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TEM

Temple 14 at North Texas 45

UNT
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:24 · Quincy Patterson pass intercepted
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense+32.0Score differential+22.3Pregame prior+1.4Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:19: Darvon Hubbard run for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +3.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:17: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 41 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK) — UNT win probability +4.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:51: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK) — UNT win probability +5.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:53: Quincy Patterson run for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:45: Oscar Adaway III run for 43 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK) — UNT win probability +8.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNT 4th & 3 at TEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:18TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:07TEM 4th & 1 at UNT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−1.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−6.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:47UNT 4th & 4 at TEM 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:56UNT 4th & 7 at TEM 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:16TEM 4th & 14 at UNT 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:58TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.5%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:11TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 40, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:16UNT 4th & 5 at TEM 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UNT 4th & 22 at UNT 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:00TEM 4th & 22 at TEM 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:09UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:24TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 38, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:08UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:19TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:17UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:51UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:53TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:45UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:17UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:52UNT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5263% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UNT 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jordan Smart for 9 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
63.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UNT 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 7 yds to the UNT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Roderic Burns for 2 yds to the UNT 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jordan Smart for 5 yds Jordan Smart fumbled, recovered by UNTSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+7
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 7 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
63.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
63.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the TEM 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+15
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 15 yds to the TEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
63.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Christian Lee for 3 yds to the TEM 19Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
65.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Roderic Burns for 19 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4335% → 39%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.0%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 21Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+19
65.0%
Joquez Smith run for 19 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
64.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 4 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
64.5%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Jordan Smith for 1 yd to the TEM 45Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+17
64.6%
Quincy Patterson run for 17 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
64.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 11 yds to the UNT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
64.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 20 yds to the UNT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the UNT 7Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
61.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0263% → 67%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 7 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
63.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
62.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 31 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
63.8%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Jacob Hollins for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 34Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-2
63.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 36Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 14
OPP 36
-5
62.8%
ROGERS, Chandler pass short to the right complete for 3 yards to SIDES, Landon caught at the TEM33 and advanced to the TEM33 (HOLLINS, Jacob). PENALTY Before the snap, UNT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEM36 to the TEM41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 19
OPP 41
+41
66.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 41 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5934% → 32%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.5%
Quincy Patterson run for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.5%
Temple Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEM 20Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
66.6%
Quincy Patterson run for 4 yds to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
67.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
67.9%
Dante Atton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the UNT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:0968% → 75%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
68.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 28 yds to the TEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
68.8%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+4
68.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+10
68.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 10 yds to the TEM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
69.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 11 yds to the TEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
69.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the TEM 11Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
74.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5828% → 35%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.4%
Joquez Smith run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
72.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+24
72.1%
Quincy Patterson run for 24 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
71.0%
Darvon Hubbard run for 11 yds to the UNT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
70.7%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Peter Clarke for 16 yds to the UNT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
70.4%
Joquez Smith run for 6 yds to the UNT 12Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
70.4%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the UNT 10Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
70.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the UNT 9Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
71.2%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the UNT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
64.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 4:5169% → 72%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
69.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 5 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
69.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
68.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 5 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
69.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Xzavior Kautai for 10 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
70.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
69.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+4
69.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jordan Smart for 4 yds to the TEM 36Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+11
68.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 11 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
70.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 9 yds to the TEM 16Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+9
69.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Blair Conwright for 9 yds to the TEM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
70.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the TEM 6Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
70.2%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 7Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
69.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
71.7%
Noah Rauschenberg 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 2:4028% → 23%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.3%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Edward Saydee for 4 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
71.7%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
71.9%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the TEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
71.3%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Edward Saydee for 15 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.0%
Reese Clark run for 3 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
71.1%
Quincy Patterson sacked by Ethan Wesloski and Jordan Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the UNT 44Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+2
75.3%
Reese Clark run for 2 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
76.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
77.1%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds, downed at the UNT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9END OF HALF
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:0479% → 79%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
78.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the UNT 13Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 3
OWN 13
0
78.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+20
77.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 20 yds to the UNT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
79.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
79.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
78.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-7
78.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Diwun Black for a loss of 7 yards to the UNT 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:0225% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.9%
Quincy Patterson run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
74.0%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
74.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
74.3%
Joquez Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
74.8%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+9
75.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 9 yds to the TEM 43Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
77.5%
Quincy Patterson run for no gain to the TEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:1379% → 88%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
88.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 43 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3413% → 12%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.2%
Quincy Patterson run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
86.6%
Quincy Patterson run for 3 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
86.6%
Quincy Patterson run for 1 yd to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.6%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
87.1%
Quincy Patterson run for 5 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 5
OWN 40
-2
88.2%
Quincy Patterson sacked by Kortlin Rausaw for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5591% → 91%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.4%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the TEM 38Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
91.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
91.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+5
90.3%
Temple Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+2
91.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:3312% → 10%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
88.2%
Quincy Patterson run for 8 yds to the TEM 39Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
88.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
88.0%
Darvon Hubbard run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 1
50
+11
87.2%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
87.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+14
87.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 14 yds to the UNT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
90.1%
Quincy Patterson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:4393% → 95%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
92.5%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UNT 8Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
92.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for 8 yds to the UNT 16Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+3
92.4%
run for 3 yds to the UNT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
92.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 12 yds to the UNT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
92.8%
run for 6 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-10
93.8%
(02:35) ADEYI, Ayo rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the UNT40 (RIGBY, Yvandy), out of bounds. PENALTY UNT Holding on CARROLL, Daizion enforced 10 yards from the UNT37 to the UNT27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+21
93.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 21 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UNT 48Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-4
94.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 44Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-8
94.5%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Layton Jordan and Jordan Magee for a loss of 8 yards to the UNT 36Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 22
OWN 36
0
94.6%
Sawyer Evans punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:006% → 5%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
94.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Zae Baines for 17 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.7%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
93.7%
Quincy Patterson run for 20 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.5%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the UNT 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Quincy Patterson pass incomplete Temple Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Quincy Patterson) to the TEM 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 43
0
94.1%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for no gain to the TEM 43Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 22
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Dante Atton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5196% → 96%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 2 yds to the UNT 19Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
96.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
96.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
96.2%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:095% → 4%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.4%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the UNT 48Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
95.4%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+8
95.5%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
95.4%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Dante Wright for 13 yds to the UNT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
94.7%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 29Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
95.6%
Quincy Patterson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:3597% → 99%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
97.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 6 yds to the UNT 36Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+64
99.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 64 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 7 yds to the TEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.0%
Quincy Patterson run for 2 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for no gain to the TEM 38Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Quincy Patterson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 4:3299% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 12 yds to the TEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 10 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 12 yds to the TEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 23 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the TEM 26Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
PATTERSON, Quincy pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dante thrown to the TEM38; QB hurried by WRIGHT, Chris, clock 01:05. PENALTY UNT Holding on ANDERSON, Jayven enforced 10 yards from the TEM26 to the TEM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 10 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Quincy Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
Quincy Patterson sacked by Chavez Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:45
Oscar Adaway III run for 43 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q2 8:53
Quincy Patterson run for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 12:51
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com