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RICE

Rice 28 at Charlotte 7

CLT
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:30 · Grant Gonya punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense−5.9Score differential−2.6Pregame prior−6.6Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:15: Tim Horn 37 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +1.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:39: AJ Padgett run for 2 yds for a TD (AJ Padgett pass to Rawson MacNeill for Two-Point Conversion) — RICE win probability +15.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:39: Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 29 — CLT win probability +5.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:59: Trexler Ivey pass incomplete — RICE win probability +7.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:30: Trexler Ivey run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Larson KICK) — CLT win probability +8.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:31CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07CLT 4th & 3 at RICE 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07RICE 4th & 2 at CLT 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25RICE 4th & 5 at CLT 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:39CLT 4th & 9 at RICE 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:30CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:41RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:07CLT 4th & 23 at CLT 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:15RICE 4th & 17 at CLT 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:08CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:22CLT 4th & 6 at RICE 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:59CLT 4th & 8 at RICE 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:23RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00CLT 4th & 19 at CLT 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:50RICE 4th & 6 at CLT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:13RICE 4th & 6 at CLT 20, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00RICE 4th & 14 at CLT 40, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 10:07RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:39RICE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:30CLT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:13RICE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2940% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.1%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
40.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+2
40.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
40.5%
Grant Gonya punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:2460% → 61%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
40.4%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
40.4%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+23
40.4%
Dean Connors run for 23 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
40.3%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+14
40.3%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 14 yds to the CLT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.3%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the CLT 5Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.3%
AJ Padgett run for 5 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:0040% → 40%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the CLT 26Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
39.9%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
39.7%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 16 yds to the CLT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
40.3%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 41Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+14
40.1%
Joachim Bangda run for 14 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
40.4%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+5
40.3%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 5 yds to the RICE 38Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
39.6%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 5:4262% → 63%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
38.4%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
38.3%
Dean Connors run for 9 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
38.2%
AJ Padgett run for 4 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
38.2%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
38.3%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+7
38.6%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 7 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
38.1%
Dean Connors run for 30 yds to the CLT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
38.0%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the CLT 5Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.0%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the CLT 5Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.1%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
36.6%
Tim Horn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:2136% → 35%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
36.1%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 13 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
36.8%
Joachim Bangda run for 15 yds to the RICE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
37.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the RICE 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
37.5%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd to the RICE 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-3
37.4%
Jalon Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 46Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
35.4%
Grant Gonya punt for 41 yds, downed at the RICE 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:0463% → 66%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
36.9%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the RICE 11Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+17
36.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 17 yds to the RICE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
36.1%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+13
36.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 13 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
34.3%
AJ Padgett pass intercepted C.J. Burton return for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0535% → 34%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
35.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
35.9%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
35.3%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Hahsaun Wilson for 2 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
34.4%
Grant Gonya punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4964% → 65%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
35.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 2 yds to the RICE 17Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
35.9%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
36.5%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
36.8%
Conor Hunt punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
35.0%
JONES, Jalon pass short to the left complete for 8 yards to BAKER II, Malik caught at the CLT43 and advanced to the CLT48 (FLOWERS, Tyson;DEVONES, Tre'shon). PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on FIELDS, Randy enforced 15 yards to the CLT25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 2:3434% → 31%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+4
33.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 21
OWN 29
+8
33.6%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 8 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-10
33.4%
Jalon Jones sacked by DJ Arkansas for a loss of 10 yards to the CLT 27Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+18
31.4%
Grant Gonya punt for 43 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 18 yds to the RICE 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:5269% → 71%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+40
31.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 40 yds to the CLT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
30.8%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-4
30.8%
Kobie Campbell run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 16Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 14
OPP 16
-3
30.7%
AJ Padgett run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 19Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+37
28.8%
Tim Horn 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:0729% → 28%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
28.5%
Jalon Jones run for no gain to the CLT 16Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
28.4%
WILSON, Hahsaun rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT11 (ARKANSAS, DJ) (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY RIC Targeting on COCO, Coleman enforced 15 yards from the CLT16 to the CLT31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
28.9%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
28.7%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
28.6%
IVEY, Trexler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WEBER, Colin thrown to the RIC37. PENALTY RIC Holding on WYATT, Plae enforced 10 yards from the CLT35 to the CLT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
29.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the CLT 46Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
29.4%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
28.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
27.5%
Grant Gonya punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:4873% → 74%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
27.4%
AJ Padgett sacked by Eyabi Okie-Anoma and Prince Bemah for a loss of 8 yards to the RICE 12Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+22
26.1%
Dean Connors run for 22 yds to the RICE 34 Dean Connors fumbled, recovered by CLT Dontez Fagan [SG] CONNORS, Dean rush up the middle for a gain of 22 yards, CONNORS, Dean fumbled at RIC34 forced by ALI, Al-Ma'hi, recovered by CLT FAGAN, Dontez at the RIC34, returned 0 yards to the RIC34, End of Play, clock 01:20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:5831% → 27%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
30.5%
Hahsaun Wilson run for no gain to the RICE 34Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
30.6%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jake Clemons for 4 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
29.4%
Trexler Ivey run for 5 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
28.4%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Jairus Mack) to the RICE 30Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
27.3%
Kyle Cunanan 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
24.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 4 yds to the RICE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:2174% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
25.7%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+11
25.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 11 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
24.4%
Dean Connors run for 34 yds to the CLT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
24.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 22 yds to the CLT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
24.0%
AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the CLT 2Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.3%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds for a TD (AJ Padgett pass to Rawson MacNeill for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:4014% → 8%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.8%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
14.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
14.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
14.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
15.5%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 6 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
15.5%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
15.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+15
15.3%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Joachim Bangda for 15 yds to the RICE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
16.0%
Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the RICE 27Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
15.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
15.3%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 8
OPP 25
0
7.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:3695% → 96%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.9%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
4.9%
AJ Padgett run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 29Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
5.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 7 yds to the RICE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
4.8%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the RICE 37Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-10
4.9%
QB Keeper PADGETT, AJ rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the RIC40 (HILL-GREEN, Nikhai). PENALTY RIC Holding on NUTTER, Braedon enforced 10 yards from the RIC37 to the RIC27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+6
5.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 6 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+6
5.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 6 yds to the RICE 39Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
3.6%
Conor Hunt punt for 32 yds, downed at the CLT 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:235% → 4%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.9%
Hahsaun Wilson run for no gain to the CLT 29Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
4.9%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-9
4.8%
Trexler Ivey sacked by Sean Fresch for a loss of 9 yards to the CLT 20Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 19
OWN 20
0
4.3%
Grant Gonya punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:2097% → 97%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
3.0%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-10
3.0%
QB Keeper PADGETT, AJ rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the CLT41 (HAZEL, Isaiah). PENALTY RIC Holding on DUMONT, Lavel enforced 10 yards from the RIC49 to the RIC39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 16
OWN 39
-39
2.7%
AJ Padgett pass intercepted Demetrius Knight II return for 39 yds to the RICE 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:355% → 4%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
4.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 2 yds to the RICE 13Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
4.5%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the RICE 10Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+7
3.7%
Rice Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jonathan Jean) to the RICE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:355% → 12%
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
5.1%
Trexler Ivey run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 5Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
4.4%
IVEY, Trexler pass short to the right incomplete intended for FIELDS, Randy thrown to the RIC0. PENALTY CLT Holding on PARKS, Jasper enforced 10 yards from the RIC5 to the RIC15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
3.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the RICE 12Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
12.0%
Trexler Ivey run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:1792% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 7 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
7.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the RICE 33Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+20
8.2%
Dean Connors run for 20 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
7.1%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
7.0%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
7.1%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the CLT 36Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
7.1%
CONNORS, Dean rush up the middle for a gain of 25 yards to the CLT11 (OKIE-ANOMA, Eyabi;BALFOUR, Dontae). PENALTY RIC Holding on DUMONT, Lavel enforced 10 yards from the CLT36 to the CLT46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+7
4.9%
Dean Connors run for 7 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+7
4.5%
Dean Connors run for 7 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+8
3.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 8 yds to the CLT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
3.0%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
2.7%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CLT 21Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+1
1.4%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the CLT 20Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+20
0.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 20 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.4%
Dom Shoffner run for 3 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
0.4%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Kevin Williams) to the CLT 31Similar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
0.4%
Dom Shoffner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-11
0.4%
Dom Shoffner pass intercepted Tre'shon Devones return for 11 yds to the CLT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.4%
Kneel down by RIC at CLT38 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
0.4%
[NH] Kneel down by RIC at CLT39 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
0.4%
[NH] Kneel down by RIC at CLT40 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
0.3%
[NH] Kneel down by RIC at CLT41 (team loss of 1); RIC turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:39
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds for a TD (AJ Padgett pass to Rawson MacNeill for Two-Point Conversion)
-15.7
TD · Q4 10:30
Trexler Ivey run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)
+8.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:59
Trexler Ivey pass incomplete
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com