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NICH

Nicholls 7 at Tulane 36

TULN
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Pregame prior+43.5Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+2.7Garbage-time factor+1.3Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:30: Valentino Ambrosio 32 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:12: Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 40 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:33: Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 13 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK) — NICH win probability +1.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:38: Valentino Ambrosio 45 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:01: Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:08TULN 4th & 14 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32NICH 4th & 4 at NICH 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30TULN 4th & 6 at NICH 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NICH 4th & 1 at TULN 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08NICH 4th & 4 at TULN 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:38TULN 4th & 11 at NICH 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:59NICH 4th & 18 at NICH 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:56NICH 4th & 4 at TULN 4, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:58NICH 4th & 6 at TULN 47, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:19TULN 4th & 5 at NICH 13, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:13NICH 4th & 1 at TULN 46, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:11TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 22, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:12TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:08TULN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:33NICH Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:01TULN Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:4799% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.6%
PENALTY NIC Offside (Fisher,Kershawn) 5 yards from TLN27 to TLN32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 5
OWN 32
+12
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 12 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST down Nicholls Penalty, Defensive Offside (Neno Lemay) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 10 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the NICH 45Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 45
-5
98.6%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Harrison,Kiland) 5 yards from NIC45 to NIC50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 14
50
0
98.4%
Will Karoll punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:362% → 2%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 6 yds to the NICH 26Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 5 yds to the NICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 5 yds to the NICH 36Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
98.4%
Marquese Albert run for 1 yd to the NICH 37Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for no gain to the NICH 37Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+27
98.3%
Kylan Dupre punt for 10 yds , Shi'Keem Laister returns for 27 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:292% → 2%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
98.3%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 19Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+9
98.3%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 9 yds to the NICH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.3%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 27Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-10
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun McQuaide,Pat pass complete short left to Montgomery,Tyren for 8 yards to the NIC35, out of bounds at NIC35 PENALTY NIC Holding (Barthelemy,Mark) 10 yards from NIC27 to NIC17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 21
OWN 17
+3
98.3%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tyren Montgomery for 3 yds to the NICH 20Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+12
98.3%
Collin Guggenheim run for 12 yds to the NICH 32Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+35
98.0%
Kylan Dupre punt for 53 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 35 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:2698% → 97%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the NICH 49Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
98.0%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the NICH 45Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+17
98.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 17 yds to the NICH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 8 yds to the NICH 20Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
98.0%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the NICH 19Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
98.0%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the NICH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
98.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the NICH 9Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 1
OPP 9
-5
98.0%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Fleming,Dontae) 5 yards from NIC09 to NIC14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+2
98.0%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the NICH 12Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
98.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the NICH 14Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
97.4%
Valentino Ambrosio 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 5INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:103% → 3%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
97.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 30 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (Keith Cooper Jr.) to the TULN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.2%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-13
97.2%
Pat McQuaide sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the TULN 43Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 23
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Pat McQuaide pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
98.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 40 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 7INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:002% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
98.1%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tyren Montgomery for 13 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.1%
Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the NICH 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+8
98.0%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 8 yds to the NICH 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+15
98.1%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 15 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
98.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the TULN 44Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
97.8%
Pat McQuaide pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:5298% → 99%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Clayton-Johnson,Shaadie rush middle for 0 yards to the NIC15 (Sharkey,Quinton; Lovelace,Rasheed) PENALTY TLN Holding (Brown,Yulkeith) 10 yards from NIC15 to NIC25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+8
98.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds to the NICH 17Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+2
98.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the NICH 15Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 15 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:351% → 3%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the NICH 33Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+32
98.5%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Connor Venetis for 32 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.5%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
98.5%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-5
98.6%
PENALTY NIC False Start (Aaron,Jordan) 5 yards from TLN35 to TLN40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+6
98.6%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 6 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+5
98.6%
PENALTY TLN Offside (Anderson,Angelo) 5 yards from TLN34 to TLN29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+5
98.5%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 5 yds to the TULN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.4%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry MatthewsSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
98.5%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.0%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 13 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 2:5098% → 99%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 6 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Reggie BrownSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+10
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
97.9%
Michael Pratt run for 13 yds to the NICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
97.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 7 yds to the NICH 32Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
97.9%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the NICH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
98.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 3 yds to the NICH 23Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-4
98.1%
Michael Pratt sacked by Joe Mason for a loss of 4 yards to the NICH 27Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+45
98.9%
Valentino Ambrosio 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.6%
P. McQuaide takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Tyren MontgomerySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
98.7%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 14 yds to the NICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-15
98.5%
Nicholls Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NICH 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 27
+3
98.7%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 3 yds to the NICH 30Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Kylan Dupre punt for 36 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for no gain to the TULN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 6:4099% → 99%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
98.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 10 yds to the TULN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
98.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
98.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds to the NICH 37Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+3
98.9%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the NICH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
98.9%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kershawn Fisher for a loss of 5 yards to the NICH 39Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+4
98.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the NICH 35Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+13
98.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 13 yds to the NICH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds to the NICH 13Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+1
98.9%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the NICH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
98.8%
Shotgun Pratt,Michael rush middle for 0 yards to the NIC12 (Sharkey,Quinton) PENALTY TLN Personal Foul (Clayton-Johnson,Shaadie) 15 yards from NIC12 to NIC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 25
OPP 27
+13
98.8%
Michael Pratt run for 13 yds to the NICH 14Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+6
98.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 6 yds to the NICH 8Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Pat McQuaide pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0899% → 100%
Q3 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the NICH 5Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the NICH 1Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:050% → 0%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
PENALTY NIC False Start (Roussel,Evan) 5 yards from NIC25 to NIC20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Tyren MontgomerySimilar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
99.7%
Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (Lance Robinson) to the NICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McQuaide,Pat pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Quincy PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Hampton, Jr.,A.J.) 15 yards from NIC38 to TLN47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Quincy BrownSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+11
99.7%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.6%
Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+20
99.6%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Marquese Albert for 20 yds to the TULN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.6%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Lee NegrottoSimilar
Q3 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
99.6%
Pat McQuaide sacked by Jared Small for a loss of 7 yards to the TULN 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+12
99.7%
Pat McQuaide run for 12 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-12
99.7%
Pat McQuaide sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 12 yards to the TULN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17INT
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the TULN 17Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+16
99.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 16 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Reggie Brown for 14 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
99.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 34 yds to the NICH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 1 yd to the NICH 18Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Kai Horton pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 22Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
99.8%
Pat McQuaide run for 10 yds to the NICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
99.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 17 yds to the NICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Tank McMathSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+7
99.8%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tank McMath for 7 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
99.8%
PENALTY NIC False Start (Negrotto,Lee) 5 yards from TLN42 to TLN47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Kylan Dupre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FG
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the TULN 17Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+65
99.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 65 yds to the NICH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.8%
Kai Horton run for 1 yd to the NICH 17Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Carter for 4 yds to the NICH 13Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
99.9%
Valentino Ambrosio 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Jake Dalmado run for 5 yds to the NICH 28Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Jake Dalmado run for 6 yds to the NICH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tyren Montgomery for 11 yds to the NICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass incomplete to Terry MatthewsSimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tyren Montgomery for 9 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jake Dalmado run for no gain to the TULN 46Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Kylan Dupre punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.9%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Jernigan,Tate) 5 yards from TLN16 to TLN11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Tate Jernigan run for 8 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
George Arata run for 3 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Justin Ibieta pass incomplete to Makhi HughesSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Will Karoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morton at the NICH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22INT
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Tye Smith-Lindsey for 1 yd to the NICH 33Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+23
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 23 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 26 yds to the TULN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Pat McQuaide pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
George Arata run for 4 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Charles Schibler run for 1 yd to the TULN 19 Charles Schibler fumbled, recovered by NICH Shermar CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:33
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Neno Lemay for 13 yds for a TD (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q1 0:12
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 40 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+1
FG · Q2 0:38
Valentino Ambrosio 45 yd FG GOOD
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com