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USF

South Florida 21 at UTSA 49

UTSA
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2023 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:25 · Andrew Stokes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense+23.0Score differential+15.1Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:38: Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 50 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +5.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:40: Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 33 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:15: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 64 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:06: Frank Harris run for 40 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 4:18USF 4th & 17 at UTSA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:23UTSA 4th & 4 at USF 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:58USF 4th & 8 at USF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:12USF 4th & 12 at UTSA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:34UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:15USF 4th & 4 at UTSA 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:00UTSA 4th & 2 at USF 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:21USF 4th & 7 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:08USF 4th & 9 at USF 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:00UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:25USF 4th & 9 at USF 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:40UTSA 4th & 10 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:47USF 4th & 4 at USF 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:59USF 4th & 12 at UTSA 16, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:21UTSA 4th & 3 at USF 49, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:21USF 4th & 1 at USF 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:05USF 4th & 3 at UTSA 43, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:37USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:23UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:38USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:40UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:15UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:20UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:06UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:14UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:43USF Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:49UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2314% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
86.2%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
86.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
86.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 11 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
86.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+11
86.2%
Byrum Brown run for 11 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
86.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 4 yds to the UTSA 16Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
85.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 16 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1485% → 85%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.1%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 20Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
85.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 21Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
85.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 2 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
85.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 15 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
85.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+11
85.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the USF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
85.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 15 yds to the USF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
85.3%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 30Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
85.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 30 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 5:0515% → 17%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the USF 31Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
84.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 11 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
84.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
84.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michael Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
84.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
84.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
84.2%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+12
84.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 12 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
84.2%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (Daquan Evans) to the UTSA 39Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-15
84.4%
BROWN, Byrum pass short to the left complete for 8 yards to SIMMONS, Naiem caught at the TSA34 and advanced to the TSA31 (WISDOM, Rashad), out of bounds. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on BROWN-STEPHENS, Michael enforced 15 yards to the USF46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 30
OWN 46
+1
84.5%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 47Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 29
OWN 47
+12
84.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 12 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 17
OPP 41
+23
82.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 38 yds, downed at the UTSA 3 South Florida Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UTSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5583% → 82%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
82.8%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
82.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for no gain to the UTSA 22Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+8
82.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 8 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
82.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
83.3%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
83.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 17 yds to the USF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
83.5%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 44Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+9
83.2%
Robert Henry run for 9 yds to the USF 35Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
83.4%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-2
81.9%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:4519% → 25%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
80.6%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
80.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
80.1%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
79.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+3
80.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
50
+50
74.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 50 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5876% → 82%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 17 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
77.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
77.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+6
76.7%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
77.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
77.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
76.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 12 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
77.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the USF 33Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+33
81.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 33 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4221% → 21%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
78.9%
Byrum Brown sacked by Martavius French for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 21Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
79.1%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
79.4%
Byrum Brown run for 1 yd to the USF 27Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
79.0%
Andrew Stokes punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:4380% → 84%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
79.5%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 36Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
84.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 64 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:0317% → 17%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
83.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 32 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
82.2%
BROWN, Byrum pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SIMMONS, Naiem thrown to the TSA17; QB hurried by MOORE, Trey. PENALTY Before the snap, USF Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TSA43 to the TSA48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
82.8%
Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the UTSA 48Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+2
82.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+1
83.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 1 yd to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
83.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTSA 3Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
83.3%
UTSA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the UTSA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3883% → 82%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 11
OWN 2
0
83.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+4
83.2%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
82.7%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
82.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1918% → 18%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
81.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 7
50
+1
81.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+2
81.8%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-7
82.2%
Byrum Brown pass intercepted Dywan Griffin return for 7 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1585% → 84%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
84.7%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
84.7%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
84.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 5 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
83.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for no gain to the USF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3919% → 18%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.3%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
81.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 7
50
0
81.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 7
50
0
82.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 2:0183% → 89%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
83.0%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 8Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 14
OWN 8
0
82.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+14
81.9%
Frank Harris run for 14 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
83.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 7 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+3
83.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 3 yds to the UTSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
83.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+13
84.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 13 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
84.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds to the USF 40Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
84.7%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+25
84.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 25 yds to the USF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
89.3%
Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.6%
Byrum Brown run for no gain to the USF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5490% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.1%
Frank Harris run for 14 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
90.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 8 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-1
90.1%
Robert Henry run for 9 yds to the USF 44 UTSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cory Godinet) to the UTSA 40Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
90.2%
HARRIS, Frank pass to the left intercepted by BERRYHILL, Logan at the USF46 intended for CEPHUS, Joshua. Berryhill return for 11 yards to the TSA43 (MCCUIN, Devin), clock 13:36. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on BERRYHILL, Logan enforced 15 yards to the USF45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.8%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the USF 40Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+40
96.4%
Frank Harris run for 40 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 27Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
95.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 26Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 36 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for no gain to the UTSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0896% → 97%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
96.3%
Frank Harris sacked by DJ Gordon IV for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 13Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+27
96.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 27 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-1
96.9%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 41Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
96.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 56 yds, downed at the USF 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:353% → 3%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
96.6%
Byrum Brown run for 10 yds to the USF 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
96.5%
Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 11Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+3
96.5%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 14Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
96.6%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
96.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:1197% → 100%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
97.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 12 yds to the USF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
97.3%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the USF 44Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
97.3%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the USF 42Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+11
97.3%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the USF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 1 yd to the USF 30Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+28
97.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 28 yds to the USF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.4%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:310% → 3%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 9 yds to the USF 49Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+15
99.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 15 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 3 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+25
99.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 25 yds to the UTSA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the UTSA 5Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0198% → 99%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 4 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
98.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
98.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 9 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+12
98.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
50
0
98.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
50
0
98.4%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
50
0
98.4%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 10
50
0
98.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:532% → 2%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
98.0%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
98.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.0%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+23
99.0%
David Amador run for 23 yds to the USF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.1%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 14 yds to the USF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Frank Harris run for 25 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 9 yds to the USF 34Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for no gain to the USF 34Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 6 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+35
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner for 35 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 8 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
99.8%
Byrum Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 16Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 12
OPP 16
-14
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass intercepted Nicktroy Fortune return for 14 yds to the UTSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 6:38100% → 100%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.8%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 3 yds to the UTSA 19Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 4 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Jaren Randle for 7 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 3 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 1 yd to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+10
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 10 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jaren Randle for 8 yds to the USF 48Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 1 yd to the USF 47Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-2
99.9%
Kaedric Cobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 49Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 7 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-10
99.9%
QB Keeper BROWN, Byrum rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the USF29 (WILKERSON, Marcellus). PENALTY USF Holding on HERRING, Zane enforced 10 yards from the USF22 to the USF12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+6
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 6 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Byrum Brown run for 9 yds to the USF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 9 yds to the USF 36Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the USF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
50
0
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 10
50
+7
99.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 7 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA42 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA41 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:06
Frank Harris run for 40 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 13:38
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 50 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q2 0:20
Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com