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ECU

East Carolina 22 at Florida Atlantic 7

FAU
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-1.8FAU 2.6%Andrew Conrad 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 22 - HOME 7 · Q4 3:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:13 · Andrew Conrad 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+1.3Home team on offense−42.4Score differential−21.5Garbage-time factor−10.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:07: Michael Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK) — FAU win probability +9.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. FG · Q2 2:37: Andrew Conrad 47 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +7.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. MISSED FG · Q3 4:06: Carter Davis 37 yd FG MISSED — ECU win probability +9.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:13: Andrew Conrad 43 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +5.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:05: Andrew Conrad 46 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +8.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13ECU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:29FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:47ECU 4th & 2 at FAU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:03FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:44FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:08ECU 4th & 11 at FAU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:25ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:37ECU 4th & 12 at FAU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00ECU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:46ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:43FAU 4th & 5 at ECU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:13ECU 4th & 14 at ECU 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−4.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:13FAU 4th & 3 at ECU 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−1.0
    70% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−10.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:06FAU 4th & 19 at ECU 19, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−11.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:13ECU 4th & 11 at FAU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−11.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:24FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 20, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:54ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 44, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:16FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 30, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:05ECU 4th & 7 at FAU 29, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−6.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:26FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:13ECU 4th & 5 at FAU 23, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−3.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:56FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 17, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  24. Q4 1:31ECU 4th & 13 at FAU 33, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:12FAU 4th & 1 at ECU 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:59ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:07FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3173% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
73.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
73.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
73.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:4227% → 28%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
73.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 35Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
73.1%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 4 yds to the ECU 39Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+14
73.1%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 14 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
72.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+3
72.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
72.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+3
73.0%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 3 yds to the FAU 36Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+7
73.0%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 7 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
71.8%
Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the FAU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3572% → 71%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for no gain to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
72.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
72.3%
Daniel Richardson run for 5 yds to the FAU 34 Daniel Richardson fumbled, recovered by FAU Daniel Richardson No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel rush middle for 5 yards loss to the FAU34 fumbled by Richardson,Daniel at FAU34 recovered by FAU Richardson,Daniel at FAU34, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
71.4%
Logan Lupo punt blocked by Julien Davis blocked by Julien Davis Lupo,Logan punt 0 yards to the FAU34 blocked by Davis,Julien recovered by ECU Barker,Jackson at FAU27, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 1:1329% → 33%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
70.7%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
70.7%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 4 yds to the FAU 18Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+18
67.5%
Gerald Green run for 18 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5669% → 68%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.5%
Daniel Richardson run for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
68.9%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Illegal Motion (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
68.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+14
67.5%
punt for 50 yds , Jsi Hatfield returns for 14 yds to the ECU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.3%
Alex Flinn pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1068% → 67%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 12
OWN 29
+4
67.9%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
68.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
67.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
66.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:3634% → 38%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
66.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 35Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
66.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
66.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 8 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
66.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 45Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+14
66.3%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 14 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
65.9%
Alex Flinn run for 7 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
65.8%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
62.7%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
62.8%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Antonio FergusonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
63.1%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
62.2%
Andrew Conrad 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:0262% → 61%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
62.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 3 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
62.1%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the FAU 19Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+15
61.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FAU13 (Stephens,Chad) PENALTY ECU Face Mask (Ware,Suirad) 15 yards from FAU19 to FAU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
62.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 12 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.0%
Daniel Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3539% → 40%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
61.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
60.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 13Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
61.3%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
60.1%
Luke Larsen punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:1860% → 66%
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+12
60.4%
LaJohntay Wester run for 12 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
61.4%
Larry McCammon run for 16 yds to the ECU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
61.4%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the ECU 8Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
61.4%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the ECU 3Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
60.4%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the ECU 40Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
65.8%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:3037% → 46%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Antonio FergusonSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Gerald Green for 11 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
62.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 3 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+6
63.4%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the ECU 39Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+33
62.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 33 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
60.2%
Alex Flinn sacked by Desmond Tisdol for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+1
60.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 1 yd to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-2
61.6%
Alex Flinn sacked by Evan Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+47
54.4%
Andrew Conrad 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:2756% → 54%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 5 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
56.2%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
56.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
56.5%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-10
56.1%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Elijah Morris for a loss of 10 yards to the FAU 29Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+2
53.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 23 , Jsi Hatfield returns for 2 yds to the ECU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:1045% → 48%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
54.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Javious Bond for 9 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+5
53.0%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 5 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.2%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
53.6%
Alex Flinn run for 11 yds to the ECU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.9%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
52.0%
Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 8
50
0
51.8%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
50
0
52.5%
Luke Larsen punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1448% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.4%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
53.1%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.3%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 1 yd pass complete to for no gain fumbled, recovered by FAU Shotgun Flinn,Alex pass complete short middle to Hatfield,Jsi for 1 yard loss to the ECU24 fumbled by Hatfield,Jsi at ECU24 forced by McClendon,Darius, out of bounds at ECU24. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field has been overturned. The runner stepped out of bounds (OVERTURNED PLAY: Shotgun #15 A.Flinn pass complete short left to #88 J.Hatfield for 0 yards to the ECU25 fumbled by #88 J.Hatfield at ECU25 forced by #13 D.McClendon recovered by FAU #9 D.Tisdol at #9 D.Tisdol return 0 yards to the ECU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:04).Similar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
54.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:0355% → 53%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
54.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the FAU 18Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+7
54.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marvin Landy for 7 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
53.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 9 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
55.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 13 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
57.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 48Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+4
57.4%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
57.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
53.2%
Logan Lupo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3050% → 50%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
50.3%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the ECU 10Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+5
50.3%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the ECU 5Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 14
OWN 5
0
51.5%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 14
OWN 5
0
50.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 5:0755% → 45%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
55.4%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
55.4%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the ECU 43Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+13
54.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 13 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
57.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
56.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
55.1%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the ECU 23Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+13
53.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 13 yds to the ECU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
56.9%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the ECU 11Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
56.9%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the ECU 8Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-11
55.1%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Suirad Ware for a loss of 11 yards to the ECU 19Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+37
45.4%
Carter Davis 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:5358% → 70%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Tyler Savage for 6 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
40.9%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
41.5%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
40.8%
Shotgun Flinn,Alex pass incomplete short left to Sowell,Chase PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Wester,Jaylen) 9 yards from ECU34 to ECU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+32
39.1%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 32 yds to the FAU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
37.6%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the FAU 26Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
37.9%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-10
33.7%
Shotgun Flinn,Alex pass complete short left to Patterson,Jhari for 9 yards to the FAU12 (Antoine,Michal) PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 10 yards from FAU21 to FAU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+5
35.3%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
30.3%
Andrew Conrad 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4931% → 26%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.1%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FAU 25Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
30.9%
Daniel Richardson sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
29.1%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the FAU 20Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+14
26.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECU 37 , Jsi Hatfield returns for 14 yds to the ECU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3073% → 74%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
27.1%
Kamarro Edmonds run for 4 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
26.1%
Kamarro Edmonds run for 3 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
26.5%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
25.6%
Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3827% → 19%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
26.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 4 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+6
26.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 6 yds to the FAU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
27.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tony JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
26.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
25.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+2
18.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 2 yds to the FAU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1183% → 90%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
17.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-2
17.3%
Alex Flinn sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+3
18.1%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
10.1%
Andrew Conrad 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3912% → 9%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-8
13.0%
Daniel Richardson sacked by J.D. Lampley for a loss of 8 yards to the FAU 23Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
10.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
9.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1393% → 97%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
7.3%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
7.3%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
7.6%
Alex Flinn run for 4 yds to the FAU 23Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
2.6%
Andrew Conrad 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:174% → 3%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
3.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Chad Stephens for a loss of 10 yards to the FAU 15Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
3.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 2 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
3.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+13
2.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 13 yds to the FAU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:2598% → 98%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
1.7%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+4
1.6%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+3
1.6%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 13
OPP 33
0
1.8%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:193% → 3%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
2.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+8
2.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 6
50
+5
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
3.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
1.4%
Kneel down by East Carolina at ECU43 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
MISSED FG · Q3 4:06
Carter Davis 37 yd FG MISSED
-9.7
TD · Q2 7:07
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)
+9.2
FG · Q4 7:05
Andrew Conrad 46 yd FG GOOD
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com