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FAU

Florida Atlantic 21 at Rice 24

RICE
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:37 · Quinton Jackson pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 1 yd to the FAU 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense+19.8Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score differential+1.2Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:36: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK) — FAU win probability +13.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:27: AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +13.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 11 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +17.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Michael Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK) — FAU win probability +19.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:56: Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 01:56 — RICE win probability +13.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:34RICE 4th & 1 at FAU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−2.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:28FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:38FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:02RICE 4th & 1 at FAU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−10.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:04RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:29FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:40RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−6.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:57FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:37RICE 4th & 2 at FAU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−1.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−19.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:17FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:48FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:04RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:36FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:27RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:25FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
61.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 75 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:1461% → 59%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 2 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 16 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 3
50
+3
61.2%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
61.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 15 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
61.3%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 17 yds to the FAU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
61.2%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the FAU 13Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+6
61.2%
AJ Padgett run for 6 yds to the FAU 7Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
61.2%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the FAU 6Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
59.1%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the FAU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:0641% → 42%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
58.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 10 yds to the FAU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
58.5%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the FAU 16Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
58.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+3
58.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 3 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+10
58.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 68 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 10 yds to the RICE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 3:2458% → 62%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
57.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+21
57.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 21 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 6
50
+18
58.7%
Luke McCaffrey run for 18 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
59.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 12 yds to the FAU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
62.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 20 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:1840% → 39%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
60.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
60.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
59.8%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 5 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
59.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 7
50
+3
59.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-8
59.5%
Tyriq Starks sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FAU 39Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 18
OWN 39
+7
60.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 7 yds to the RICE 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:3061% → 64%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
60.8%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
60.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 4 yds to the RICE 22Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+5
60.5%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
61.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 30 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
62.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
62.6%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+12
62.3%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 12 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
62.9%
Kobie Campbell run for 8 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
62.9%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+6
62.6%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the FAU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
63.4%
PENALTY Rice Delay Of Game 5 yards from FAU14 to FAU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+4
63.2%
AJ Padgett run for 4 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
63.5%
AJ Padgett pass intercepted Daedae Hill return for no gain to the FAU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:3841% → 42%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
59.2%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 2Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
59.4%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FAU 5Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+8
60.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 8 yds to the FAU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
58.9%
Tony Johnson run for 10 yds to the FAU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
58.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
58.8%
Xavier Terrell run for 5 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+11
59.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 2
OWN 31
+14
57.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 48 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 14 yds to the RICE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 3:3661% → 65%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.6%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the RICE 35Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
60.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 19 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
63.3%
Dean Connors run for 13 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
63.8%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
64.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
64.1%
AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the FAU 18Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+7
64.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds to the FAU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.1%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
64.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 9 yds to the FAU 2Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
62.1%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+20
65.2%
Tim Horn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5664% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.7%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 2 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
62.3%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
62.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:2838% → 53%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
62.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+15
64.0%
Daniel Richardson run for 15 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
60.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
47.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:0951% → 70%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Landon Ransom-GoelzSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
50.7%
PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Morris,Jarron) 15 yards from Rice31 to Rice46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
53.8%
Dean Connors run for 20 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
55.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
56.8%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Juma OtovianoSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+3
54.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+15
52.9%
PENALTY FAU Pass Interference 15 yards from FAU31 to FAU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
56.8%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the FAU 20Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
56.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Chase JenkinsSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+10
54.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the FAU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
56.8%
AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the FAU 7Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5836% → 33%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.2%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
63.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 13 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
61.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+10
60.1%
Daniel Richardson run for 10 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+2
64.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+10
66.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 48 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 10 yds to the RICE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2966% → 86%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 3 yds to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
65.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 10 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
67.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Padgett,AJ pass incomplete deep right to MacNeill,Rawson PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Hill,Daedae) 15 yards from Rice38 to FAU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
69.4%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
69.4%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.4%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
70.3%
AJ Padgett run for 14 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
70.4%
AJ Padgett sacked by Decarius Hawthorne for a loss of 10 yards to the FAU 31Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+20
68.6%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 20 yds to the FAU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
86.3%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 11 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3516% → 39%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
84.4%
Xavier Terrell run for 35 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
81.2%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to BJ Alexander for 13 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
79.7%
Tyriq Starks run for 9 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+1
79.7%
LaJohntay Wester run for 1 yd to the RICE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
79.7%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the RICE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
60.6%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4571% → 69%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.6%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 4 yds to the RICE 21Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
69.9%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the RICE 23Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
68.3%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Rawson MacNeillSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
68.5%
Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for no gain to the FAU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:4334% → 30%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
66.5%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Devin Price for 9 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
62.9%
Tyriq Starks run for no gain to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
63.9%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Zeke Moore for 3 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
63.2%
Tyriq Starks sacked by Coleman Coco for a loss of 7 yards to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+4
67.4%
Xavier Terrell run for 4 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
68.2%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
69.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the RICE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17DOWNS
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:2072% → 90%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
72.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds to the RICE 21Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+6
72.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
72.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 10 yds to the RICE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
73.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
50
+6
76.0%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
76.4%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
76.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 5 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
77.4%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Banks,Brant) 5 yards from FAU35 to FAU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
76.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
75.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 8 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
77.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
91.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+5
90.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 5 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+1
89.5%
Quinton Jackson pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 1 yd to the FAU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2015% → 12%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.4%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
85.5%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
86.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
88.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:1793% → 97%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
93.3%
Kneel down by Rice at FAU23 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-2
96.7%
Kneel down by Rice at FAU25 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:25
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q3 0:00
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 11 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
+17.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:56
Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 01:56
+13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com