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NCAT

North Carolina A&T 6 at UAB 35

UAB
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadNCAT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreNCAT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:09 · Owen Daffer 48 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+20.7Home team on offense+18.5Score differential+6.8Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:23: Owen Daffer 37 yd FG GOOD — NCAT win probability +2.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 12:07: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +1.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds for a TD — UAB win probability +2.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:46: Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the UAB 9 — UAB win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:21: Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NCAT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 2:23NCAT 4th & 6 at UAB 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:34NCAT 4th & 3 at UAB 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:30NCAT 4th & 8 at NCAT 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:46NCAT 4th & 2 at NCAT 40, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:43UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 12, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:09NCAT 4th & 14 at UAB 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:24NCAT 4th & 12 at UAB 16, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:50UAB 4th & 10 at NCAT 10, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:25NCAT 4th & 2 at NCAT 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:32UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:07UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25UAB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:21UAB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:28UAB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:2293% → 93%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.3%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
93.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 7 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
93.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
93.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
93.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 8 yds to the NCAT 47Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
93.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
93.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 6 yds to the NCAT 38Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
93.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+6
93.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the NCAT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
93.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCAT 28Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+6
93.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
93.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 5 yds to the NCAT 17Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
93.3%
Iverson Hooks run for 7 yds to the NCAT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 2FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 7:018% → 10%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
92.4%
Eli Brickhandler run for 2 yds to the NCAT 38Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+17
92.4%
Wesley Graves run for 17 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
92.3%
Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete to Taymon CookeSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
92.3%
Kenji Christian run for 7 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
92.3%
Kenji Christian run for 3 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
92.3%
Eli Brickhandler run for 2 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
92.3%
Wesley Graves run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+9
92.4%
Wesley Graves run for 9 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
92.2%
Wesley Graves run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
92.2%
Wesley Graves run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+4
92.4%
Eli Brickhandler run for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
90.1%
Owen Daffer 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:0890% → 92%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
90.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+11
90.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 11 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
90.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the NCAT 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
90.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 1 yd to the NCAT 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
89.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the NCAT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
90.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 6 yds to the NCAT 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+9
90.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 9 yds to the NCAT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
90.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 5 yds to the NCAT 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+12
90.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 12 yds to the NCAT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the NCAT 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
90.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the NCAT 4Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:339% → 9%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.1%
Eli Brickhandler run for 6 yds to the NCAT 31Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
90.9%
Eli Brickhandler run for 5 yds to the NCAT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
90.9%
Kenji Christian run for 25 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
90.6%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Amonte Jones for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
90.2%
Kenji Christian run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
90.5%
Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete to Christian MacDonaldSimilar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-3
90.7%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Everett Roussaw Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:5792% → 92%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+11
91.8%
Jacob Zeno run for 11 yds to the NCAT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
91.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 7 yds to the NCAT 40Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+18
91.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 17 yds to the NCAT 23 pass complete to for 18 yds Tejhaun Palmer fumbled, forced by Tim Williams, recovered by NCAT Tim WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:079% → 8%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
90.8%
Wesley Graves run for 2 yds to the NCAT 25Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
90.8%
Wesley Graves run for 3 yds to the NCAT 28Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-3
90.9%
Kevin White sacked by Jackson Bratton for a loss of 3 yards to the NCAT 25Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCAT 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0592% → 94%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
91.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the NCAT 41Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
91.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCAT 36Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
91.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the NCAT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
91.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 16 yds to the NCAT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
91.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 1 yd to the NCAT 16Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+1
91.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 1 yd to the NCAT 15Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
91.4%
PENALTY NCA Offside (Iseah,Joshua) 5 yards from NCA15 to NCA10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
91.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the NCAT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
Kenji Christian run for no gain to the NCAT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:146% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete to Taymon CookeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.5%
Kenji Christian run for 1 yd to the NCAT 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
94.6%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Kevin Penn for a loss of 7 yards to the NCAT 17Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+15
94.7%
Brickhouse,Caleb punt 44 yards to the UAB39 McWilliams,Mac return 29 yards to the NCA32 (Jackson,Damien; Ward,Melik) PENALTY UAB Leaping (Lee III,Ricky) 15 yards from NCA17 to NCA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Eli Brickhandler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete to Amonte JonesSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+8
94.6%
Taymon Cooke run for 8 yds to the NCAT 40Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
94.4%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0396% → 96%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
96.1%
Lee Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+5
95.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 5 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+2
95.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Patrick Foley punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:345% → 4%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
95.0%
No Huddle White,Kevin pass incomplete deep middle to Cooke,Taymon PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Brown,AJ) 15 yards from UAB42 to UAB27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
94.4%
Wesley Graves run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-5
94.8%
PENALTY NCA Delay Of Game (White,Kevin) 5 yards from UAB29 to UAB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+5
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun White,Kevin rush right for 2 yards gain to the UAB32 (Moore,Michael), out of bounds PENALTY UAB Offside (Little,Desmond) 5 yards from UAB34 to UAB29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+2
94.8%
Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the UAB 27 Kenji Christian fumbled, recovered by NCAT Tim WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-4
95.0%
Kevin White sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+48
95.8%
Owen Daffer 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:4897% → 99%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
96.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
50
-5
96.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Wilson,Brady) 5 yards from UAB50 to UAB45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+10
96.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 10 yds to the NCAT 45Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
96.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the NCAT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
96.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the NCAT 34Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+34
99.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 13FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:502% → 1%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.9%
Wesley Graves run for 4 yds to the NCAT 26Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
97.7%
Wesley Graves run for 2 yds to the NCAT 28Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+19
97.8%
Eli Brickhandler run for 19 yds to the NCAT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.7%
Eli Brickhandler run for 5 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
97.7%
Kenji Christian run for 9 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Christian,Kenji rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB34 (Eason Jr.,Nikia; Howard,Tyrique) PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UAB39 to UAB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+7
97.4%
Wesley Graves run for 7 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
97.4%
Eli Brickhandler run for 6 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
98.0%
Charlie Dixon run for 7 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.9%
Wesley Graves run for no gain to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
97.9%
Eli Brickhandler sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
98.1%
Wesley Graves run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+33
98.9%
Owen Daffer 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:3499% → 99%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.2%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
99.3%
Lee Beebe run for 6 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to T.J. JonesSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 13 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 3 yds to the NCAT 35Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+7
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 7 yds to the NCAT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.3%
Lee Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the NCAT 26Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Lee BeebeSimilar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+10
99.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 10 yds to the NCAT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
99.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to for 15 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Lee Witherspoon run for no gain to the NCAT 1Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+7
99.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the NCAT 8Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Witherspoon for 2 yds to the NCAT 10Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
99.4%
Matt Quinn 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.1%
Wesley Graves run for 8 yds to the NCAT 28Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete to Taymon CookeSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
99.1%
Wesley Graves run for 3 yds to the NCAT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Charlie Dixon run for no gain to the NCAT 31Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.1%
Eli Brickhandler sacked by Jackson Bratton for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 30Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+9
99.2%
Eli Brickhandler pass complete to Kenji Christian for 9 yds to the NCAT 39Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Caleb Brickhouse punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
99.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+6
99.5%
Lee Beebe run for 6 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
99.5%
Lee Beebe run for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe for 11 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 9 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 4 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
99.6%
Lee Beebe run for 11 yds to the NCAT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 7 yds to the NCAT 37Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+5
99.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 5 yds to the NCAT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+28
99.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 28 yds to the NCAT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Iverson Hooks for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 17END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Wesley Graves run for 4 yds to the NCAT 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:21
Jacob Zeno pass complete to T.J. Jones for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 0:25
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds for a TD
+2.5
FG · Q1 2:23
Owen Daffer 37 yd FG GOOD
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com