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UTSA

UTSA 49 at Temple 34

TEM
2023 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+9.9TEM 18.4%E.J. Warner pass complete to JordanSmith for 13 yds for a TD (CamdenPrice KICK)AWAY 42 - HOME 34 · Q4 6:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:29 · E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior−4.0Home team on offense−15.1Score differential−8.4Garbage-time factor−11.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:14: E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 31 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +11.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:00: Robert Henry run for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +13.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:15: E.J. Warner pass complete to Peter Clarke for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TEM win probability +7.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:14: Robert Henry run for 43 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:29: E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:39UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at TEM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:26TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:35UTSA 4th & 15 at UTSA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10TEM 4th & 7 at UTSA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:15TEM 4th & 10 at UTSA 33, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:19UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:31UTSA 4th & 1 at TEM 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−1.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:31TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15TEM 4th & 2 at UTSA 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:42TEM 4th & 9 at UTSA 9, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:17TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:10TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:18UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:17UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:14TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:00UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:32UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:15TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:14UTSA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:29TEM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.8 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%−1.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:39UTSA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4318% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.8%
E.J. Warner run for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
17.8%
Joquez Smith run for 4 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
17.8%
Joquez Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
17.8%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the TEM 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 13 yds to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Joquez Smith for 7 yds to the UTSA 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+20
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 20 yds to the UTSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.8%
Joquez Smith run for no gain to the UTSA 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Joquez Smith for 3 yds to the UTSA 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+12
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 12 yds to the UTSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
17.8%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the UTSA 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
17.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
23.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 7 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3877% → 76%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
23.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 26Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
23.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:5225% → 27%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 6 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
24.7%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
24.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 9 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
26.8%
Joquez Smith run for 11 yds to the UTSA 47 Joquez Smith fumbled, recovered by UTSA Brandon BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:4875% → 78%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+36
25.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 36 yds to the TEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
24.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the TEM 14Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
22.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 14 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:2524% → 30%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
23.8%
WARNER, E.J. pass deep up the middle intercepted by ALEXANDER, Kameryn at the UTS40 intended for ANDERSON JR., Amad. Alexander return for 60 yards to the TEM0, TOUCHDOWN UTS, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:35 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UTS Roughing the Passer on ROBINSON, Jimmori enforced 15 yards from the TEM30 to the TEM45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
24.8%
Darvon Hubbard run for 6 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+16
25.1%
John Adams run for 16 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
25.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
30.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 33 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5272% → 75%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
28.4%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
28.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+8
28.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 8 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
27.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
50
+15
27.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 15 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.0%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
28.8%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-2
29.5%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 26 Robert Henry fumbled, recovered by UTSA Frank HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+6
30.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 6 yds to the TEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
28.8%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the TEM 17Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
24.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 17 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5228% → 27%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the TEM 25Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
27.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
27.2%
Dante Atton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:0974% → 79%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
25.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 3
50
+8
25.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 8 yds to the TEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
25.6%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+28
25.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 28 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
25.1%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
25.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the TEM 1Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.2%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0323% → 36%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.0%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
23.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
22.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 11 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+15
24.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
24.7%
Joquez Smith run for 5 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
24.8%
Joquez Smith run for no gain to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
24.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 9 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
35.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 31 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3570% → 68%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
29.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
29.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
28.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-10
29.4%
HARRIS, Frank scrambles to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the UTS43 (FRANCIS, Tywan). PENALTY UTS Holding on HAYNES, Terrell enforced 10 yards from the UTS36 to the UTS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 15
OWN 26
0
30.6%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
32.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · -16 yds · 1:3034% → 34%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
34.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-3
34.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEM 30Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 11
OWN 30
-15
33.8%
E.J. Warner sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the TEM 6 fumbled, recovered by UTSA Ronald Triplette , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
20.4%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 2:4424% → 25%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
23.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 6 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
23.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 7 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
25.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
26.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 4 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
26.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the UTSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
28.3%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
27.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 3 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-1
25.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 23Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
24.7%
Camden Price 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
21.7%
[NH] Kneel down by UTS at UTS22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:2878% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
22.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 8 yds to the UTSA 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+6
21.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
22.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
21.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 8 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
21.2%
HARRIS, Frank pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MCCUIN, Devin thrown to the TEM45. PENALTY TEM Pass Interference on MCMURRAY, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the UTS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
20.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 11 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
13.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 40 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:1215% → 15%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
14.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+9
14.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 9 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
15.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 6 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
16.0%
WARNER, E.J. pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Dante thrown to the UTS30. PENALTY UTS Holding on GRIFFIN, Dywan enforced 10 yards from the TEM41 to the UTS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
16.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 49Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+18
15.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 18 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
16.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
16.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
16.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 10
OPP 33
-6
14.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:5688% → 89%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
11.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Willie McCoy for 4 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
10.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
10.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 4 yds to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
10.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
10.4%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-7
10.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Jordan Magee for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 48Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
10.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the TEM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:2413% → 13%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
13.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 10 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
13.8%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
13.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+13
13.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 13 yds to the TEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
14.8%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 44Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
14.2%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
13.6%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
13.3%
Dante Atton punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:2492% → 95%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
7.7%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-5
7.7%
HARRIS, Frank pass to the left incomplete intended for MCCUIN, Devin thrown to the UTS38. PENALTY UTS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HAYNES, Terrell enforced 5 yards from the UTS28 to the UTS23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
7.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 6 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
7.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 5 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
7.7%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-5
7.5%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+16
6.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 16 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
5.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+14
5.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 14 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.6%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
5.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
5.5%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
4.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:1612% → 22%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
11.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 6 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
12.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
12.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+36
11.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 36 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
14.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 11 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
14.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+13
13.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Xavier Irvin for 13 yds to the UTSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
15.1%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the UTSA 3Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
15.1%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the UTSA 2Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Peter Clarke for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0185% → 97%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.7%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
15.0%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (Luke Lapeze) to the UTSA 20Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
15.3%
Temple Penalty, Roughing the Passer on JORDAN, Layton enforced (Layton Jordan) to the TEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
12.3%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the TEM 43Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
2.8%
Robert Henry run for 43 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:456% → 18%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
6.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 16 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
7.1%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TEM 43Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+28
7.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 28 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
8.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 3 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+13
8.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 13 yds to the UTSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
8.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
8.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
18.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5091% → 98%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
9.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 13 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+30
8.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 30 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
7.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
2.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 29 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 2:565% → 3%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
4.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 5 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
4.8%
E.J. Warner run for 6 yds to the TEM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
5.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 12 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
5.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 18 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
5.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 9 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+13
6.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds to the UTSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
6.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the UTSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:3798% → 99%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
1.7%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
1.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the UTSA 16Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+3
1.6%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the UTSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.5%
[NH] Kneel down by UTS at UTS19 (team loss of 0).Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
1.5%
Kneel down by UTS at UTS19 (team loss of 0).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
1.1%
Kneel down by UTS at UTS18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:00
Robert Henry run for 6 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q2 6:14
E.J. Warner pass complete to John Adams for 31 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q4 6:29
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Camden Price KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com