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UTSA

UTSA 16 at Tulane 29

TULN
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:18 · Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+13.0Score differential+5.9Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Pregame prior+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:22: Rocko Griffin run for 23 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 11:53: Valentino Ambrosio 47 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:27: Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +8.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Valentino Ambrosio 23 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +5.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:18: Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TULN win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 5:58TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:11UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08UTSA 4th & 2 at TULN 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53TULN 4th & 8 at UTSA 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:57UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:40TULN 4th & 4 at UTSA 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:50UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:18TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:19UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:18UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:24TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09TULN 4th & 8 at UTSA 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:01UTSA 4th & 4 at TULN 10, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%−0.7
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−6.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:34TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:26UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:19UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:33UTSA 4th & 5 at TULN 9, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:47TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:22UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:27TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:18TULN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:33UTSA Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:2345% → 45%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
55.2%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 9Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+4
55.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 13Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-5
55.3%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Bailey Despanie return for 5 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:4055% → 56%
Q1 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
55.3%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the UTSA 7Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
55.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 7 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0844% → 43%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
55.9%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 16Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
56.2%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 18Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+8
56.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 8 yds to the UTSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
56.5%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 25Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+10
57.0%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.9%
Frank Harris pass intercepted Devean Deal return for no gain to the UTSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
58.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jamal Ligon for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 49 Michael Pratt fumbled, forced by Jamal Ligon, recovered by UTSA Donyai Taylor , return for 19 yds to the TULN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:5143% → 45%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.6%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
56.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
55.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 23 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:1356% → 56%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
55.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
55.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 36Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
55.9%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
56.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
56.6%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 47Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
56.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
55.9%
Will Karoll punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4144% → 44%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
55.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
55.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
55.6%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
55.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
54.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
54.9%
Frank Harris sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 40Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5956% → 55%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
55.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
55.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 16Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
55.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
55.2%
Will Karoll punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5146% → 47%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
54.4%
Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
54.2%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
54.2%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
53.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 15 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
53.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Jarius MonroeSimilar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
53.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
54.1%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
53.1%
Chase Allen 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:1554% → 57%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.0%
UTSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dywan Griffin) to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-5
55.1%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Alex Bauman) to the TULN 25Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
54.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 14 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+30
54.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 30 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
56.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-1
56.7%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
55.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II, broken up by Trey MooreSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
57.0%
Valentino Ambrosio 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5045% → 45%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
55.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Houston Thomas for 7 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.8%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
54.1%
Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
54.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
55.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:1257% → 61%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
57.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+58
57.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 58 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
59.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
60.0%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-2
59.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 8Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
60.6%
Valentino Ambrosio 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:3541% → 41%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.4%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
58.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
58.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the UTSA 48 Kevorian Barnes fumbled, forced by Lance Robinson, recovered by TULN Eric Hicks Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:2563% → 73%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
62.6%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete, PENALTY TULANE illegal shift 5 yards to the TULANE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+4
61.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+47
61.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 47 yds to the UTSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.5%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the UTSA 2Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2829% → 28%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
71.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Robert Henry for 13 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
70.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 1 yd to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-10
71.0%
Frank Harris sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the UTSA 29 UTSA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Frank Harris) to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+14
72.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
72.5%
Oscar Cardenas pass intercepted Tahir Annoor return for 5 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 1:4475% → 77%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
74.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+6
74.9%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
74.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II, broken up by Nicktroy FortuneSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+9
73.9%
Horton, Kai pass incomplete to Brazzell II, Chris, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Griffin, Dywan) 9 yards to the UTSA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
76.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shedro Louis for 1 yd to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
74.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 15 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
74.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith Brown, broken up by Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
74.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
72.6%
Pratt, Michael rush for 3 yards to the UTSA7, PENALTY UTSA offside (Taylor, Donyai) 5 yards to the UTSA5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+23
76.7%
Valentino Ambrosio 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3779% → 80%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.1%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 25Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 7 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
79.9%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
79.6%
Will Karoll punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:5222% → 17%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
78.4%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the UTSA 16Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-1
79.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 15Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+10
80.0%
Harris, Frank pass pass intercepted by Douglas, DJ at the UTSA39, Douglas, DJ return 0 yards to the UTSA39, PENALTY TULANE holding (Monroe, Jarius) 10 yards to the UTSA25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
79.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 3 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
81.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
81.4%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
81.3%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
82.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+4
83.0%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4784% → 84%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
84.0%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
84.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell II, broken up by Kam AlexanderSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
84.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
84.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
83.7%
Will Karoll punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:5217% → 18%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+36
83.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 36 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
80.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-8
80.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 40Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+16
84.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 16 yds to the TULN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
81.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
82.4%
Robert Henry run for 16 yds to the TULN 10 Robert Henry fumbled, forced by Kam Pedescleaux, recovered by TULN Jared Small, return for 2 yds to the TULN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0988% → 92%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
87.5%
Yulkeith Brown run for 9 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
88.2%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.1%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+26
87.9%
Michael Pratt run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
50
+1
90.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
92.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
92.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Bryce Bohanon, broken up by Jimmori RobinsonSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
92.0%
Will Karoll punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:0012% → 8%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
88.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 2 yds to the UTSA 19Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+24
88.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 24 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
87.6%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Ogle-Kellogg, Tykee, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Monroe, Jarius) 15 yards to the TULANE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
87.1%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+23
87.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Devin McCuin for 23 yds to the TULN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
85.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TULN 12Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
86.6%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
88.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Jarius MonroeSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 10
0
92.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to David Amador, broken up by Kam PedescleauxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:2095% → 96%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+26
94.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 26 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
95.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 37Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
95.4%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:036% → 6%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to David AmadorSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
94.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 8 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
94.1%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for no gain to the UTSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:0197% → 99%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
96.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+22
96.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 22 yds to the UTSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 3Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:402% → 3%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Rocko GriffinSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+12
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to David Amador for 5 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
98.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+13
97.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 13 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
97.8%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Jaren RandleSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.8%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Ogle-Kellogg, Tykee, PENALTY TULANE offside (Jenkins, Patrick) 5 yards to the TULANE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
97.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TULN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Jarius MonroeSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
97.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 5 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
97.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to David Amador, broken up by DJ DouglasSimilar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+9
96.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
98.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+2
98.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:27
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+8.3
FG · Q2 0:00
Valentino Ambrosio 23 yd FG GOOD
+5.6
TD · Q4 5:18
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com