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UAB

UAB 42 at North Texas 45

UNT
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:47 · Chandler Rogers pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense−1.8Pregame prior+4.3Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 11:58: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 29 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK) — UNT win probability +24.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:03: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 80 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +29.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:30: Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK) — UNT win probability +26.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:43: Lee Beebe run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +42.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Noah Rauschenberg 32 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +30.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:48UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:28UAB 4th & 16 at UNT 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:23UNT 4th & 4 at UAB 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:47UNT 4th & 3 at UAB 3, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−8.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:45UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.5
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:53UNT 4th & 9 at UAB 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    32.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:47UNT 4th & 9 at UAB 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:38UAB 4th & 4 at UNT 20, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−9.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:57UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:02UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:32UNT 4th & 2 at UAB 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:23UAB 4th & 25 at UAB 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−4.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:14UNT 4th & 7 at UAB 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−15.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:43UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:42UNT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:47UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:37UNT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:20UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:27UAB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:32UNT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:58UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:03UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:30UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−1.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:43UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1742% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
57.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 33 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
57.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+26
57.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 26 yds to the UNT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
57.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 11 yds to the UNT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
57.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 7 Yd Run (Matt Quinn PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0157% → 59%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Christian Lee for 10 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
57.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the UNT 39Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+28
57.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 28 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
57.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 6 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+6
57.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 6 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
57.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
57.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
58.5%
Landon Sides 19 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Noah Rauschenberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5542% → 45%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
58.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
57.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 13 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
57.6%
Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the UNT 49Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
57.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon Buckhaulter for 8 yds to the UNT 41Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+15
57.7%
North Texas Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jayven Anderson) to the UNT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
57.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+10
57.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the UNT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
57.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UNT 13Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
54.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 13 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5956% → 55%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
55.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 14Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+25
55.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 25 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
56.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the UNT 43Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
56.5%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Michael Fairbanks II for a loss of 5 yards to the UNT 38Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
55.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
54.6%
Sawyer Evans punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:2045% → 46%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
54.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
54.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 19 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
53.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 13 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
53.5%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Jaylen Smith and Jordan Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the UNT 41Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+4
53.8%
Lee Beebe run for 4 yds to the UNT 37Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
53.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 11
OPP 37
-5
54.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Adam Lepkowski) to the UNT 42Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
53.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5154% → 63%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
54.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UNT 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+20
54.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 20 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
55.8%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Nikia Eason Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UNT 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-2
54.4%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 47Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+15
53.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 15 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+6
55.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 6 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
56.9%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+13
56.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 13 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
56.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 12 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.8%
Ayo Adeyi 7 Yd Run (Noah Rauschenberg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 1:1340% → 50%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
59.7%
Lee Beebe run for 7 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+10
59.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 10 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
50.5%
Lee Beebe 66 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:2753% → 52%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
52.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 12 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
53.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the UNT 46Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
54.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
53.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
50
+1
54.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
53.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+26
51.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 26 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
54.9%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Damon Miller for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 19
OPP 32
+4
53.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 15
OPP 28
+21
52.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 21 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
54.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.5%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0251% → 51%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
49.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
49.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (T.J. Jones) to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
49.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+6
49.8%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
49.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 69 yds, downed at the UNT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5449% → 47%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
49.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the UNT 24Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
49.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Roderic Burns for 9 yds to the UNT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
49.5%
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 28Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-10
47.8%
(01:31) ROGERS, Chandler scrambles up the middle for a gain of 58 yards to the UAB14 (MAYES, BJ). PENALTY UNT Holding on DUNCAN, Jett enforced 10 yards from the UNT28 to the UNT18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 25
OWN 18
0
47.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 25
OWN 18
+13
47.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 13 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
46.7%
Chandler Rogers pass intercepted Colby Dempsey return for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:1757% → 75%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
42.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 18 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
41.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 8 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+32
24.8%
Fred Farrier II 32 Yd pass from Jacob Zeno (Jacob Zeno Pass to Amare Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:1132% → 34%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
32.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UNT 35Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+11
32.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 11 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
33.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
33.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:0732% → 33%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
31.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 13 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
31.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 14 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
33.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
33.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 1 yd to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
32.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+16
31.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 16 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
33.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 11 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
33.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
31.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-1
30.8%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
33.0%
Noah Rauschenberg 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:0967% → 72%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
32.9%
ZENO, Jacob pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DAMOUS, Bryce thrown to the UAB44. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on SMITH, Patrick enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the UAB35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
32.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
32.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 8 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
31.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
31.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
31.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UNT 42Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+16
31.6%
Lee Beebe run for 16 yds to the UNT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
31.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
26.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 6 yds to the UNT 20Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
25.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UNT 20Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
28.4%
Matt Quinn 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:4129% → 28%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
28.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Kendall Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the UNT 13Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
28.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+15
27.3%
UAB Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ricky Lee III) to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
30.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UNT 47Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
30.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
29.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
27.5%
Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Lee Witherspoon at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5573% → 72%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
27.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
27.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
27.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
28.0%
Patrick Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:3029% → 49%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
50
0
28.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
50
+9
28.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 9 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-10
29.3%
ADAWAY III, Oscar rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the UAB35 (THOMAS, Tyler). PENALTY UNT Holding on CARROLL, Daizion enforced 10 yards from the UAB41 to the UNT49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+23
26.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 9 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jason Riles Jr.) to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
30.9%
Landon Sides run for 28 yds North Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Cleveland) to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 16
OPP 34
0
30.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+19
29.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 19 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
29.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 10 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
29.9%
ADAWAY III, Oscar rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UAB3 (BRATTON, Jackson). PENALTY Before the snap, UAB Illegal Substitution on MILLER, Damien enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the end of the play at the UAB3 to the UAB3. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
29.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.5%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.6%
Xzavior Kautai 2 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Chandler Rogers Pass to Landon Sides for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4356% → 53%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
44.2%
Lee Beebe run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the UNT 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:5146% → 76%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+29
45.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 29 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
50.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the UNT 46Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
47.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 9 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
51.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
51.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ayo Adeyi for 5 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
51.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
76.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Landon Sides for 29 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:3529% → 26%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-18
72.0%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Kadren Johnson for a loss of 18 yards to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
74.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the UNT 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:0975% → 87%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
74.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 20 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
76.6%
ROGERS, Chandler pass deep to the right complete for 28 yards to CLEVELAND, Trey caught at the UAB6 and advanced to the UAB6, out of bounds. After review, the ruling on the field was overturned: (OVERTURNED PLAY:). PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on MCWILLIAMS, Mac enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UAB19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+13
76.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 13 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
76.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
76.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
87.1%
Noah Rauschenberg 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1117% → 47%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
82.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Adam Lepkowski) to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+80
53.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 80 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:3359% → 92%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+37
58.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Blair Conwright for 37 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
65.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
65.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 7 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
65.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 7 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+12
65.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 12 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4713% → 58%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.1%
T.J. Jones run for 13 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
84.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-1
85.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+47
87.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 47 yds to the UNT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
82.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Will Parker) to the UNT 17Similar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+15
83.8%
ZENO, Jacob pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PALMER, Tejhaun thrown to the UNT0. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on WILSON, Logan enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UNT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
42.1%
Lee Beebe run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:4361% → 97%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 11
OWN 25
+8
60.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Roderic Burns for 8 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+37
63.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 37 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
68.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
68.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
68.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
68.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+32
96.7%
Noah Rauschenberg 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:43
Lee Beebe run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-42.5
FG · Q4 0:00
Noah Rauschenberg 32 yd FG GOOD
+30.5
TD · Q4 8:03
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 80 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-29.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com