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NAVY

Navy 18 at Temple 32

TEM
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:43 · Dante Atton punt for 35 yds, downed at the NAVY 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense+10.9Pregame prior−8.0Score differential+6.2Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Time remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:46: E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +10.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:13: Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 24 yds for a TD (Xavier Arline pass to Jayden Umbarger for Two-Point Conversion) — NAVY win probability +8.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: Xavier Arline run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +23.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:09: E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +21.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:46: Nathan Kirkwood 45 yd FG GOOD — NAVY win probability +7.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 2NAVY made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 7:13NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:18TEM 4th & 2 at NAVY 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 15, down 10
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:30NAVY 4th & 7 at NAVY 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:43TEM 4th & 9 at NAVY 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:19NAVY 4th & 14 at NAVY 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 7, down 17
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:33NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−3.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:01NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:01NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−3.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:47NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 22, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−4.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−16.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:46NAVY 4th & 9 at TEM 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:21NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:38NAVY 4th & 10 at TEM 12, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NAVY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:23TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:46TEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:13NAVY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56NAVY Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:09TEM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:29TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3738% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.8%
Navy Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Rayuan Lane III) to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
37.8%
Joquez Smith run for no gain to the TEM 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
37.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 13 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
37.8%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the NAVY 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
37.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 2 yds to the NAVY 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+12
37.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 12 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
37.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 7 yds to the NAVY 22Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+22
40.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 4:1060% → 56%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.4%
Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
40.3%
Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the NAVY 34Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
40.2%
Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
40.2%
Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the NAVY 43Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-2
40.1%
Alex Tecza run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 41Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
40.2%
Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 42Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-5
40.4%
Navy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 37Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Riley Riethman punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:5544% → 48%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
43.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 18 yds to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
44.2%
Joquez Smith run for 4 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
44.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
44.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 15 yds to the NAVY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
44.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the NAVY 30Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
44.4%
E.J. Warner run for 2 yds to the NAVY 28Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+4
44.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 4 yds to the NAVY 24Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
47.5%
Camden Price 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0753% → 50%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
47.0%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the NAVY 9Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
47.1%
Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the NAVY 10Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+5
47.4%
Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the NAVY 15Similar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
49.6%
Riley Riethman punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2250% → 61%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
50.0%
Dante Wright run for 1 yd to the NAVY 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
50.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 6 yds to the NAVY 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
50.4%
WARNER, E.J. pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BAINES, Zae thrown to the NAV1. PENALTY NAV Pass Interference on PEELE, Dashaun enforced 15 yards to the NAV24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
61.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1641% → 37%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.3%
Brandon Chatman run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
59.3%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
59.2%
Xavier Arline sacked by Tra Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 28Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
62.8%
Riley Riethman punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:4765% → 70%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
64.8%
Joquez Smith run for 6 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
64.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+19
64.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 19 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
65.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Joquez Smith for 3 yds to the TEM 43Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+15
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 15 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 4 yds to the NAVY 38Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
65.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 4 yds to the NAVY 34Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-7
65.3%
Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 7 yards to the NAVY 41 Darvon Hubbard fumbled, recovered by TEM Darvon Hubbard [SG] HUBBARD, Darvon rush to the left for a loss of 7 yards, HUBBARD, Darvon fumbled at NAV41 forced by RAMOS, Colin, recovered by TEM HUBBARD, Darvon at the NAV41, returned 0 yards to the NAV41, End of Play.Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
69.6%
Dante Atton punt for 35 yds, downed at the NAVY 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 5:2432% → 27%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
67.9%
Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the NAVY 7Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+19
68.1%
Xavier Arline run for 19 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
67.2%
Brandon Chatman run for 5 yds to the NAVY 31Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
66.4%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 4 yds to the NAVY 35Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
66.3%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
66.5%
Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the NAVY 43Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
65.6%
Daba Fofana run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 42Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-8
66.6%
Xavier Arline sacked by Jordan Magee for a loss of 8 yards to the NAVY 34Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Riley Riethman punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9INT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:5376% → 78%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
76.2%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 33Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
76.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 7 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+7
76.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
76.9%
Edward Saydee run for 9 yds to the NAVY 44Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
76.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 6 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
76.8%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the NAVY 36Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
78.0%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1925% → 24%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
75.0%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 3Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
76.0%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 5Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+2
75.5%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the NAVY 7Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
75.9%
Riley Riethman punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.4%
[NH] Kneel down by TEM at TEM46 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2724% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.8%
Brandon Chatman run for 1 yd to the NAVY 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-2
76.0%
Xavier Arline run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
77.1%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Riley Riethman punt for 50 yds, downed at the TEM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+74
78.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 74 yds fumbled, recovered by NAVY Luke Pirris [NH] WARNER, E.J. pass to the right complete for 74 yards to ANDERSON JR., Amad caught at the TEM23, ANDERSON JR., Amad fumbled at NAV12 forced by WILLIAMS JR., Mbiti, recovered by NAV PIRRIS, Luke at the NAV10, returned 0 yards to the NAV10, End of Play, clock 13:17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1621% → 18%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
78.8%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the NAVY 14Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
79.0%
Amin Hassan run for 1 yd to the NAVY 15Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
79.1%
Xavier Arline run for no gain to the NAVY 15Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
82.4%
Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the TEM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:4820% → 30%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.8%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
80.5%
Xavier Arline run for 10 yds to the TEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
78.8%
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
78.3%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
79.6%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
79.6%
Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the TEM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
78.3%
Brandon Chatman run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 25Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
79.0%
Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the TEM 24Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+24
70.4%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 24 yds for a TD (Xavier Arline pass to Jayden Umbarger for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:2174% → 77%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
73.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 8 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+2
74.3%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
73.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.1%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:5128% → 50%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
72.0%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+10
72.0%
Brandon Chatman run for 10 yds to the TEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
70.6%
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
70.1%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the TEM 24Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
71.7%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the TEM 22Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+1
73.1%
Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the TEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
70.1%
Xavier Arline run for 16 yds to the TEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
73.4%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the TEM 2Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.8%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:4259% → 86%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
58.9%
Edward Saydee run for 10 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
59.3%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+13
58.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 13 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
62.0%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+15
62.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 15 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
63.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 9 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
63.1%
run for no gain to the NAVY 32Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+15
61.0%
Navy Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavier McDonald) to the NAVY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
64.9%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the NAVY 13Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
64.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
86.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:1716% → 25%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
84.4%
Brandon Chatman run for 9 yds to the NAVY 36Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
82.5%
Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+31
82.6%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 31 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
79.4%
Brandon Chatman run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
80.7%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+4
83.1%
Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
75.5%
Nathan Kirkwood 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1786% → 98%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+60
86.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 60 yds to the NAVY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
88.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the NAVY 14Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-2
92.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 16Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+16
98.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 16 yds for a TD (E.J. Warner pass to Dante Wright for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.1%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the NAVY 23Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
97.1%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Alex Tecza for 4 yds to the NAVY 27Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
96.9%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+22
97.1%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 22 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+39
96.8%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 39 yds to the TEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
96.3%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
96.8%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 12
0
97.2%
Xavier Arline pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3098% → 99%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
98.3%
Edward Saydee run for 9 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+4
98.4%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEM at TEM17 (team loss of 8).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
98.5%
[NH] Kneel down by TEM at TEM15 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
-23.6
TD · Q4 9:09
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+21.3
TD · Q2 14:46
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com