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RICE

Rice 14 at UTSA 34

UTSA
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:49 · punt for 30 yds, downed at the RICE 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+6.3Home team on offense+32.1Score differential+21.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.5Garbage-time factor+11.8Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:57: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:22: AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 27 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — RICE win probability +9.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:46: Robert Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:01: Chris Carpenter 50 Yd Punt Return (Chase Allen Kick) — UTSA win probability +7.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:24: Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:32UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:38RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:00UTSA 4th & 7 at RICE 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:56RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:40UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07RICE 4th & 8 at UTSA 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:40RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:33RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:01RICE 4th & 27 at RICE 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−2.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:32RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:24RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:54UTSA 4th & 1 at RICE 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49UTSA 4th & 7 at RICE 37, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 14, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:09UTSA 4th & 5 at RICE 30, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:58RICE 4th & 2 at UTSA 32, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:57UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:22RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:46UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:01UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:24UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:11RICE Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2884% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
84.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
84.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
84.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
84.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
83.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the RICE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5416% → 17%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 8 yds to the RICE 33Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
83.6%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.6%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Dean Connors run for no gain to the RICE 38Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-4
83.7%
AJ Padgett sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the RICE 34Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
83.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:3883% → 82%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
82.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+12
82.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
83.1%
Frank Harris run for 31 yds to the RICE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
83.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
83.2%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
83.1%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the RICE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
83.2%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the RICE 9Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
83.2%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the RICE 9Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
83.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
82.4%
Chase Allen 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0418% → 18%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.4%
Rice Penalty, Delay Of Game (AJ Padgett) to the RICE 20Similar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
82.4%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
82.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
82.6%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
82.5%
Conor Hunt punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1682% → 81%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
81.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 11 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for no gain to the UTSA 39Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
82.0%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
81.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
81.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the RICE 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:3318% → 20%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
81.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the RICE 17Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+5
81.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the RICE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
81.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 4 yds to the RICE 26Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+14
81.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 14 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
81.4%
PADGETT, AJ pass deep up the middle complete for 40 yards to MCCAFFREY, Luke caught at the TSA23 and advanced to the TSA20 (DAVISON, Elliott). PENALTY Before the snap, RIC Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the RIC40 to the RIC35. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+8
81.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
81.3%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+10
81.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 10 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.3%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
79.4%
Kobie Campbell run for 2 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
79.4%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
80.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:5180% → 80%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
79.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 17 yds to the UTSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
79.9%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
79.8%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
79.7%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
80.0%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+19
80.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 19 yds to the RICE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
80.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 14 yds to the RICE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
81.1%
HARRIS, Frank pass short to the right complete for 9 yards to DISHMAN, Dan caught at the RIC26 and advanced to the RIC21 (FRESCH, Sean), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, TSA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the RIC30 to the RIC35. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+4
80.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+22
81.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 22 yds to the RICE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
81.1%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the RICE 9Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
81.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
79.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 5 yds Oscar Cardenas fumbled, recovered by RICE Izeya Floyd [NHSG] HARRIS, Frank pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to CARDENAS, Oscar caught at the RIC6, CARDENAS, Oscar fumbled at RIC4 forced by WYATT, Plae, recovered by RIC FLOYD, Izeya at the RIC4, returned 6 yards to the RIC10 (ALMARAZ, Ernesto;WYATT, Plae), out of bounds, clock 08:16.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3622% → 21%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
78.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 3 yds to the RICE 13Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+10
78.3%
Dean Connors run for 10 yds to the RICE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
78.1%
PADGETT, AJ pass to the left incomplete intended for CONNORS, Dean thrown to the RIC35. PENALTY TSA Pass Interference on WISDOM, Rashad enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the RIC35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
77.7%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 33Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
78.2%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
78.6%
AJ Padgett sacked by Brandon Matterson for a loss of 7 yards to the RICE 28Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
79.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 35 yds , returns for no gain to the UTSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:4379% → 86%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
78.5%
Robert Henry run for 20 yds to the RICE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
79.6%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 43Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+3
79.3%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the RICE 40Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+16
79.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 16 yds to the RICE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
79.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
79.9%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the RICE 16Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+2
79.2%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the RICE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
79.9%
UTSA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Frank Harris) to the RICE 19Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+7
79.8%
Rice Penalty, Face mask (7 yards) (Myron Morrison) to the RICE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:3516% → 27%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
84.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 20 yds to the RICE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
83.1%
AJ Padgett run for 11 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Matterson) to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
81.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 2 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
72.8%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 27 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2277% → 79%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
76.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
50
0
78.9%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
-6
78.6%
Frank Harris sacked by Jordan Campbell and Myron Morrison for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2724% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the RICE 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
75.9%
AJ Padgett run for 1 yd to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
76.8%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:4778% → 87%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
77.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+14
78.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
79.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the RICE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
79.5%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICE 35Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+1
79.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+9
78.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the RICE 25Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
78.7%
Robert Henry run for 7 yds to the RICE 5Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
78.7%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the RICE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.1%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT TD
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:4515% → 7%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
85.4%
AJ Padgett sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the RICE 19Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-11
86.2%
AJ Padgett sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 11 yards to the RICE 8Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+50
93.2%
Chris Carpenter 50 Yd Punt Return (Chase Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:247% → 6%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
92.6%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the RICE 18Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-12
92.7%
AJ Padgett sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the RICE 6Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 18
OWN 6
+7
93.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Dean Connors for 7 yds to the RICE 13Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
94.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0895% → 98%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
95.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 12 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
95.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 26 yds to the RICE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
95.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 8 yds to the RICE 1Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:132% → 1%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 23Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
97.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 11 yds to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.8%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the RICE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
97.7%
Rice Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the RICE 34Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+9
97.9%
AJ Padgett run for 9 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
98.5%
AJ Padgett run for 5 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
98.5%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
98.6%
AJ Padgett sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 4:2299% → 99%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.8%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
98.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+7
99.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 7 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
99.2%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
99.3%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 20
50
+2
99.2%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the RICE 48Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+11
99.4%
Owen McCown run for 11 yds to the RICE 37Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
99.4%
punt for 30 yds, downed at the RICE 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
98.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the RICE 9Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-4
98.9%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 4 yards to the RICE 5Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+9
99.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Jack Bradley for 9 yds to the RICE 14Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
99.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the RICE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.6%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 10 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.7%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 1 yd to the RICE 34Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
99.7%
Brandon High run for 4 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
99.9%
Tate Sandell 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:580% → 1%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Rawson MacNeill for 10 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Dean Connors run for 11 yds to the RICE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Jack Bradley for 14 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.9%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 45 Dean Connors fumbled, recovered by RICE Dean Connors [SG] CONNORS, Dean rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards, CONNORS, Dean fumbled at TSA44 , recovered by RIC CONNORS, Dean at the TSA45, returned 0 yards to the TSA45, End of Play, clock 02:58.Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+13
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Jack Bradley for 13 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+10
99.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 22 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA24 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Kneel down by MCCOWN, Owen at TSA23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
AJ Padgett pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 27 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q3 9:46
Robert Henry run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q3 8:01
Chris Carpenter 50 Yd Punt Return (Chase Allen Kick)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com