacked by Johnny Chaney Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the FAMU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 35
-5
87.8%
South Florida Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the FAMU 40Similar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
87.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jah'Marae Sheread at the FAMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17FG
17 plays · 82 yds · 7:4211% → 16%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
88.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the FAMU 11Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
88.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+9
90.0%
Jeremy Moussa run for 9 yds to the FAMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.5%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the FAMU 21Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
89.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+29
89.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Darian Oxendine for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
50
+15
88.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 15 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
87.7%
Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the USF 34Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+10
87.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 10 yds to the USF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-12
87.6%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Aamaris Brown for a loss of 12 yards to the USF 36Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 22
OPP 36
+13
88.8%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Trevonte Davis for 13 yds to the USF 23Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+10
88.4%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to RILEY, Marcus caught at the USF18 and advanced to the USF18 (CLARK, Braxton). PENALTY USF Holding on WARD, Tavin enforced 10 yards from the USF23 to the USF13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
87.6%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 14Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+4
87.7%
Jah'Marae Sheread run for 4 yds to the USF 10Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
88.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
84.4%
Cameron Gillis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4588% → 87%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for no gain to the USF 33Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
87.6%
Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the USF 38Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
86.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jah'Marae Sheread at the FAMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2615% → 14%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
85.3%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
85.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
86.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
86.5%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:1789% → 96%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
88.5%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the USF 47Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
87.5%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds to the FAMU 47Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+5
87.6%
Florida A&M Penalty, Offsides (Kendall Bohler) to the FAMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
88.9%
Michel Dukes run for 13 yds to the FAMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
89.4%
DUKES, Michel rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the FAM27 (MAJOR, Isaiah ). PENALTY Before the snap, FAM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the FAM29 to the FAM24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 5
OPP 24
0
89.4%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the FAMU 24Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
89.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+11
88.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 11 yds to the FAMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.2%
Byrum Brown run for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:576% → 5%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.5%
Kelvin Dean run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAMU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
94.6%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAMU 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
94.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
95.0%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 27 yds, downed at the FAMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:5396% → 97%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
96.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 6 yds to the FAMU 43Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+4
96.3%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the FAMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
97.3%
Byrum Brown sacked by Anthony Dunn Jr. and Gentle Hunt for a loss of 5 yards to the FAMU 44Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 15
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-2
97.0%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Khafre Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the FAMU 46Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
96.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jah'Marae Sheread at the FAMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:065% → 16%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+36
94.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 36 yds to the FAMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
94.4%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass short to the right incomplete intended for DIXON, Nicholas broken up by STOKES, Jaelen at the FAM49. PENALTY USF Holding on CLARK, Braxton enforced 10 yards from the FAM46 to the USF44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
94.1%
MOUSSA, Jeremy pass deep to the left complete for 27 yards to GASSETT, Jamari caught at the USF24 and advanced to the USF17 (TOWNSEL, Christopher). PENALTY FAM Holding on COVIN, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the USF44 to the FAM46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+9
94.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Marcus Riley for 9 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
94.1%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+45
84.4%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:1990% → 98%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
90.3%
Byrum Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 43Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+22
89.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 22 yds to the FAMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
91.0%
Byrum Brown sacked by Isaiah Major for a loss of 6 yards to the FAMU 41Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+4
90.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the FAMU 37Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+6
93.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the FAMU 31Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+31
98.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 5:314% → 2%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the FAMU 27Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
95.8%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 10 yds to the FAMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
95.5%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 14 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
95.4%
Terrell Jennings run for 4 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-2
95.5%
Jeremy Moussa run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 47Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+6
97.2%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Terrell Jennings for 6 yds to the USF 41Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+2
97.3%
Terrell Jennings run for 2 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.7%
Jeremy Moussa pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
97.7%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 41Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-4
97.7%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Jason Vaughn for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 45Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
98.0%
Jeremy Moussa pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:12100% → 99%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the USF 33Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 34Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-3
99.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 31Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 42 yds, downed at the FAMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
98.8%
Jeremy Moussa sacked by Jonathan Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the FAMU 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Nicholas Dixon for 4 yds to the FAMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:04
Jeremy Moussa pass complete to Kelvin Dean for 45 yds for a TD (Cameron Gillis KICK)
-9.7
TD · Q3 0:22
Byrum Brown run for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q4 7:39
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com