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MEM

Memphis 44 at Charlotte 38

CLT
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:40 · Reid Bauer punt for 34 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore differential
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 34Pregame prior−28.5Home team on offense−3.1Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Time remaining+0.3Score differential−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 10:47: Joachim Bangda run for 31 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — CLT win probability +22.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:07: Blake Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK) — MEM win probability +22.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 7:46: Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — CLT win probability +19.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:25: Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK) — MEM win probability +27.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:35: Tanner Gillis 41 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +28.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 4 at CLT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:36MEM 4th & 1 at CLT 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36CLT 4th & 24 at CLT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40MEM 4th & 9 at CLT 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:07CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54CLT 4th & 7 at MEM 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:30MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:55CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.9%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:51MEM 4th & 16 at CLT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−3.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−11.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:58CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:35MEM 4th & 3 at CLT 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−11.2
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−24.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:34MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:27CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:18CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:04MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:28MEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:39CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:47CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:07MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:46CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:25MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:2683% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
17.5%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
17.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
17.5%
HENIGAN, Seth pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby broken up by BALFOUR, Dontae at the CLT26. PENALTY CLT Offsides on MORGAN, Dez enforced 5 yards from the CLT46 to the CLT41 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
17.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+4
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+15
17.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 15 yds to the CLT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
17.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the CLT 18Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
19.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+15
19.5%
Blake Watson run for 15 yds to the CLT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.4%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5819% → 19%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
18.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
18.8%
Henry Rutledge run for 1 yd to the CLT 20Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
18.7%
Trexler Ivey pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0082% → 81%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
18.5%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
18.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
18.6%
HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for BLANKUMSEE, DeMeer thrown to the CLT32. PENALTY CLT Offsides on CLOWNEY, Demon enforced 5 yards from the CLT44 to the CLT39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
18.5%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-1
18.8%
Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
19.5%
IVEY, Trexler pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to MACK, Jairus caught at the CLT46 and advanced to the MEM47 (MARTIN, Chandler). PENALTY CLT Holding on WILLIAMS, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the CLT40 to the CLT30 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 2:0019% → 19%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Trexler Ivey run for no gain to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 20
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 20
OWN 30
-4
18.9%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jack Hestera for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 26Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 24
OWN 26
0
19.1%
Grant Gonya punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5681% → 80%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
19.0%
Sutton Smith run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+15
18.9%
HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Roc thrown to the CLT35. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on BALFOUR, Dontae enforced 15 yards to the CLT35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
18.8%
Sutton Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
19.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
19.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
19.6%
Reid Bauer punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3320% → 20%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
19.9%
Duane Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Joachim Bangda run for no gain to the CLT 25Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
19.8%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Grant Gonya punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3580% → 81%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
19.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 4 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
19.4%
Seth Henigan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3822% → 24%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
21.8%
Jalon Jones run for 3 yds to the MEM 22Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
21.8%
Jalon Jones run for 4 yds to the MEM 18Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-4
21.8%
Jalon Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the MEM 22Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
23.9%
Kyle Cunanan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:2477% → 76%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
23.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 11 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
22.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
23.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+1
23.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 1 yd to the MEM 32Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
24.5%
Reid Bauer punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:0324% → 32%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
23.8%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 4 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+7
23.9%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the CLT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
24.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 36Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
24.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+15
23.8%
IVEY, Trexler pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WEBER, Colin broken up by SMITH, Cameron at the MEM35. PENALTY MEM Roughing the Passer on SPEARS, Keveion'ta enforced 15 yards from the CLT36 to the MEM49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
25.4%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 5 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
25.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+40
25.2%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 40 yds to the MEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.9%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
25.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the MEM 3Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1069% → 69%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
30.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 10 yds to the MEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
30.4%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the MEM 21Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+12
30.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 12 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
29.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
30.1%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the MEM 36Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
30.1%
Charlotte Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MEM 41Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
28.8%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
31.1%
Tevin Carter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:5935% → 49%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
34.6%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.7%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
35.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 3 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+7
35.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 7 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
36.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Andrew Jacobs for 5 yds to the MEM 36Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+9
36.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the MEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
36.5%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the MEM 23Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
49.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:1453% → 67%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
47.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 4 yds to the MEM 24Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
46.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
47.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 6 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
46.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
50
+2
48.0%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the CLT 48Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
47.7%
HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DRAKE, Koby thrown to the CLT20. PENALTY CLT Offsides on HANDY, Stone enforced 5 yards from the CLT48 to the CLT43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
47.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
33.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 35 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:2439% → 36%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
38.8%
IVEY, Trexler pass to the left incomplete intended for RUTLEDGE, Henry thrown to the CLT43. PENALTY MEM Personal Foul on HAMILTON, CorMontae enforced 15 yards from the CLT37 to the MEM48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.3%
Trexler Ivey pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
36.0%
HENIGAN, Seth pass to the right incomplete intended for WATSON, Blake thrown to the CLT44. PENALTY MEM Holding on MCCLAIN, Terrance enforced 10 yards from the MEM43 to the MEM33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+2
39.0%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16INT TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 3:3239% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
39.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 23 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
41.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the MEM 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-10
42.2%
Trexler Ivey sacked by Jaylon Allen and Greg Rubin for a loss of 10 yards to the CLT 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+17
38.8%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 17 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
42.2%
Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the MEM 38Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-60
33.3%
Chandler Martin 60 Yd Interception Return (Tanner Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:4933% → 51%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
50
+9
33.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Malik Baker II for 9 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
33.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
35.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 19 yds to the MEM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
35.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 10 yds to the MEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the MEM 2Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18FUMBLE
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:5855% → 55%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
45.0%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 23Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
46.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 13 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
43.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
42.6%
Charlotte Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Stone Handy) to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
40.8%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+8
40.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 8 yds to the CLT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
39.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
39.7%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+12
41.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 12 yds to the CLT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
39.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 16 yds to the CLT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
45.1%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 7 yards to the CLT 9 Blake Watson fumbled, recovered by CLT Marcus Robitaille, forced by BALFOUR, returned 0 yards to the CLT9, (Play was confirmed after review).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:4651% → 52%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
50.8%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 12 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
51.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
52.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
54.4%
Trexler Ivey run for no gain to the CLT 30Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
52.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for no gain to the CLT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0453% → 40%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
47.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 9 yds to the CLT 21Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
47.0%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
47.0%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 16
OPP 25
0
50.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 16
OPP 25
0
52.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+43
59.6%
Tanner Gillis 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:0461% → 84%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.9%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
62.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
61.3%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 34 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
83.6%
Joachim Bangda run for 31 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4025% → 48%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
74.6%
Charlotte Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nikhai Hill-Green) to the CLT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
52.1%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 2:2165% → 89%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
65.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 10 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
67.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+45
69.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 45 yds to the MEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.9%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2112% → 45%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
87.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 47 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
82.9%
Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the CLT 21Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+13
82.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 13 yds to the CLT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.8%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the CLT 8Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2770% → 81%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
70.4%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
70.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
71.0%
Trexler Ivey run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 32Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
80.6%
Grant Gonya punt for 50 yds, downed at the MEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 2:2330% → 55%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
69.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 16Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+20
70.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 20 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
67.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the MEM 40Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
65.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+17
67.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 17 yds to the CLT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
63.0%
HENIGAN, Seth pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Austin thrown to the CLT14. PENALTY CLT Offsides on HANDY, Stone declined CLT Pass Interference on FAGAN, Dontez enforced 15 yards to the CLT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
65.4%
Memphis Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mitchell Gildehaus) to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
65.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
72.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 3 yds to the CLT 26Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+4
73.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 4 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+41
45.2%
Tanner Gillis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:3565% → 58%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
65.2%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Colin Weber for 5 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-8
63.9%
Trexler Ivey sacked by Geoffrey Cantin-Arku for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
50
0
57.5%
Trexler Ivey pass intercepted Geoffrey Cantin-Arku fumbled, recovered by CLT Bryce Kennon [NHSG] IVEY, Trexler pass up the middle intercepted by CANTIN-ARKU, Geoffrey at the MEM40 intended for KENNON, Bryce. Cantin-Arku return for 17 yards to the CLT43, CANTIN-ARKU, Geoffrey fumbled at CLT46 forced by BAKER II, Malik, recovered by CLT KENNON, Bryce at the CLT43, returned 0 yards, End of Play, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 26%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
31.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the MEM 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
31.7%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the MEM 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
29.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
26.0%
Kyle Cunanan 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
9.8%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the CLT 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
9.8%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the CLT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
9.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the CLT 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+5
9.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the CLT 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:35
Tanner Gillis 41 yd FG GOOD
-28.7
TD · Q4 5:25
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)
-27.7
TD · Q4 10:07
Blake Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)
-22.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com