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TULN

Tulane 31 at Memphis 21

MEM
2023 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2023 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:30 · Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense−2.9Pregame prior−7.1Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:45: Joseph Scates 28 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Tanner Gillis Kick) — MEM win probability +9.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:09: Koby Drake 10 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Tanner Gillis Kick) — MEM win probability +11.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:32: Michael Pratt 1 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick) — TULN win probability +17.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 14:55: Yulkeith Brown 9 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick) — TULN win probability +27.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:46: Lawrence Keys III 11 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Valentino Ambrosio Kick) — TULN win probability +15.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:58TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:35TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:06TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:41MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:39TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:11TULN 4th & 7 at MEM 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:36TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:29MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:40MEM 4th & 14 at MEM 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:14TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:11MEM 4th & 18 at TULN 41, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%
    32% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:09TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:06TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:15MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:45MEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:09MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:32TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:55TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:46TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4659% → 58%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
41.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
41.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
41.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 1 yd to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
41.8%
Will Karoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5142% → 42%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
41.8%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+11
42.0%
Seth Henigan run for 11 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
42.4%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the MEM 46Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-5
42.5%
Memphis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MEM 41Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
42.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
42.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+8
42.1%
Reid Bauer punt for 55 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 8 yds to the TULN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5558% → 57%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
42.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 3 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-7
42.6%
Hughes, Makhi rush for 5 yards to the TULANE20, PENALTY TULANE holding (Brown, Reggie) 7 yards to the TULANE8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+10
42.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 10 yds to the TULN 18Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
43.1%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the TULN 18Similar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+3
43.3%
Will Karoll punt for 46 yds , Koby Drake returns for 3 yds to the MEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3143% → 44%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
43.4%
Sutton Smith run for 9 yds to the MEM 48Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
44.0%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted Lance Robinson return for no gain to the TULN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:4157% → 62%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
43.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
43.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+32
43.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 32 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
42.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+24
42.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 24 yds to the MEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
42.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the MEM 14Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-5
42.4%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Alex Bauman) to the MEM 19Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+12
42.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 12 yds to the MEM 7Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
42.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the MEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.2%
Makhi Hughes 2 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3340% → 38%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 11 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
39.9%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 2
OWN 44
-10
40.7%
Memphis Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jonah Gambill) to the MEM 34Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
38.7%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph ScatesSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
38.4%
Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1361% → 61%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
39.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+3
38.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
38.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+6
39.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
38.7%
Will Karoll punt for 57 yds , Koby Drake returns for no gain to the MEM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1938% → 38%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
38.4%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the MEM 10Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
38.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer BlankumseeSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
38.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby DrakeSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
37.7%
Reid Bauer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:1863% → 66%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
37.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
37.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
36.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the MEM 43Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
36.4%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
36.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+4
37.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 4 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
36.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 14 yds to the MEM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
35.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the MEM 22Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
35.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+12
35.7%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
34.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
34.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the MEM 7Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
35.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
34.0%
Valentino Ambrosio 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 2:4534% → 45%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
33.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby DrakeSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+21
33.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 21 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
33.7%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the MEM 35Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
33.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+47
33.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 47 yds to the TULN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
36.1%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the TULN 17Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
36.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
45.1%
Demeer Blankumsee 17 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Tanner Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:2459% → 59%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+38
41.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 38 yds to the MEM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
38.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
38.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the MEM 22Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-1
39.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 23Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
40.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:4242% → 57%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
42.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 9 yds to the MEM 32Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+16
44.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 1 yd to the MEM 33 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyler Grubbs) to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
45.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Sutton SmithSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
44.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+18
45.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 18 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
47.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
47.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
57.0%
Joseph Scates 28 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Tanner Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3446% → 43%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 25Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
56.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3656% → 76%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 13 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
57.3%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the MEM 39Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+17
57.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 17 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
59.7%
Brandon Thomas run for 7 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
59.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 4 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
60.8%
Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+22
61.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
64.2%
Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 10Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.8%
Koby Drake 10 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Tanner Gillis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:2029% → 45%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
71.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 6 yds to the MEM 49Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
70.6%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 2 yds to the MEM 47Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
71.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
71.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+9
72.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
71.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the MEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
71.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 18 yds to the MEM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-15
70.5%
Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (Sincere Haynesworth) to the MEM 19Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 0
OPP 19
+18
72.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 18 yds to the MEM 1Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.8%
Michael Pratt 1 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5664% → 64%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.2%
Demeer Blankumsee run for 5 yds to the MEM 30Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
65.1%
Seth Henigan sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 29Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
63.7%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
63.7%
Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 2 yds to the TULN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:2238% → 65%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+33
61.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 33 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
57.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Greg Rubin for a loss of 7 yards to the MEM 43Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+5
60.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+29
61.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 29 yds to the MEM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
34.7%
Yulkeith Brown 9 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:0545% → 48%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 4 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
47.5%
Sutton Smith run for 8 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
48.2%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted Kam Pedescleaux return for no gain to the TULN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:2963% → 83%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
36.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the MEM 45Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
35.6%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Brazzell II, Chris, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Bell, DJ) 13 yards to the MEMPHIS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
32.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+18
32.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 18 yds to the MEM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
16.8%
Lawrence Keys III 11 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5619% → 14%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
19.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 23 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
21.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 5 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-9
19.5%
Seth Henigan sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 9 yards to the MEM 44Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
15.2%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
14.2%
Reid Bauer punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 5:1985% → 89%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 21Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
15.1%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Jackson, Jha'Quan, PENALTY MEMPHIS personal foul 15 yards to the TULANE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
14.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
12.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
12.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
11.5%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-15
10.6%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Chris Brazzell II) to the TULN 30Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 27
OWN 30
+1
11.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the TULN 31Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 26
OWN 31
+14
12.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 14 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
11.1%
Will Karoll punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MEM 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 2:5710% → 5%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
9.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 6 yds to the MEM 11Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+10
9.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 10 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
9.2%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
7.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Anthony LandphereSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
6.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds to the MEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
7.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 8 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+15
8.7%
Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Blankumsee, Demeer, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 15 yards to the TULANE44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
9.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 11 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
10.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
9.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Sutton SmithSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-12
7.8%
Seth Henigan sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 12 yards to the TULN 41Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
4.6%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Anthony LandphereSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:5795% → 95%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-4
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 34Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 17
OWN 34
-3
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 31Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 20
OWN 31
+36
5.0%
Will Karoll punt for 36 yds , Koby Drake returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 18 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
2.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:55
Yulkeith Brown 9 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)
-27
TD · Q3 4:32
Michael Pratt 1 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)
-17.3
TD · Q4 11:46
Lawrence Keys III 11 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com