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TULN

Tulane 24 at Florida Atlantic 8

FAU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Tulane at FAU31 for loss of 1 yard.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:14: Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +5.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:58: Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tony Johnson — TULN win probability +3.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:58: Timeout Florida Atlantic, clock 09:58 — TULN win probability +3.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:39: Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:58: Kahlil Brantley 4 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Daniel Richardson Pass to Devin Price for Two-Point Conversion) — FAU win probability +3.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:26TULN 4th & 3 at FAU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:42FAU 4th & 12 at TULN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05FAU 4th & 2 at TULN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at FAU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:14FAU 4th & 1 at TULN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:58FAU 4th & 2 at TULN 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:34FAU 4th & 10 at TULN 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:38FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:58TULN 4th & 1 at FAU 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.1%−1.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:26FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:26TULN 4th & 1 at FAU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.3%−2.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:12TULN 4th & 2 at FAU 2, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 40, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:06TULN 4th & 3 at FAU 21, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:34FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 17, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:34TULN 4th & 12 at FAU 36, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:23FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 18, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:10TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:14TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:39TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:58FAU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FUMBLE
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:3474% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
25.6%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Bohanon,Bryce) 5 yards from TUL35 to TUL30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
25.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+3
25.6%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+15
25.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shedro Louis for 15 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.6%
Garrett Mmahat pass incomplete to Shedro LouisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
25.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+10
25.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 10 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
25.6%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the FAU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
25.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 5 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
25.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-6
27.7%
Michael Pratt sacked by Courtney McBride for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 40 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by FAU Fabian Scott , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:4428% → 29%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
28.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
28.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the TULN 44Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
28.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
28.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for no gain to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 7
OPP 42
-5
27.9%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TUL42 to TUL47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
28.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:3271% → 74%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
29.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 10 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
28.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 38 yds to the FAU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
28.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 16 yds to the FAU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
28.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the FAU 9Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
26.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:5827% → 28%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+30
27.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 30 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
28.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 4 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
28.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
28.2%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the TULN 40Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-2
28.2%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5174% → 78%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
26.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+12
26.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
26.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for no gain to the FAU 44Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+22
26.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 22 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
26.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris CarterSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
26.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+6
26.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 6 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+5
26.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 5 yds to the FAU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
22.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6DOWNS
20 plays · 73 yds · 9:1624% → 21%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.5%
LaJohntay Wester run for no gain to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.5%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
23.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 12 yds to the FAU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
23.9%
Larry McCammon run for 11 yds to the FAU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
24.6%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
24.6%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the TULN 47Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+12
24.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
24.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+2
24.9%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the TULN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
24.9%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
24.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
24.6%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the TULN 16Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
24.5%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
24.9%
Daniel Richardson run for 4 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+7
24.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the TULN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.9%
Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the TULN 3Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
24.9%
Michael Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TULN 2Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
24.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0980% → 80%
Q2 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+12
20.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the TULN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
20.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
20.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for no gain to the TULN 18Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
20.7%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Shedro Louis) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
20.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+10
20.5%
Will Karoll punt for 46 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 10 yds to the FAU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1521% → 19%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
21.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 10 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
21.3%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the TULN 43Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
21.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
19.9%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Kameron Hamilton for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
19.2%
Logan Lupo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 11
OWN 7
-1
16.8%
Kneel down by Tulane at TUL06 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1519% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.7%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
18.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 8 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
19.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
18.6%
Logan Lupo punt for 41 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 18 yds to the TULN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:5984% → 95%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
16.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shedro Louis for 9 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+14
16.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 14 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
16.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
16.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 9 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
16.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
16.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
13.1%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the FAU 12Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+2
14.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the FAU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
13.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
13.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 8Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:137% → 7%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kobe LewisSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.2%
Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the FAU 26Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
7.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 4 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
6.8%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 6:1496% → 98%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.0%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
4.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 16 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
3.8%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 48Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
3.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
3.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 9 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
4.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the FAU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
3.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 37 yds to the FAU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
3.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the FAU 2Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
3.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the FAU 1Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
3.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jaden Wheeler for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 2Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
2.5%
Valentino Ambrosio 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:023% → 7%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.8%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
2.9%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
2.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
2.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 8 yds to the FAU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
3.0%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FAU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
2.9%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Brantley,Kahlil) 5 yards from FAU40 to FAU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
-5
2.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 5 yards to the FAU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 30
+10
2.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 10 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+22
2.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 22 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
3.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
3.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 6 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+6
3.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
3.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 9 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
3.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 4 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
3.4%
Xavier Terrell run for 9 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
7.3%
Kahlil Brantley 4 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Daniel Richardson Pass to Devin Price for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:4995% → 97%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
4.8%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+14
4.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 14 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
4.7%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
4.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 5 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
4.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
2.8%
Valentino Ambrosio 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.3%
Daniel Richardson run for no gain to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-11
3.3%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the FAU 10Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 21
OWN 10
+7
3.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FAU 17 Florida Atlantic Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
2.9%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted DJ Douglas return for no gain to the FAU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
2.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
2.0%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the FAU 31Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris CarterSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 7
OPP 31
-5
1.9%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Brown,Yulkeith) 5 yards from FAU31 to FAU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
1.8%
Will Karoll punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
1.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Larry McCammon for 4 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-9
1.2%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 9 yards to the FAU 15Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+3
1.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FAU 18Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+11
0.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the FAU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
1.0%
Kneel down by Tulane at FAU30 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-1
1.0%
Kneel down by Tulane at FAU31 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:39
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 14:14
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-5
TD · Q4 8:58
Kahlil Brantley 4 Yd pass from Daniel Richardson (Daniel Richardson Pass to Devin Price for Two-Point Conversion)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com