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UTSA

UTSA 36 at Florida Atlantic 10

FAU
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:40 · Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 17 , LaJohntay Wester returns for no gain to the FAU 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense−7.2Score differential−2.7Pregame prior−6.1Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:23: Latrell Jean 11 Yd Interception Return (Logan Lupo Kick) — FAU win probability +4.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:47: Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Chase Allen 37 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +2.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:16: Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 42 yds for a TD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +12.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q3 1:24: Team Safety — UTSA win probability +4.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43FAU 4th & 1 at UTSA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20FAU 4th & 10 at UTSA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:13FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51UTSA 4th & 9 at FAU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:47FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.1%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:26FAU 4th & 21 at FAU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−6.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:09FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:09FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:46UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:44FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:21FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:00UTSA 4th & 16 at FAU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:25UTSA 4th & 4 at FAU 45, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:53FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 29, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:32UTSA 4th & 1 at FAU 6, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:43UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:23FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:47UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:16UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:32UTSA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1761% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
38.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
38.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
38.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+4
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the FAU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 6 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 2 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
38.6%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+8
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 8 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Oscar CardenasSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
38.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
38.2%
Robert Henry run for 15 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:2339% → 41%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.7%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+39
38.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 39 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
39.6%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
39.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
39.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+5
39.1%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the UTSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
39.6%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the UTSA 19Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
39.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kahlil BrantleySimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
39.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to for 19 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
40.6%
Logan Lupo 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:3460% → 60%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.2%
Frank Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:3340% → 41%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
40.4%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+6
40.2%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
40.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
40.7%
Larry McCammon run for 8 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
41.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
41.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Devin Price for 3 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
41.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+1
40.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the FAU 45Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
40.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for no gain to the FAU 45Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
40.6%
Logan Lupo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5INT TD
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5059% → 53%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
41.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-5
41.4%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Godinet,Cory) 5 yards from UTSA13 to UTSA08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+1
41.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 9Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 14
OWN 9
-11
46.7%
Latrell Jean 11 Yd Interception Return (Logan Lupo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:0954% → 57%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+30
45.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 30 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
44.1%
PENALTY FAU Targeting (Hawthorne,Decarius) 15 yards from FAU44 to FAU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
43.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+8
43.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 8 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
44.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
43.6%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-5
43.6%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Almaraz,Ernesto) 5 yards from FAU14 to FAU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+2
43.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
44.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
43.4%
Chase Allen 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:2046% → 48%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.8%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
45.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCammon,Larry rush left for 2 yards loss to the FAU22 (Booker-Brown,Nick) PENALTY UTSA Face Mask (Booker-Brown,Nick) 15 yards from FAU24 to FAU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
46.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 18 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
48.4%
Daniel Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4456% → 67%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
44.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
42.8%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 47Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
43.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
42.5%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
42.5%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the FAU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
42.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 9 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+9
41.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 9 yds to the FAU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
41.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the FAU 10Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
33.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:5036% → 36%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.4%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
37.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
36.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 6 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
36.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 9 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
38.0%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FAU 46Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+8
37.3%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
39.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 14
50
+1
37.2%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 49Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
36.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
35.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1765% → 67%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
34.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
34.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
34.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
34.1%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
32.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 17 , LaJohntay Wester returns for no gain to the FAU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 1:1434% → 34%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
33.7%
Daniel Richardson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 11Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
34.4%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FAU 11Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+5
33.7%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FAU 6Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 21
OWN 6
+21
33.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 52 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 21 yds to the FAU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12FG
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:2671% → 74%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
29.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+8
29.1%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the FAU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+37
26.2%
Chase Allen 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 1:5130% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.5%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
29.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 11 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
30.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
30.3%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the FAU 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
29.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel sacked for loss of 10 yards to the FAU28 (Moore,Trey) PENALTY UTSA Offside (Booker-Brown,Nick) 5 yards from FAU38 to FAU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
30.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
29.1%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FAU43 to FAU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+1
27.4%
Logan Lupo punt for 44 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 1 yd to the UTSA 19Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+1
27.4%
Nick Salmon punt for 44 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 1 yd to the UTSA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2371% → 70%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
29.3%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the UTSA 14Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+3
29.1%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 17Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
29.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 2
OWN 17
-5
30.6%
PENALTY UTSA Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTSA17 to UTSA12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
30.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 50 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0229% → 27%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
29.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
28.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 6 yds to the FAU 44Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
29.0%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the FAU 44Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
27.4%
Nick Salmon punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:2872% → 86%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
28.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 11 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
27.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
26.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
26.5%
Willie McCoy run for 5 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+5
27.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+42
14.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 42 yds for a TD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5516% → 15%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
16.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-11
17.0%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tai Leonard for a loss of 11 yards to the FAU 21Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
15.0%
Nick Salmon punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 4:2187% → 92%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
50
+7
12.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 7 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-5
12.4%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Haynes,Terrell) 5 yards from FAU43 to FAU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
12.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the FAU 47Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+12
12.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 12 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
12.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-10
9.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass complete short left to Cephus,Joshua for 16 yards to the FAU21 (McClendon,Darius) PENALTY UTSA Holding (McCuin,Devin) 10 yards from FAU37 to FAU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 22
OPP 47
0
9.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 22
OPP 47
+6
9.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
8.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3613% → 8%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
12.7%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FAU 8Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
8.4%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:2396% → 97%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
4.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
3.8%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+10
3.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 10 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
3.6%
Robert Henry run for 7 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
3.6%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 49Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
3.2%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the UTSA 49 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by FAU Xavier PetersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:396% → 6%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
6.4%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Brantley,Kahlil) 5 yards from UTSA49 to FAU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+6
6.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 6 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
6.4%
Daniel Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
6.3%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:5197% → 98%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
3.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the UTSA 16Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+3
3.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
3.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 14 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
3.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 4 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
3.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+12
3.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 12 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
3.0%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the UTSA 49Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
3.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 5 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+1
3.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the FAU 45Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
2.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jymetre Hester at the FAU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:324% → 2%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
4.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 12 yds to the FAU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
4.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jackson Sumlin for 5 yds to the FAU 35Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-6
4.4%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Ronald Triplette for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
4.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 11
OWN 29
-3
2.4%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2199% → 100%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
1.5%
Robert Henry run for 9 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
1.5%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the FAU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
1.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the FAU 11Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
1.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the FAU 12Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+6
1.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the FAU 6Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
0.2%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.1%
Keyvon Walker run for 1 yd to the FAU 28Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
0.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+12
0.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Wyatt Sullivan for 12 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.1%
Keyvon Walker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 4
50
+3
0.1%
Keyvon Walker run for 3 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
0.1%
Keyvon Walker run for 7 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:16
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 42 yds for a TD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined (Chase Allen KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q2 6:47
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q1 0:23
Latrell Jean 11 Yd Interception Return (Logan Lupo Kick)
+4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com