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SMU

SMU 55 at Temple 0

TEM
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-4.1TEM 1.6%Roderick Daniels Jr. 67 Yd Punt Return(Collin Rogers Kick)AWAY 31 - HOME 0 · Q3 14:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:16 · Roderick Daniels Jr. 67 Yd Punt Return (Collin Rogers Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior−27.4Home team on offense−36.7Score differential−22.4Garbage-time factor−6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:31: Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:32: Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +1.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:43: Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:02: Collin Rogers 25 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:16: Roderick Daniels Jr. 67 Yd Punt Return (Collin Rogers Kick) — SMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 11SMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 11:16TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:13SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:13TEM 4th & 11 at SMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:24TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:17TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:16TEM 4th & 2 at SMU 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06SMU 4th & 15 at TEM 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:16TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:56TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:42TEM 4th & 14 at SMU 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:17SMU 4th & 6 at TEM 30, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:33TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 30, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:33SMU 4th & 1 at TEM 21, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 4:31SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:32SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:43SMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:16SMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:00SMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:52SMU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:35SMU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:4992% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
8.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
8.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+21
8.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 21 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
8.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
8.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TEM 36Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-6
9.2%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 42 Preston Stone fumbled, recovered by TEM Diwun BlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:559% → 10%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
9.3%
Joquez Smith run for 5 yds to the TEM 47Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
9.3%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Joquez Smith for 2 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-5
9.3%
Temple Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
9.2%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
10.0%
Dante Atton punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:0390% → 89%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
10.0%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
10.0%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+12
10.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 12 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
10.0%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
10.0%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+5
10.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
11.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
10.9%
SMU Penalty, Targeting on ROGERS, Jahari enforced (Jahari Rogers) to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:0011% → 12%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
11.1%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Zae Baines for 16 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
11.2%
Quincy Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
11.2%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
11.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for no gain to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
11.6%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jonathan McGill at the SMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:4288% → 90%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
11.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+1
11.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the SMU 17Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+7
12.0%
Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 7 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+43
11.9%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 43 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
11.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
11.3%
STONE, Preston pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KERLEY, Jordan thrown to the TEM0. PENALTY TEM Pass Interference on MCMURRAY, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TEM15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
11.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 11 yds to the TEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.3%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0711% → 11%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
10.6%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
10.6%
Quincy Patterson run for 3 yds to the TEM 18Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
10.5%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
10.7%
Dante Atton punt for 40 yds, downed at the SMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:5289% → 91%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
10.9%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
10.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
10.7%
Preston Stone run for 2 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
10.8%
Preston Stone run for 13 yds to the TEM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
10.7%
STONE, Preston pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Key'Shawn thrown to the TEM1. PENALTY TEM Pass Interference on MCMURRAY, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the TEM5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:159% → 9%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
8.7%
Joquez Smith run for 8 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
8.9%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 34Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
8.8%
Temple Penalty, False Start (Victor Stoffel) to the TEM 29Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
8.7%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
8.6%
Dante Atton punt for 45 yds, downed at the SMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:1790% → 93%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
9.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 17 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
9.5%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
9.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 2 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
9.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 15 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
9.4%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
9.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the TEM 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
9.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the TEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
9.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd to the TEM 2Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.0%
Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 64 yds · 6:2711% → 6%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
10.7%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
10.3%
Quincy Patterson run for 8 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
11.1%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
10.9%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Zae Baines for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+2
11.2%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Edward Saydee for 2 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
11.2%
PATTERSON, Quincy pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ANDERSON JR., Amad thrown to the SMU46. PENALTY SMU Roughing the Passer on ROBERTSON, Cameron enforced 15 yards from the SMU49 to the SMU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
11.5%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Ian Stewart for 16 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
12.1%
Quincy Patterson run for 9 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+6
11.2%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the SMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.0%
SMU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Charles Woods) to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
12.0%
Quincy Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 2Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
50
-1
11.3%
Quincy Patterson sacked by Jonathan McGill and Elijah Chatman for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 49Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.3%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.3%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the SMU 2Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-9
6.2%
Quincy Patterson sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1095% → 96%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
4.6%
Preston Stone run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 6 Preston Stone fumbled, recovered by SMU Preston StoneSimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+13
4.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 13 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+3
4.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+43
4.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 43 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
3.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the TEM 34Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-6
4.0%
Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 6 yards to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
4.1%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
4.3%
Preston Stone punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:266% → 6%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
6.4%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
6.8%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
6.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
6.1%
Dante Atton punt for 48 yds, downed at the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 1:3896% → 97%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.0%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
4.1%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 14 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
3.8%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 13 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.6%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
3.6%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+16
3.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 16 yds to the TEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
3.5%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
3.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 12 yds to the TEM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
3.3%
Preston Stone pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 10 yds to the TEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.3%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
3.3%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
2.7%
Collin Rogers 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
[NH] Kneel down by TEM at TEM23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:306% → 2%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.6%
Joquez Smith run for 5 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
5.9%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
5.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+67
1.6%
Roderick Daniels Jr. 67 Yd Punt Return (Collin Rogers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:202% → 1%
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
1.7%
Forrest Brock sacked by Ahmad Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 17Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
1.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Joquez Smith for 9 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
1.6%
Forrest Brock run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEM 21Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
1.3%
Dante Atton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:5698% → 99%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
1.6%
Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 9 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
1.4%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
1.6%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
1.5%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 4 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
0.9%
Preston Stone run for 21 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:181% → 0%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
0.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Reese Clark for 22 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
0.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for 9 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
0.6%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 3 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.7%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
0.7%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Ian Stewart for 11 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
0.7%
BROCK, Forrest pass up the middle incomplete thrown to the SMU30. PENALTY SMU Roughing the Passer on CHATMAN, Elijah enforced 15 yards from the SMU30 to the SMU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
0.7%
Forrest Brock run for 4 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
0.6%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-8
0.6%
Forrest Brock sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+37
0.4%
Camden Price 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:2599% → 99%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
0.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 14 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
0.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Micah Hilts for 7 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+12
0.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 12 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+10
0.7%
Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the TEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
0.7%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
0.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the TEM 30Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
0.7%
Preston Stone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
0.6%
Collin Rogers 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Forrest Brock pass complete to John Adams for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
0.2%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Dante Atton punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
0.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
0.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the TEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
0.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Camar Wheaton for 13 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
0.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
0.4%
Keldric Luster run for 6 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
0.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
0.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 17 yds to the TEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
0.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd to the TEM 7Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Forrest Brock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+11
0.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 11 yds to the TEM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the TEM 18Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+10
0.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Nelson Paul for 10 yds to the TEM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the TEM 5Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Kevin Jennings run for 5 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to Corey Cuascut-Palmer for 4 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
0.1%
Forrest Brock sacked by Mike Yoan Sandjo-Njiki for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
0.1%
Forrest Brock pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 9 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
0.0%
Forrest Brock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 23 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
0.2%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
0.2%
Zane Minors run for 3 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
0.2%
Zane Minors run for 2 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
0.2%
Zane Minors run for 1 yd to the TEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
0.2%
Zane Minors run for 7 yds to the TEM 13Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+9
0.2%
Zane Minors run for 9 yds to the TEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.2%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SMU at TEM6 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SMU at TEM7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:16
Roderick Daniels Jr. 67 Yd Punt Return (Collin Rogers Kick)
-4.1
TD · Q2 11:43
Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q1 1:32
Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com