Try the model
MEM

Memphis 45 at UAB 21

UAB
2023 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023 · Protective Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2UAB 38.2%Tanner Gillis 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 21 · Q3 10:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:10 · Tanner Gillis 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior−10.0Home team on offense−4.2Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:06: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UAB win probability +7.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:45: Malik Feaster 36 Yd Interception Return (Tanner Gillis Kick) — MEM win probability +12.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:45: Landry Lyddy pass complete to Bryce Damous for 29 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +11.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:19: Blake Watson run for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK) — MEM win probability +15.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:36: Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK) — MEM win probability +14.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:40UAB 4th & 1 at MEM 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00MEM 4th & 1 at UAB 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−1.0
    84% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−4.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:04UAB 4th & 2 at MEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−0.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−5.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:30MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:42MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:17UAB 4th & 2 at MEM 18, tied
    Close callWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%−0.9
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:10MEM 4th & 19 at UAB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−3.3
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:54UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:12MEM 4th & 1 at UAB 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.3%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:19MEM 4th & 1 at UAB 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:17UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:28UAB 4th & 10 at MEM 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:04UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:45MEM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:06UAB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:55MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:45MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:45UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:19MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:36MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:26MEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5628% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
27.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 40 yds to the MEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
27.7%
Harrison Barker run for 3 yds to the MEM 32Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+32
28.5%
Tejhaun Palmer 32 Yd pass from Harrison Barker (Harrison Barker Pass to Tejhaun Palmer for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:1272% → 71%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
28.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the MEM 35Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+14
28.4%
Blake Watson run for 14 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
28.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 13 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
28.3%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
28.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Blake WatsonSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+29
28.3%
Blake Watson run for 29 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
28.3%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.4%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 6:3430% → 38%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
29.8%
Harrison Barker run for 8 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+12
30.0%
Harrison Barker pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 12 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
30.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 2
50
0
30.2%
Harrison Barker pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 2
50
+1
30.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 49Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
29.9%
Trace Campbell run for 2 yds to the MEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
30.2%
Harrison Barker run for 1 yd to the MEM 48Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+15
30.1%
T.J. Jones run for 15 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
30.3%
Lee Beebe run for 1 yd to the MEM 32Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
30.3%
Harrison Barker pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 6 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+10
30.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the MEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
30.3%
Harrison Barker run for 7 yds to the MEM 9Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+6
30.3%
Harrison Barker pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 6 yds to the MEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:0464% → 67%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
36.3%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the MEM 40Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
36.0%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+23
35.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 23 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
35.1%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
35.0%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
35.6%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
37.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henigan,Seth pass complete deep right to Dove,Tauskie for 23 yards to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:25 PENALTY MEM Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Hill,Xavier) 5 yards from UAB23 to UAB28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
38.5%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+1
39.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+13
40.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 13 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
39.6%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
38.2%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
33.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 7 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:5137% → 41%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.8%
Trace Campbell run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
37.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
37.2%
Trace Campbell run for 6 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
37.9%
Lee Beebe run for 25 yds to the MEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
39.1%
Trace Campbell pass complete to T.J. Jones for 5 yds to the MEM 30Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
39.2%
Lee Beebe run for 10 yds to the MEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
39.2%
Trace Campbell run for 4 yds to the MEM 16Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
39.2%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+4
38.5%
Trace Campbell run for 4 yds to the MEM 12Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+1
40.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3463% → 61%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
36.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
37.0%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 15Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+5
37.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 5 yds to the MEM 20Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
38.8%
Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4541% → 30%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
40.8%
Harrison Barker run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
41.9%
Harrison Barker pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-36
29.7%
Malik Feaster 36 Yd Interception Return (Tanner Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5330% → 44%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.7%
Harrison Barker pass complete to Bryce Damous for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
30.0%
Trace Campbell pass complete to Amare Thomas for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
30.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+14
31.6%
Lee Witherspoon run for 14 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
32.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Campbell,Trace pass incomplete deep right to Farrier II,Fred PENALTY MEM Pass Interference (Williams,Joel) 15 yards from MEM43 to MEM28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
33.4%
Lee Beebe run for 1 yd to the MEM 29Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
33.3%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+29
44.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Bryce Damous for 29 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5661% → 60%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
38.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 14 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
37.2%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
36.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
38.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Reid Bauer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:2542% → 44%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
41.8%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
44.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
44.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+10
44.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
44.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 12 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
45.8%
Harrison Barker run for 7 yds to the MEM 19Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
45.8%
Harrison Barker pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+1
44.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 18Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+1
43.7%
Lee Beebe run for 1 yd to the MEM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
38.9%
Kneel down by Memphis at MEM14 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:5061% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
39.4%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
38.7%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
37.5%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
37.9%
Blake Watson run for 14 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
36.2%
UAB Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
35.2%
Sutton Smith run for 13 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
35.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henigan,Seth rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB13 (Bratton,Jackson) PENALTY MEM Holding (Likes,Jacob) 10 yards from UAB15 to UAB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 25
-1
35.9%
Seth Henigan sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 26
+2
36.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 2 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 24
0
38.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby DrakeSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 19
OPP 24
+42
38.2%
Tanner Gillis 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4638% → 37%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
37.6%
Trace Campbell run for 14 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
40.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Lee Beebe for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
50
-11
40.8%
Landry Lyddy sacked by CorMontae Hamilton for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 20
OWN 39
0
37.0%
Landry Lyddy pass intercepted by Simeon Blair, return 41 yds to UAB 08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
21.9%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2524% → 23%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
23.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
25.0%
Harrison Barker pass incomplete to Brandon BuckhaulterSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
24.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
22.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 6:1877% → 93%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
23.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 13 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
22.5%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
22.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 3 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
22.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
21.6%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+9
21.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
21.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+21
21.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 21 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
21.1%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
21.1%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+7
21.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Blake Watson for 7 yds Blake Watson fumbled, recovered by MEM for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
7.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:4410% → 11%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
10.4%
Memphis Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Derick Hunter Jr.) to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
11.2%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
11.1%
Harrison Barker run for 9 yds to the MEM 43 Harrison Barker fumbled, recovered by MEM Simeon BlairSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4093% → 93%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
7.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 3
50
+2
6.8%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
7.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
7.0%
Seth Henigan run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:189% → 7%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
8.6%
Harrison Barker run for 5 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
9.0%
Harrison Barker sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
6.9%
Landry Lyddy pass intercepted by Cameron Smith, return for 2 yds to the MEM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
17 plays · 53 yds · 9:2894% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
5.9%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
5.8%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
5.9%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.8%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph ScatesSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
5.8%
Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+4
5.8%
Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
5.7%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
5.7%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+5
5.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
3.1%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
2.8%
Brandon Thomas run for 6 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
2.8%
Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
2.8%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
2.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.4%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)Similar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
0.5%
PENALTY MEM UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chislom,Jamauri) 15 yards from MEM35 to MEM20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.8%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+2
0.8%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+10
0.8%
Trace Campbell pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+20
0.8%
Trace Campbell pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 20 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.9%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to Dallas PayneSimilar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
0.9%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to T.J. JonesSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
0.9%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
0.7%
Trace Campbell pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
0.3%
Kneel down by Memphis at MEM37 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:19
Blake Watson run for 8 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 0:36
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds for a TD (Tanner Gillis KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 5:45
Malik Feaster 36 Yd Interception Return (Tanner Gillis Kick)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com