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MRSH

Marshall 31 at East Carolina 13

ECU
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:22 · Archer Trafford punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−7.7Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:32: Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:22: Mason Garcia pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +11.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:07: Chuck Montgomery pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 75 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK) — MRSH win probability +34.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:16: Rasheen Ali run for 56 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK) — MRSH win probability +19.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:13: Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34MRSH 4th & 1 at ECU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50ECU 4th & 3 at MRSH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07MRSH 4th & 11 at ECU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:09ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 2 at ECU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:28ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:03MRSH 4th & 2 at ECU 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:53ECU 4th & 14 at MRSH 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:54MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:04ECU 4th & 7 at MRSH 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−11.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:21MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:21ECU 4th & 1 at MRSH 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−5.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:47ECU 4th & 7 at MRSH 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−10.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:49MRSH 4th & 29 at MRSH 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:49MRSH 4th & 29 at MRSH 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:18ECU 4th & 27 at ECU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−8.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:33ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:13ECU 4th & 10 at MRSH 36, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:04ECU 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:31MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 38, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 11:32MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:22ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:07MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:16MRSH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:13MRSH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3842% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
42.1%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
42.1%
Mason Garcia run for 8 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
42.1%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
42.1%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
42.4%
Archer Trafford punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:4858% → 57%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
42.4%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the MRSH 47Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-3
42.4%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 44Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+16
42.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 16 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
42.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
42.6%
Cam Fancher run for 2 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+7
42.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 7 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-2
43.0%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4443% → 45%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
43.4%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
43.8%
Javious Bond run for 3 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
43.6%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
43.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the MRSH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
43.9%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
43.9%
Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the MRSH 38Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+5
43.8%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 5 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+2
44.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4356% → 55%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.9%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
44.1%
East Carolina Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
43.4%
QB Keeper FANCHER, Cam rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the MAR49 (LEWIS, Jeremy). PENALTY ECU Holding on BROWN, Tymir enforced 10 yards from the MAR44 to the ECU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.2%
PENALTY MAR Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MONTGOMERY, Charles ECU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WILK, Teagan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
43.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 8 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+10
43.1%
East Carolina Penalty, Face mask (10 yards) (BJ Davis) to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
42.8%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 20Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
43.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for no gain to the ECU 20Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+5
44.4%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the ECU 15Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
45.0%
Kameron Lake 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5845% → 45%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
45.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
45.3%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 18Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+9
44.7%
Mason Garcia run for 9 yds to the ECU 27Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
45.2%
Archer Trafford punt for 37 yds, downed at the MRSH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:3755% → 63%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
45.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MRSH 25Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+1
45.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the MRSH 26Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
45.5%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the MRSH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
44.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 30 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
43.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
43.8%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+9
44.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 9 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+13
44.8%
Cam Fancher run for 13 yds to the ECU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
43.1%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the ECU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
43.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+15
44.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 15 yds to the ECU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5939% → 38%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
39.2%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
39.1%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+1
38.4%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 1 yd to the ECU 25Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
37.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 45 yds, downed at the MRSH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:2561% → 67%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
38.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
39.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 7 yds to the MRSH 37Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+25
38.4%
Cam Fancher run for 10 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Dontavius Nash) to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
37.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
37.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
36.9%
Marshall Penalty, False Start (Jayden Harrison) to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+10
37.1%
FANCHER, Cam sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the ECU36 (STEPHENS, Chad). PENALTY ECU Holding on DILLWORTH, RaRa enforced 10 yards from the ECU33 to the ECU23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
36.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 20 yds to the ECU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.9%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the ECU 3Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
33.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 4Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
33.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the ECU 2Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
32.8%
Kameron Lake 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:1035% → 37%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+57
35.0%
Mason Garcia run for 57 yds to the MRSH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
38.4%
Javious Bond run for no gain to the MRSH 18Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-4
38.4%
Javious Bond run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 22Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
36.1%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+39
37.4%
Andrew Conrad 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1063% → 63%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
36.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-7
36.8%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 3 Rasheen Ali fumbled, recovered by ECU Jeremy LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4042% → 53%
Q2 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the MRSH 2Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
41.6%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the MRSH 2Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.2%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:2453% → 52%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
47.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+19
47.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 19 yds to the MRSH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
46.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 6 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
44.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
45.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
47.8%
John McConnell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5450% → 53%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
50.4%
Mason Garcia run for 10 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
51.5%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
51.2%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+11
49.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
50
0
53.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
-8
53.2%
Mason Garcia run for a loss of 8 yards to the ECU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:1353% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.0%
Cam Fancher run for 4 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
46.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 3 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
47.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 16 yds to the MRSH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
44.3%
FANCHER, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for CONLEY, Cade thrown to the ECU40. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on EDWARDS III, Michael enforced 15 yards to the ECU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
43.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
43.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
44.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
46.2%
Marshall Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Formation on FANCHER, Cam ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 5:4351% → 61%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
51.4%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 14 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
53.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECU 49Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+12
54.5%
Mason Garcia run for 12 yds to the MRSH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
54.9%
Mason Garcia run for 11 yds to the MRSH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
55.9%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the MRSH 28Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
55.8%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 7 yds to the MRSH 21Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+5
54.4%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the MRSH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
55.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Chase Sowell for 5 yds to the MRSH 11Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
55.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the MRSH 8Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 8
-5
54.4%
Mason Garcia sacked by Daytione Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 13Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
60.6%
Andrew Conrad 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:4342% → 36%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
57.8%
FANCHER, Cam pass deep to the left complete for 57 yards to MCMILLAN, Caleb caught at the ECU36 and advanced to the ECU18 (WOOD, Julius). PENALTY MAR Holding on WILLIS, Lloyd enforced 10 yards from the MAR25 to the MAR15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
58.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
60.0%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 10Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+9
61.3%
Cam Fancher run for 9 yds to the MRSH 19Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
63.6%
John McConnell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:3464% → 65%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.3%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 7
50
+2
64.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the MRSH 48Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
64.3%
Mason Garcia run for 4 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
62.9%
Mason Garcia run for 2 yds to the MRSH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
65.1%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the MRSH 40Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
65.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
64.9%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds to the MRSH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
66.6%
Javious Bond run for 4 yds to the MRSH 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-1
69.0%
Javious Bond run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
67.0%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
64.6%
Andrew Conrad 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 0:5837% → 31%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
63.0%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 22Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
64.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-14
65.4%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 14 yards to the MRSH 8Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 29
OWN 8
0
69.2%
John McConnell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 29
OWN 8
0
69.2%
John McConnell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 2:3172% → 68%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
71.5%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 8 yds to the MRSH 36Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-10
71.6%
HARRIS, Rahjai rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MAR29 (BURTON, Sam). PENALTY ECU Holding on FERGUSON, Antonio enforced 10 yards from the MAR36 to the MAR46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
70.0%
Mason Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 47Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 13
OPP 47
-15
67.8%
QB Keeper GARCIA, Mason rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the MAR38 (PORTER, Owen). PENALTY ECU Illegal use of the hands on HALL, Dustyn enforced 15 yards from the MAR47 to the ECU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 28
OWN 38
+1
66.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 39Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 27
OWN 39
0
67.5%
Luke Larsen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mason Pierce at the MRSH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
33.2%
Chuck Montgomery pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 75 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2740% → 36%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
39.6%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
40.2%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+2
37.8%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 2 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
35.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 49 yds, downed at the MRSH 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:1768% → 91%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
31.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MRSH 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-8
31.6%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 17 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by MRSH Chuck MontgomerySimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+29
33.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 29 yds to the MRSH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
28.6%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 44Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+56
9.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 56 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1013% → 12%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.3%
Mason Garcia pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:5391% → 98%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
8.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the ECU 14Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
2.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:093% → 2%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
3.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 39 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.8%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
3.8%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
3.7%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+15
3.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 15 yds to the MRSH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
4.4%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
4.3%
East Carolina Penalty, Holding Intentional Grounding on FLINN, Alex enforced a result of a (Shane Calhoun) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-2
3.9%
Alex Flinn run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 23Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 12
OPP 23
-8
2.4%
Alex Flinn sacked by J'Coryan Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the MRSH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:3399% → 98%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
1.2%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
1.1%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 37Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+1
1.9%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the MRSH 38Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
1.8%
John McConnell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.7%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 7 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
1.6%
Alex Flinn pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
1.6%
Ethan Payne run for 9 yds to the ECU 35Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
1.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FANCHER, Cam at ECU35 (team loss of 0).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:07
Chuck Montgomery pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 75 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)
-34.3
TD · Q4 7:16
Rasheen Ali run for 56 yds for a TD (Kameron Lake KICK)
-19.4
TD · Q2 2:22
Mason Garcia pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com