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TEM

Temple 23 at South Florida 27

USF
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [SG] Kneel down by BROWN, Byrum at TEM17 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:03: Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 32 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +5.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:27: E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 16 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +7.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:09: Tramel Logan 22 Yd Interception Return (John Cannon Kick) — USF win probability +10.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:15: E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 20 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +13.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:03: E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Price PAT MISSED) — TEM win probability +21.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:51TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:48USF 4th & 5 at TEM 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02TEM 4th & 9 at USF 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:06USF 4th & 13 at TEM 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:30USF 4th & 6 at USF 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:59TEM 4th & 13 at USF 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:35TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:49USF 4th & 3 at TEM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:23TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:09USF 4th & 4 at TEM 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at USF 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−2.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:30TEM 4th & 10 at USF 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−5.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:30USF 4th & 4 at TEM 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:41USF 4th & 22 at TEM 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−3.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−7.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:55USF 4th & 26 at USF 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at USF 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−3.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:29USF 4th & 6 at TEM 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:29TEM 4th & 3 at USF 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−2.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:14USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03USF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:27TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:09USF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:15TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:03TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:2266% → 66%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
65.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 40 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
65.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 15 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
65.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the TEM 2Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
65.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 7Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
66.1%
Byrum Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2334% → 33%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.0%
Darvon Hubbard run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
65.9%
WARNER, E.J. pass up the middle incomplete intended for MARTIN-ROBINSON, David broken up by STOKES, Jaelen at the TEM42. PENALTY USF Roughing the Passer on HARRIS, D.J. enforced 15 yards from the TEM31 to the TEM46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
65.8%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 6
50
-11
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for a loss of 11 yards to the TEM 39Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
66.7%
Dante Atton punt for 41 yds, downed at the USF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:0367% → 72%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
66.5%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the USF 25Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
66.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the USF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
66.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 28Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+44
67.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 44 yds to the TEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
68.1%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
68.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
70.8%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
72.3%
John Cannon 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:4632% → 32%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
67.4%
WARNER, E.J. pass up the middle incomplete intended for CLARK, Reese thrown to the TEM40. PENALTY USF Offsides on HARRIS, D.J. enforced 5 yards from the TEM31 to the TEM36 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
67.4%
Edward Saydee run for 21 yds to the USF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
67.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+1
67.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 1 yd to the USF 42Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
67.7%
punt for 27 yds, downed at the USF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:5973% → 81%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
72.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 15 yds to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
72.8%
Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
73.2%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the USF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
73.3%
Byrum Brown sacked by Jacob Hollins for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 36Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+3
72.8%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+15
74.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 15 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
75.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 14 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
80.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 32 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4025% → 24%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
74.8%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 10Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
76.0%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2179% → 81%
Q1 2:27
4TH & 8
OPP 10
-5
79.2%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TEM 15Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
80.4%
Byrum Brown run for no gain to the TEM 27Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
80.4%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+11
80.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 11 yds to the TEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
80.0%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the TEM 10Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
80.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
79.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for no gain to the TEM 10Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
80.8%
John Cannon 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:3321% → 28%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
78.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 13 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
78.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 30Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+8
78.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 8 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
78.5%
E.J. Warner run for 4 yds to the TEM 42Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+24
78.8%
Darvon Hubbard run for 24 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
79.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the USF 31Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+15
79.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 15 yds to the USF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
79.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
71.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 16 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5275% → 76%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
74.7%
Byrum Brown sacked by Tyrese Whitaker for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 22Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
74.5%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
74.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 7 yds to the USF 29Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
76.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:3126% → 26%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.6%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+22
73.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 22 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
72.5%
WARNER, E.J. pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dante thrown to the USF16. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on STOKES, Jaelen enforced 15 yards to the USF33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
73.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 12 yds to the USF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
72.6%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-6
72.6%
Zae Baines run for a loss of 6 yards to the USF 24Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
74.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+42
73.8%
Camden Price 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.9%
Byrum Brown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1827% → 25%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
73.3%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 30Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+8
73.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 8 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
73.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
74.6%
Dante Atton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:4677% → 77%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
76.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 15 yds to the USF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
77.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-6
77.3%
Byrum Brown sacked by Tra Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the USF 39Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+13
76.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 13 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
77.0%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:2627% → 31%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
73.0%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 8
50
+4
72.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 4 yds to the USF 46Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
72.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 4
OPP 46
-5
73.7%
Temple Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TEM 49Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
69.1%
Dante Atton punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:4772% → 70%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
72.3%
Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
72.0%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 44Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-5
71.4%
South Florida Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Khafre Brown) to the TEM 48Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+13
70.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 13 yds to the TEM 35Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
70.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 5Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+4
70.9%
Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the USF 9Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+20
69.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 20 yds to the USF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
70.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 19 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
72.1%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
71.8%
Kelley Joiner run for 6 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
71.3%
Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+9
69.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 9 yds to the TEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
70.1%
John Cannon 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 4:3024% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.8%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
75.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 9 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
75.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 12 yds to the TEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
74.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the TEM 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
74.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 9 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
73.5%
South Florida Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the USF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
73.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
73.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 8 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
73.5%
run for 1 yd to the USF 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
74.5%
run for 1 yd to the USF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
72.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
74.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
78.7%
Camden Price 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0079% → 80%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
79.4%
Michel Dukes run for 17 yds to the USF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
80.6%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 5
50
-5
80.8%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the USF 45Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
80.3%
Byrum Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 44Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+7
79.1%
Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
79.7%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:5522% → 21%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
78.1%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 9
50
+30
79.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 30 yds David Martin-Robinson fumbled, recovered by USF Mac Harris [SG] WARNER, E.J. pass short to the right complete for 30 yards to MARTIN-ROBINSON, David caught at the USF45, MARTIN-ROBINSON, David fumbled at USF37 forced by STOKES, Jaelen, recovered by USF HARRIS, Mac at the USF20, returned 2 yards to the USF22 (ANDERSON JR., Amad;STOKES, Jaelen), clock 07:35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:5480% → 81%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
80.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds to the USF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
80.5%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the USF 30Similar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-4
80.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 26Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+15
79.9%
Temple Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Yvandy Rigby) to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
82.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 6 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
82.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 25 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
82.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the TEM 9Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
82.3%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the TEM 14Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-8
82.0%
Byrum Brown sacked by Tra Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 22Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
0
80.6%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
+40
81.4%
John Cannon 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3218% → 7%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
81.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 3 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-22
92.6%
Tramel Logan 22 Yd Interception Return (John Cannon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:008% → 8%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 15 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
91.5%
Zae Baines run for 13 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.7%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:1494% → 93%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
93.8%
Israel Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the USF 26Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 16
OWN 26
0
93.4%
Israel Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 16
OWN 26
-10
93.2%
Byrum Brown sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the USF 16Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 26
OWN 16
0
93.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:407% → 21%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
92.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
92.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 6 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
92.9%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the USF 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
run for 4 yds to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
92.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 20 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
79.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 20 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3985% → 85%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
84.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 19 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
86.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
86.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-3
86.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 48Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
85.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 17Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
85.3%
WARNER, E.J. pass deep to the right complete for 35 yards to WRIGHT, Dante caught at the USF48 and advanced to the USF48 (BERRYHILL, Logan). PENALTY TEM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MARTIN-ROBINSON, David enforced 5 yards from the TEM17 to the TEM12 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:2615% → 42%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
85.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
85.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+17
86.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 17 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
84.3%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+20
84.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 20 yds to the USF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
81.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 7 yds to the USF 42Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
80.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
81.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+12
83.1%
E.J. Warner run for 12 yds to the USF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
80.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 18 yds to the USF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
79.5%
E.J. Warner run for no gain to the USF 12Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
58.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Price PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26END OF GAME
22 plays · 58 yds · 7:0375% → 96%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the USF 26Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
74.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 23 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by USF Byrum Brown [NHSG] WRIGHT, Nay'Quan rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, WRIGHT, Nay'Quan fumbled at USF21 , recovered by USF BROWN, Byrum at the USF23, returned 0 yards to the USF23, End of Play.Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
73.1%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the USF 25 for a 1ST down Temple Penalty, Personal Foul (Zymir Cobbs) to the USF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
77.8%
Temple Penalty, Offsides (Diwun Black) to the USF 45Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+9
78.3%
Kelley Joiner run for 9 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
79.0%
Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the TEM 43Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
83.7%
Kelley Joiner run for 7 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
88.8%
Byrum Brown sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 42Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+2
88.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+16
85.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 16 yds to the TEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
88.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+9
88.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the TEM 16Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
92.1%
Temple Penalty, Offsides (Tra Thomas) to the TEM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
93.1%
[SG] Kneel down by BROWN, Byrum at TEM13 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
93.1%
[SG] Kneel down by BROWN, Byrum at TEM15 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
95.6%
[SG] Kneel down by BROWN, Byrum at TEM17 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:03
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Price PAT MISSED)
-21.1
TD · Q4 13:15
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 20 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q3 3:09
Tramel Logan 22 Yd Interception Return (John Cannon Kick)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com