Try the model
UAB

UAB 23 at Tulane 35

TULN
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:36 · Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+23.2Home team on offense+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:05: Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +7.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +9.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:35: Makhi Hughes run for 18 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +9.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:50: Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +10.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:52: Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +11.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:19UAB 4th & 8 at TULN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:51UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 19, up 3
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51TULN 4th & 6 at UAB 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:50UAB 4th & 6 at TULN 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:43TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:05UAB 4th & 10 at TULN 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.2%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:00TULN 4th & 5 at UAB 27, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:52UAB 4th & 6 at TULN 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−7.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:38TULN 4th & 1 at UAB 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−4.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:47TULN 4th & 9 at UAB 32, up 5
    Close callWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:50TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:08UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:15UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:46TULN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:35TULN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:50TULN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:47TULN Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:368% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
92.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 8 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+35
92.4%
Brandon Buckhaulter run for 35 yds to the TULN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for no gain to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
92.4%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+10
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the TULN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
92.4%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 7 yards to the TULN 23Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+4
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 4 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+5
92.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 5 yds to the TULN 14Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
90.7%
Matt Quinn 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:0491% → 90%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 3 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
90.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 10 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.7%
Arnold Barnes III run for no gain to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
90.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pratt,Michael pass incomplete deep middle to Brown,Yulkeith PENALTY UAB Offside (Fairbanks II,Michael) 5 yards from TLN33 to TLN38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
90.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
90.0%
Will Karoll punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1910% → 11%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
90.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+10
90.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
90.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
90.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+5
90.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 5 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
89.5%
Patrick Foley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:0190% → 90%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
89.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 10 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
89.5%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Hurst,Shadre) 5 yards from UAB42 to UAB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
89.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+9
89.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 9 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+23
89.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 23 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
90.3%
Yulkeith Brown run for 15 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4210% → 15%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.7%
Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Patrick Jenkins) to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
89.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
89.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for no gain to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
89.7%
PENALTY TLN Offside (Hodges,Darius) 5 yards from TLN46 to TLN41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+1
89.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+11
89.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 11 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
88.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 11 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
88.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the TULN 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
88.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the TULN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
88.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 7 yds to the TULN 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+4
88.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 0 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Devean Deal) to the TULN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.8%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:1486% → 85%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.1%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
86.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
86.0%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
86.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kevin Penn for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-10
86.1%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TULN 26Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 21
OWN 26
+2
84.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the TULN 24 Arnold Barnes III fumbled, recovered by UAB Nikia Eason Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3917% → 21%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
83.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
78.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 17 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3279% → 77%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
78.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for no gain to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
76.9%
Will Karoll punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:3822% → 30%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
77.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
77.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
77.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
77.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 26 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
77.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-8
77.2%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 19
OPP 40
+9
77.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 9 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
70.1%
Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1970% → 76%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
70.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 9 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
71.2%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
71.6%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+10
71.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
72.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+26
72.9%
Michael Pratt run for 26 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
75.8%
PENALTY UAB Offside 2 yards from UAB03 to UAB01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:4230% → 32%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
70.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
69.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
69.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
70.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
68.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:1873% → 85%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+37
73.0%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 24 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST down run for 37 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
75.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 21 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
84.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 18 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5918% → 18%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
80.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
81.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
81.7%
Patrick Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 4:3081% → 82%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
81.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 19 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
83.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
83.2%
Lawrence Keys III run for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+9
82.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
83.8%
Yulkeith Brown run for 13 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
83.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.7%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
82.1%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 5 Shaadie Clayton-Johnson fumbled, recovered by UAB Kendall JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:2121% → 25%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
78.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 12 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
78.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+31
78.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
50
+3
75.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
75.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TULN 44Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
75.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
75.4%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Holding (Keondre Swoopes) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:5580% → 91%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
78.6%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+39
77.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 39 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
81.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
91.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FUMBLE
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0511% → 15%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
88.9%
Fred Farrier II pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 28 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
86.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 10 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
86.9%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 7 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
85.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for no gain to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+6
86.7%
Amare Thomas run for 6 yds to the TULN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
85.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
85.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+7
86.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
85.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the TULN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.3%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the TULN 1Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd Jacob Zeno fumbled, recovered by TULN Bailey DespanieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:4590% → 92%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 21Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
90.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+7
89.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 7 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
89.4%
PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TLN28 to TLN33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
90.6%
Lawrence Keys III run for 6 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
91.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+22
91.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 22 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+1
91.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
91.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
91.5%
Valentino Ambrosio 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0811% → 25%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
89.4%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+22
88.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 22 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
86.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the TULN 40Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+18
87.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 18 yds to the TULN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
85.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 4 yds to the TULN 18Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
85.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the TULN 18Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
86.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Amare ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
74.7%
Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20TD
15 plays · 61 yds · 3:5588% → 99%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
88.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
89.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+10
88.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 10 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
88.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+7
90.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 7 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
93.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
93.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
95.5%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+32
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 32 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:412% → 2%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
98.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
98.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 13 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 4:52
Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOOD
-11.8
TD · Q3 2:50
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 14 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 0:46
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com