Try the model
CLT

Charlotte 10 at East Carolina 7

ECU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:22 · Luke Larsen punt for 25 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+8.6Home team on offense−11.5Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:12: Jalon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Larson KICK) — CLT win probability +15.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:14: Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +26.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:29: Alex Flinn run for 10 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST down — ECU win probability +12.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:02: Alex Flinn pass incomplete — CLT win probability +10.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: [NH] Kneel down by JONES, Jalon at CLT30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — CLT win probability +16.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12CLT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:06ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46CLT 4th & 3 at ECU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:38CLT 4th & 8 at ECU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:14ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:59CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:03ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 14, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:26CLT 4th & 16 at ECU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:55ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:40CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:12ECU 4th & 4 at CLT 7, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:41CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:49ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:06CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:53ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:22ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:38CLT 4th & 5 at ECU 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−2.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:02ECU 4th & 4 at CLT 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−2.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:55CLT 4th & 17 at ECU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−3.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−9.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:22ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:27CLT 4th & 19 at ECU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−8.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−18.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:23ECU 4th & 24 at ECU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−5.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:29CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.3 ptsPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−5.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:34ECU 4th & 12 at CLT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−12.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−19.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 10:12CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:14ECU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5471% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.0%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
71.0%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
71.0%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 52 yds, downed at the CLT 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:2829% → 31%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
70.9%
Charlotte Penalty, Personal Foul (-5 Yards) to the CLT 12Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+6
70.9%
Jalon Jones run for 6 yds to the CLT 18Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+17
70.9%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jairus Mack for 17 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
70.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 18 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
70.8%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
70.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+2
70.8%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+6
69.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+11
69.7%
Jalon Jones run for 11 yds to the ECU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
69.2%
Jalon Jones run for no gain to the ECU 19Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
68.7%
Charlotte Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jalon Jones) to the ECU 17Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
69.1%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
68.9%
Jake Larson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2470% → 69%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.0%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 20Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
69.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 4 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
69.7%
East Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
68.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1532% → 32%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
68.4%
Joey Bearns III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 39Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
68.6%
Jalon Jones run for 5 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+1
68.5%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd to the CLT 45Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
68.3%
Grant Gonya punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5668% → 67%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
68.2%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds to the ECU 8Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+2
68.2%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECU 10Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+4
67.9%
Mason Garcia run for 4 yds to the ECU 14Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
66.6%
Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds, downed at the CLT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 3:3734% → 34%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.4%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
50
+5
65.5%
Jalon Jones run for 5 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
66.0%
East Carolina Penalty, Offsides (Shavon Revel) to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
65.1%
BYRD, Shadrick rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the ECU33 (WOOD, Julius). PENALTY CLT Chop Block on PARKS, Jasper enforced 15 yards from the ECU40 to the CLT45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 45
-4
66.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 29
OWN 41
+5
66.4%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jake Clemons for 5 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+8
66.6%
Jalon Jones run for 8 yds to the ECU 46Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
66.1%
Grant Gonya punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:3166% → 67%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.3%
GARCIA, Mason pass to the right incomplete intended for SOWELL, Chase thrown to the ECU30. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on BURTON, CJ enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ECU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
66.6%
Kamarro Edmonds run for 17 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
67.7%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 5 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
68.0%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
67.6%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
66.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:5435% → 39%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
65.1%
Jalon Jones run for 5 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
63.7%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
63.6%
Jalon Jones run for 2 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
64.0%
Jalon Jones run for 2 yds to the CLT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-29
61.5%
Charlotte Penalty, Personal Foul (-29 Yards) to the CLT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4967% → 63%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
66.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the CLT 9Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-1
66.9%
Mason Garcia run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 10Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+3
64.5%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 3 yds to the CLT 7Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
63.2%
Andrew Conrad 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3138% → 38%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the CLT 22Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
62.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the CLT 26Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
61.8%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
62.4%
Grant Gonya punt for 32 yds, downed at the ECU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5264% → 60%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
63.5%
Kamarro Edmonds run for no gain to the ECU 42Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
62.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
61.4%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
59.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4339% → 39%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
61.2%
Terron Kellman run for 4 yds to the CLT 17Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
61.2%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 15Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
62.2%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
61.5%
Grant Gonya punt for 67 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1360% → 60%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
60.2%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 7 yds to the ECU 37Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
62.4%
Mason Garcia run for 1 yd to the ECU 38Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
61.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the ECU 38Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
59.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 56 yds, downed at the CLT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5340% → 40%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
60.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by JONES, Jalon at CLT5 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
60.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by JONES, Jalon at CLT5 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:4843% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
57.5%
Jalon Jones run for 16 yds to the CLT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
55.4%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 14 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
54.9%
Henry Rutledge run for 1 yd to the ECU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+9
54.9%
Henry Rutledge run for 9 yds to the ECU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
54.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-1
52.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 31Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+30
54.0%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 30 yds to the ECU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5041% → 38%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.3%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECU 25Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
40.0%
Mason Garcia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.3%
Luke Larsen punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4462% → 62%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
38.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
38.3%
Jalon Jones run for 3 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
38.4%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
37.9%
Grant Gonya punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:3639% → 37%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
38.8%
Charlotte Penalty, Personal Foul (Eyabi Okie-Anoma) to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
40.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 14 yds to the CLT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
42.1%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
41.8%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the CLT 47Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+6
40.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 6 yds to the CLT 41Similar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
36.5%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 5:0770% → 70%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
29.7%
Jalon Jones run for 10 yds to the ECU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
29.6%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
29.7%
JONES, Jalon pass short to the right complete for 14 yards to BAKER II, Malik caught at the ECU17 and advanced to the ECU7 (WOOD, Julius). PENALTY CLT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILLIAMS, Kevin enforced 5 yards from the ECU21 to the ECU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 15
OPP 26
-5
29.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 31Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
31.0%
Jalon Jones run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 1
50
+5
30.4%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 5 yds to the ECU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
30.4%
Joachim Bangda run for 5 yds to the ECU 40Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
30.3%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Kevin Williams) to the ECU 45Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+14
30.4%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 14 yds to the ECU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 20
OPP 31
+3
26.2%
Jalon Jones run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
29.6%
Jake Larson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3330% → 25%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
29.9%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 11 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
30.8%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
26.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Marlon Gunn Jr. for 7 yds to the ECU 46Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
27.4%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
25.4%
Luke Larsen punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the CLT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0831% → 57%
Q4 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
31.1%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
57.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 6:4353% → 64%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
46.7%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd to the CLT 11Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
47.3%
Jalon Jones run for 6 yds to the CLT 17Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+9
48.3%
Jalon Jones run for 9 yds to the CLT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
46.2%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jairus Mack for 6 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
44.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
43.7%
Jalon Jones run for 4 yds to the CLT 42Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+40
43.1%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Colin Weber for 40 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
39.6%
Jalon Jones run for 6 yds to the ECU 12Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
39.6%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd to the ECU 12Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-15
41.8%
Charlotte Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unnecessary Roughness on WEBER, Colin enforced (-15 Yards) to the ECU 27Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+45
36.1%
Jake Larson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 2:0440% → 32%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
39.8%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 11
OWN 26
-2
38.7%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Tyler Savage for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 24Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-11
36.4%
Alex Flinn sacked by Stone Handy for a loss of 11 yards to the ECU 13Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 24
OWN 13
0
32.3%
Luke Larsen punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Henry Rutledge at the CLT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5474% → 77%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
26.0%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd to the CLT 39Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+5
26.2%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jake Clemons for 5 yds to the CLT 44Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
21.5%
Jalon Jones run for 5 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
23.1%
Grant Gonya punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25MISSED FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 1:5535% → 23%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
35.4%
Alex Flinn run for 10 yds to the ECU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.7%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
36.4%
Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the ECU 42Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+17
35.8%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 17 yds to the CLT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
41.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 2 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
33.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 6 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
36.9%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
40.5%
Alex Flinn sacked by Eyabi Okie-Anoma for a loss of 8 yards to the CLT 37Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 18
OPP 37
0
29.7%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 18
OPP 37
+6
28.2%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 6 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
22.5%
Andrew Conrad 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
6.2%
[NH] Kneel down by JONES, Jalon at CLT30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:14
Alex Flinn pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 10 yds for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)
+26.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
[NH] Kneel down by JONES, Jalon at CLT30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
-16.3
TD · Q3 10:12
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Larson KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com