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OHIO

Ohio 17 at Florida Atlantic 10

FAU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-16.3FAU 14.9%Alex Kasee 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q4 5:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:26 · Alex Kasee 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−25.3Garbage-time factor−12.4Pregame prior+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.0Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:12: Jarron Morris 72 Yd Interception Return (Carter Davis Kick) — FAU win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:38: O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Kasee KICK) — OHIO win probability +19.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:26: Alex Kasee 39 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +16.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:47: Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FAU 42 — FAU win probability +11.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:24: O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 35 — OHIO win probability +11.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 9:21FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46OHIO 4th & 3 at FAU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:40OHIO 4th & 6 at FAU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:01FAU 4th & 17 at FAU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:13FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:54FAU 4th & 9 at OHIO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:17FAU 4th & 25 at FAU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−4.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:40FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:12OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 38, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:26OHIO 4th & 3 at FAU 22, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%−1.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−16.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:31FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:47OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:24FAU 4th & 5 at OHIO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−6.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−6.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:19OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:12FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:23OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:38OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2556% → 55%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
55.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
55.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the FAU 29Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
55.4%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
55.3%
Logan Lupo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
55.2%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:5945% → 45%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
55.2%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Evan Anderson) to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
55.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 15 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 9 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
55.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
55.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the FAU 35Similar
Q1 14:45
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+8
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
55.4%
Alex Kasee 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:4144% → 44%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.8%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
55.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
55.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the OHIO 39Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
55.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+9
55.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 9 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
55.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 7 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
55.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the FAU 41Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+5
55.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
55.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+5
55.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 5 yds to the FAU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3957% → 57%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
57.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 21 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
58.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+3
57.5%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the FAU 45Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 17
OWN 45
0
57.1%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
56.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:0144% → 44%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+27
56.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Walton for 27 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
55.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 33Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+10
56.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 10 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
56.3%
Jared Wheatley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:4757% → 57%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
57.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
57.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+10
56.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 10 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
57.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
58.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+9
58.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Zeke Moore for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
58.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Zeke Moore for 6 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-15
59.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Casey sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Ohio48 (Thompson,Keye) PENALTY FAU Face Mask (McCammon,Larry) 15 yards from Ohio44 to FAU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+6
57.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 6 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 35
+7
56.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+4
57.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 37 yds , Tyler Walton returns for 4 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1044% → 45%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
55.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
55.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 33 Sieh Bangura fumbled, recovered by FAU Darius McClendonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:0961% → 62%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
61.4%
Larry McCammon run for 12 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
61.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marvin LandySimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
61.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the OHIO 18Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 7
OPP 18
-2
60.6%
Casey Thompson sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 20Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
61.6%
Logan Lupo 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11INT TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4238% → 32%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.8%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jarron Morris) to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
59.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 11 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
59.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-72
68.2%
Jarron Morris 72 Yd Interception Return (Carter Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4929% → 41%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.1%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
69.4%
O'Shaan Allison run for 7 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
70.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
68.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
68.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
68.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
68.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 2 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+7
68.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the FAU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
67.2%
PENALTY FAU Targeting (Hawthorne,Decarius) 14 yards from FAU27 to FAU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
67.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Bryce ButlerSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
67.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the FAU 13Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
59.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 13 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:1763% → 62%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
62.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
62.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FAU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:3561% → 60%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
61.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 13 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
63.1%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 46Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
62.9%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+8
63.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.8%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-15
63.6%
Casey Thompson sacked by Shane Bonner for a loss of 15 yards to the FAU 45Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 25
OWN 45
0
60.1%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
60.4%
Logan Lupo punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:3939% → 61%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
61.3%
O'Shaan Allison run for 4 yds to the OHIO 24Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
61.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 24Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+6
62.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
60.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+17
60.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 17 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
57.9%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the OHIO 49Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
58.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Mason Williams for 12 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+34
57.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Mason Williams for 34 yds to the FAU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Kasee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5146% → 41%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
46.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 15 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
48.9%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+3
46.7%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
45.9%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
41.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Walton at the OHIO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2859% → 62%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
40.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 6 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
39.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
40.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
39.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
38.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the OHIO 38Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
38.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
38.4%
Jared Wheatley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18INT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:4542% → 40%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
41.7%
Larry McCammon run for 8 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+2
44.4%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.3%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+7
41.5%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 7 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
43.8%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
46.8%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Neal,Chaz) 5 yards from Ohio45 to Ohio50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
50
0
43.8%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
50
-2
43.2%
Casey Thompson sacked by Dontay Hunter II for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 48Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 17
OWN 48
0
39.9%
Casey Thompson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:4968% → 85%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for no gain to the OHIO 40Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
33.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 9 yds to the OHIO 49Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
32.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+7
31.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
30.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
31.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to O'Shaan AllisonSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
31.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
29.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
29.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
31.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
14.9%
Alex Kasee 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:4423% → 21%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
23.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
25.6%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Larry McCammonSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
24.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
22.7%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Larry McCammonSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
20.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4486% → 89%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
14.5%
O'Shaan Allison run for no gain to the OHIO 23Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
14.6%
O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
15.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 28Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
11.1%
Jared Wheatley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:2323% → 17%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
22.7%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
24.3%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
21.6%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
50
+11
25.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jackson Sumlin for 11 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
27.0%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Larry McCammonSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
26.2%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
24.0%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
17.4%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Jackson SumlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:0594% → 94%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
6.0%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 35Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
5.7%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 34Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+1
6.2%
O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the OHIO 33Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+29
5.7%
Jared Wheatley punt for 38 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 29 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:1912% → 15%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
12.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 10 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
15.2%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
14.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jackson Sumlin for 6 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
14.9%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:38
O'Shaan Allison run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Kasee KICK)
-19
FG · Q4 5:26
Alex Kasee 39 yd FG GOOD
-16.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com