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UL

Louisiana 41 at UAB 21

UAB
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1UAB 12.9%Kenneth Almendares 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 0 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Kenneth Almendares 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense−29.0Score differential−13.1Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Pregame prior+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:11: Jacob Kibodi run for 30 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +7.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:35: Zeon Chriss run for 80 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +13.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:06: Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +16.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:46: Kenneth Almendares 37 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:02: Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 11 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:44UAB 4th & 4 at UL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:46UL 4th & 5 at UAB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:28UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:18UL 4th & 14 at UL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:55UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:16UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:08UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UL 4th & 17 at UAB 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:26UL 4th & 5 at UL 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:42UAB 4th & 11 at UL 11, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:46UL 4th & 9 at UAB 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−2.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:09UAB 4th & 18 at UL 23, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 44, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:10UAB 4th & 10 at UL 17, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 9:11UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:35UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:06UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:02UL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:11UL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:10UAB Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:33UAB Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:10UAB Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:1253% → 54%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
53.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+18
53.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 18 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
53.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
53.2%
PENALTY LA Delay Of Game (Hazard,Sonny) 5 yards from UAB41 to UAB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
53.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.2%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the UL 49Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
53.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 6 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
53.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
53.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5847% → 46%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
53.3%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the UL 46Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-15
53.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wooldridge,Ben pass incomplete deep left to Broussard,Harvey PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Mayes,BJ) 15 yards from LA 46 to UAB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
53.2%
Ben Wooldridge sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
53.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+6
53.4%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
53.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1854% → 54%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
53.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
54.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon Buckhaulter for 5 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
54.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+4
53.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 4 yds to the UL 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:1046% → 45%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
53.8%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
53.4%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+9
53.7%
Terrence Williams run for 9 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
53.4%
PENALTY LA False Start 5 yards from LA 37 to LA 32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+1
53.8%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the UL 33Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
54.1%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
54.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5954% → 54%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
54.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-6
54.0%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Cameron Whitfield for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+11
53.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 11 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+7
53.5%
Patrick Foley punt for 49 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 7 yds to the UL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:2446% → 49%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
53.8%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 17 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
52.9%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
52.6%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
52.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Chriss,Zeon rush right for 3 yards gain to the UAB46 (Penn,Kevin; Gill,Joker) PENALTY LA Illegal Shift 5 yards from UAB49 to LA 46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+17
53.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 17 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
52.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+17
52.0%
Zeon Chriss run for 17 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
51.2%
Zylan Perry run for 8 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
51.2%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
51.1%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the UAB 6 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by UAB Fish McWilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:3954% → 53%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
54.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 15 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
54.7%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Cameron Whitfield for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+4
54.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+9
53.8%
Jacob Zeno run for 9 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
53.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
55.0%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
54.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 15
OWN 28
-8
53.8%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Tyler Guidry for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 23
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for no gain to the UL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:0548% → 57%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
52.2%
Zeon Chriss run for 20 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
51.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
50.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+30
42.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 30 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9INT
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1145% → 47%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
45.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
45.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+17
44.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 17 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
46.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+44
47.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 44 yds to the UL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
48.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 5 yds to the UL 7Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
47.1%
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
33.5%
Zeon Chriss run for 80 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2733% → 31%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
33.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-7
34.6%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Kendre' Gant for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
31.1%
Patrick Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0268% → 86%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Elijah Davis for 4 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
31.5%
Elijah Davis run for 11 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
30.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 3 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+36
30.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 36 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
29.9%
PENALTY LA False Start 5 yards from UAB21 to UAB26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+4
30.1%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 4 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+16
30.2%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 16 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1921% → 21%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
20.8%
Jacob Zeno pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:4787% → 87%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
13.4%
Zeon Chriss run for 16 yds to the UAB 38 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by UL Zeon ChrissSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 26
OPP 38
0
13.1%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 26
OPP 38
+9
13.5%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+46
12.9%
Kenneth Almendares 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2886% → 87%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
13.8%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the UL 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
13.9%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 5 yds to the UL 27Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
14.4%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
13.2%
Thomas Leo punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:4417% → 11%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
16.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
16.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
13.3%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 64 yds UAB Penalty, Holding UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Will Parker) to the UAB 15Similar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 31
OWN 15
+13
12.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 13 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+15
12.7%
Louisiana Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Agu) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
50
+40
13.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 40 yds to the UL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
15.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
15.5%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UL 7Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
14.9%
Jacob Zeno sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 11Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
10.5%
Matt Quinn 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:5692% → 97%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
7.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 6 yds to the UL 26Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
7.8%
Terrence Williams run for 11 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
7.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 23 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
7.4%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 19 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
7.1%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
7.1%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-4
7.2%
Zeon Chriss sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
3.2%
Kenneth Almendares 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:323% → 5%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+36
2.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 21 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST down Louisiana Penalty, Targeting (Courtline Flowers) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
3.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+11
3.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 11 yds to the UL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
3.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 13 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
3.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 10 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
3.6%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Kendre' Gant for a loss of 6 yards to the UL 21Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+8
3.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 8 yds to the UL 13Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+15
3.4%
Louisiana Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyrone Lewis Jr.) to the UL 23Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 18
OPP 23
+41
5.3%
Matt Quinn 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0796% → 99%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
4.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 59 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
3.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
1.0%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 11 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:572% → 1%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
2.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 3 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
1.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-11
1.0%
Jacob Zeno sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 49
-5
0.9%
PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game (Zeno,Jacob) 5 yards from UAB49 to UAB44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 23
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Patrick Foley punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:3999% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
1.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 23 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for 6 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-10
0.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fields,Chandler rush left for 1 yard loss to the LA 48 (Sorrells,Will) PENALTY LA Holding (Wade,KeDarius) 10 yards from LA 49 to LA 39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-15
0.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fields,Chandler pass incomplete deep middle to Wade,KeDarius broken up by Dempsey,Colby PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Dempsey,Colby) 15 yards from LA 39 to UAB46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+2
0.8%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
0.9%
PENALTY LA False Start (Culbert,Trayv'on) 5 yards from UAB36 to UAB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+11
0.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 11 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+9
0.9%
Chandler Fields run for 9 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+8
0.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Fields,Chandler pass incomplete short middle to Culbert,Trayv'on PENALTY UAB Roughing The Passer (Little,Desmond) 8 yards from UAB16 to UAB08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for no gain to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
0.9%
Elijah Davis run for 6 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 13 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 29 yds to the UL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 6 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+12
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 12 yds to the UL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
0.2%
Lee Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the UL 4Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
0.2%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the UL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.1%
Owens,Fred kickoff 53 yards to the LA 12 muffed by Bernard,Jacob at LA 12 recovered by UAB Witherspoon,Lee at LA 12, End Of Play PENALTY UAB Offside 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Elijah Davis run for no gain to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-7
0.2%
Chandler Fields sacked by Kendall Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the UL 49Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 17
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Chandler Fields pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q4 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.1%
Demetrius Battle run for 3 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Lee Beebe run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
0.2%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 28 Elijah Davis fumbled, recovered by UAB Nikia Eason Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26TD
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:140% → 1%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the UL 23Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
0.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the UL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to J.C. SivleySimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-BennettSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+17
1.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 17 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.7%
C. Fields takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:06
Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-16.6
TD · Q2 5:35
Zeon Chriss run for 80 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q2 9:11
Jacob Kibodi run for 30 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com