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FAU

Florida Atlantic 42 at UAB 45

UAB
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:36 · Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+16.4Score differential+7.3Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Pregame prior−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:10: Kendall Johnson 26 Yd Interception Return (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +12.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:42: Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 76 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK) — FAU win probability +29.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:43: Kobe Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD UAB Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) declined (Carter Davis KICK) — FAU win probability +23.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:20: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 70 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +37.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Matt Quinn 26 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +27.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:23UAB 4th & 9 at FAU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:39FAU 4th & 16 at UAB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42FAU 4th & 3 at UAB 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at UAB 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:33FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:04FAU 4th & 1 at UAB 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−1.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:46UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:36UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:35FAU 4th & 11 at UAB 37, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56UAB 4th & 2 at FAU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−1.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−10.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:12UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−3.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:35UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:57FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:33FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.9 ptsPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 0:11UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:12FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:31UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:29UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:04FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:37UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:10UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:27FAU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:17FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:42FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:43FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 4:20UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:3048% → 49%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
47.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
47.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
47.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds to the FAU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
47.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 17 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
47.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+8
47.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 8 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
47.9%
Lee Beebe run for 4 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
47.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the FAU 17Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-15
47.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Zeno,Jacob pass complete short right to Palmer,Tejhaun for 5 yards to the FAU12 (Wester,Jaylen) PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas,Amare) 15 yards from FAU17 to FAU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 21
OPP 32
+12
47.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon Buckhaulter for 12 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+4
49.1%
Matt Quinn 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Evan Anderson Quinn,Matt field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD blocked by Anderson,Evan (H: Foley,Patrick, LS: Moser,Caleb), clock 10:23 recovered by FAU Jerrels,Jarrett at FAU30 Jerrels,Jarrett return 4 yards to the FAU34 (Yates,Quez), out of bounds. , Jarrett Jerrels return for 4 yds to the FAU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:4451% → 50%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
48.7%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
48.5%
Daniel Richardson run for 8 yds to the FAU 29 Daniel Richardson fumbled, recovered by FAU Daniel Richardson No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel rush middle for 8 yards loss to the FAU29 fumbled by Richardson,Daniel at FAU29 recovered by FAU Richardson,Daniel at FAU29, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+27
49.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 27 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
48.2%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
48.2%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
48.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
48.1%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-8
48.3%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Michael Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
49.6%
Logan Lupo punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2549% → 49%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
49.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
49.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+3
49.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 3 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+9
48.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 54 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 9 yds to the FAU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:3251% → 51%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+41
49.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 41 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-9
48.2%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Michael Fairbanks II for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 19
OPP 29
0
48.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+16
49.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 16 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+1
49.3%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:3150% → 58%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
50.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+21
50.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 21 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.4%
Lee Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
51.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
50.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 7 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
51.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+46
57.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:4844% → 52%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
55.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 22 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
54.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 11 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Devin PriceSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
53.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-5
54.9%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Maranges,Federico) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+12
55.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+4
55.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
53.5%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+10
53.5%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
53.5%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
47.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4152% → 59%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
59.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 72 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5842% → 40%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.4%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
58.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Larry McCammonSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
60.3%
Logan Lupo punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:0461% → 71%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
50
+1
61.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+1
60.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+13
59.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 13 yds to the FAU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
61.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+37
70.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 37 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2532% → 40%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.5%
Larry McCammon run for 8 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
67.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Zeke Moore for 7 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
68.0%
Larry McCammon run for 8 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
66.8%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
67.2%
Larry McCammon run for 12 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
67.0%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
66.4%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+27
60.0%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2763% → 79%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
62.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
61.6%
Jacob Zeno run for 11 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
62.6%
Bryce Damous pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 15 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+17
66.6%
Lee Beebe run for 17 yds to the FAU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
66.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 13Similar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
66.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 23 yds to the FAU 30 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tejhaun Palmer) to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
66.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
66.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 6 yds to the FAU 27Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-5
66.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Yates,Quez) 5 yards from FAU27 to FAU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
78.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3724% → 25%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
76.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 16 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
75.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete short left to Lewis,Kobe PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Roussaw Jr.,Everett) 6 yards from FAU41 to FAU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-9
74.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Michael Fairbanks II for a loss of 9 yards to the FAU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4324% → 12%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
76.2%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-26
88.5%
Kendall Johnson 26 Yd Interception Return (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4312% → 24%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.5%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
88.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+39
88.0%
Daniel Richardson run for 39 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
87.1%
Shotgun Johnson Jr.,Michael rush middle for 6 yards loss to the UAB14 (Waller,Emanuel) PENALTY UAB Face Mask (Waller,Emanuel) 4 yards from UAB08 to UAB04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
87.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the UAB 3Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
75.7%
LaJohntay Wester run for 3 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5181% → 82%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
81.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
81.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
81.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-3
81.0%
Jacob Zeno sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
82.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4319% → 18%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
81.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
82.5%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4984% → 86%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
84.1%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 16 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
84.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Gunter,Ryan) 5 yards from UAB46 to UAB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
85.8%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the UAB 36 Jacob Zeno fumbled, recovered by FAU Evan Anderson No Huddle-Shotgun Zeno,Jacob rush middle for 5 yards loss to the UAB36 fumbled by Zeno,Jacob at UAB36 recovered by FAU Anderson,Evan at UAB36, End Of Play. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2920% → 17%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
80.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds Tony Johnson fumbled, recovered by FAU Tony Johnson No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass complete short middle to Wester,LaJohntay for 5 yards loss to the UAB41 lateral to Johnson,Tony for 0 yards to the UAB42 fumbled by Johnson,Tony at UAB42 recovered by FAU Johnson,Tony at UAB41 (Mayes,BJ).Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
81.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+4
82.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
82.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:4686% → 86%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
86.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Jacob Zeno pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:3218% → 30%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
82.1%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+23
81.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to BJ Alexander for 23 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
80.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-7
80.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Kevin Penn for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+20
69.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 20 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:1675% → 81%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
74.5%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Lepkowski,Adam) 5 yards from UAB21 to UAB16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+31
74.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 31 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
77.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
77.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
77.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 11 yds to the FAU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
78.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
78.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 5 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+1
82.8%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the FAU 23Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+1
81.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
51.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 76 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2456% → 52%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
55.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+6
55.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
53.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+34
52.3%
Patrick Foley punt for 43 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 34 yds to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:2955% → 79%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
45.0%
Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
44.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 5 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
44.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
20.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD UAB Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Yards) declined (Carter Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 5:0829% → 21%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.1%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
28.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 12 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
29.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
29.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
33.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
33.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
32.5%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Decarius Hawthorne for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 16
OWN 42
-3
28.4%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Courtney McBride for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 19
OWN 39
0
21.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FAU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3881% → 84%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
19.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+1
18.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
15.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
15.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:3722% → 67%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
21.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+70
59.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 70 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
Q4 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
67.0%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Yates,Quez) 5 yards from FAU03 to FAU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:4749% → 50%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 26Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
51.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
52.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
47.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
47.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+6
49.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 6 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
49.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 29FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 1:3059% → 96%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
61.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 19 yds to the FAU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
65.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 12 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
68.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the FAU 29Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
68.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+20
65.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 20 yds to the FAU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
96.0%
Matt Quinn 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:20
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 70 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
+37.7
TD · Q4 14:42
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 76 yds for a TD (Carter Davis KICK)
-29.8
FG · Q4 0:03
Matt Quinn 26 yd FG GOOD
+27.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com