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TULN

Tulane 13 at East Carolina 10

ECU
2023 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+3.4ECU 15.3%Andrew Conrad 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 8:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:37 · Andrew Conrad 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior−36.3Home team on offense+0.6Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Gerald Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK) — ECU win probability +5.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Valentino Ambrosio 21 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +4.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:50: Timeout Tulane, clock 09:50 — ECU win probability +6.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:17: Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 46 — TULN win probability +10.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10: Timeout Tulane, clock 03:10 — TULN win probability +6.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:37ECU 4th & 8 at TULN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:14TULN 4th & 4 at ECU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45TULN 4th & 3 at ECU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:05ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00TULN 4th & 3 at ECU 3, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−9.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:46TULN 4th & 6 at ECU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−9.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:02ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:14TULN 4th & 8 at ECU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−15.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:14ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:45TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−3.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:17ECU 4th & 6 at TULN 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−2.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:31TULN 4th & 1 at ECU 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%−9.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−30.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:47ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:08TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:1712% → 15%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 6 yds to the ECU 25Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
11.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
11.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 2 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
11.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 9 yds to the ECU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 2 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+32
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 32 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
11.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 11 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
11.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
11.9%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
15.3%
Andrew Conrad 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0585% → 83%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
15.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
15.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+10
15.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 10 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
15.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
15.1%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 40Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
17.4%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:4117% → 23%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
17.0%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the ECU 25Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
17.0%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+10
16.8%
QB Keeper FLINN, Alex rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU28 (MACHADO, Jesus). PENALTY TLN Holding on ROBINSON, Lance enforced 10 yards from the ECU29 to the ECU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+32
17.2%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 32 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
17.7%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+22
17.7%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Chase Sowell for 22 yds to the TULN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.3%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Conrad KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2178% → 77%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
21.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the ECU 42Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
21.6%
East Carolina Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the ECU 40Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
21.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
23.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1525% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
25.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
25.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 9 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
25.1%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+5
24.8%
Alex Flinn run for 5 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
24.7%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
26.5%
Luke Larsen punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 8:3773% → 72%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
27.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+23
27.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 23 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
26.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
26.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+20
26.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 20 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
25.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+1
24.9%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
25.6%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 29Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+10
26.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 10 yds to the ECU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
24.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 1 yd to the ECU 18Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+10
24.9%
Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
24.9%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the ECU 7Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
24.9%
Tulane Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Shedro Louis) to the ECU 12Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
25.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
27.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 9 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0330% → 29%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
29.9%
Alex Flinn sacked by Jared Small for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 19Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
28.8%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
29.2%
Luke Larsen punt for 40 yds , JACKSON, Jha'Quan returned 9 yards to the ECU50 (DANKAH, Samuel), out of bounds, clock 03:05. PENALTY TLN Personal Foul on RATTAN, Rishi enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the ECU50 to the TLN35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 3:0570% → 75%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
30.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 1 yd to the TULN 36Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+41
30.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 41 yds to the ECU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
27.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 4 yds to the ECU 19Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+11
28.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 11 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
28.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 6Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.9%
QB Keeper PRATT, Michael rush to the right for no gain to the ECU6 (LEWIS, Jeremy). PENALTY ECU Personal Foul on WARE, Suirad enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the ECU6 to the ECU3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
25.0%
Valentino Ambrosio 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:0673% → 69%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
27.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+13
27.1%
Michael Pratt run for 13 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
25.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 5 yds to the ECU 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
25.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+8
25.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
25.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 12 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
24.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the ECU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
24.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 15Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
24.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the ECU 13Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
29.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
31.4%
Valentino Ambrosio 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4436% → 38%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
35.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECU 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
36.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+14
35.1%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 14 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
38.3%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the ECU 42Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
38.9%
Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+1
38.3%
Alex Flinn run for 1 yd to the ECU 45Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
37.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:4865% → 69%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+50
34.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 50 yds to the ECU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
29.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+7
29.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 7 yds to the ECU 19Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-15
30.6%
Tulane Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Wire) to the ECU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
29.6%
PRATT, Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Chris thrown to the ECU20. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the ECU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
29.2%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for no gain to the ECU 21Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
29.6%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the ECU 21Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
31.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 13 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
29.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
32.4%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the ECU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
34.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by D'Anta Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 8Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
30.6%
Valentino Ambrosio 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:0033% → 30%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.9%
QB Keeper FLINN, Alex rush to the right for a gain of 17 yards to the ECU25, out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY ECU Holding on GREEN, Gerald TLN Holding on COOPER JR., Keith , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Gerald Green for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 24Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
30.8%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Gerald Green for 2 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
29.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 52 yds , Lawrence Keys III returns for no gain to the TULN 26 Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rayshawn Pleasant) to the TULN 12Similar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
30.2%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Alex Bauman) to the TULN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2969% → 69%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
30.7%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 7Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 15
OWN 7
-14
31.2%
PRATT, Michael pass up the middle complete for 14 yards to KEYS III, Lawrence caught at the TLN18 and advanced to the TLN21 (REVEL, Shavon). PENALTY TLN Holding on GREEN, Rashad enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the TLN7 to the TLN4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 18
OWN 4
+11
31.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 11 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-1
32.2%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 14 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by TULN Michael Pratt [NHSG] QB Keeper PRATT, Michael rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, PRATT, Michael fumbled at TLN15 , recovered by TLN PRATT, Michael at the TLN14, returned 0 yards to the TLN14 (LAMPLEY, J.D.).Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
31.5%
Will Karoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jsi Hatfield at the ECU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2836% → 35%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
35.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
37.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
37.4%
Alex Flinn run for 2 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
37.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
36.7%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
34.6%
Alex Flinn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15END OF GAME
18 plays · 49 yds · 7:1776% → 95%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
24.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
24.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+18
26.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 18 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
23.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
21.7%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 32Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+6
24.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the ECU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
17.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+10
17.8%
Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
15.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
14.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ECU 5Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
15.0%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the ECU 5Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
12.3%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the ECU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
9.4%
[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at ECU5 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
4.8%
[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at ECU6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:17
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 46
-10.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:50
Timeout Tulane, clock 09:50
+6.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:10
Timeout Tulane, clock 03:10
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com