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TULN

Tulane 21 at Southern Miss 3

USM
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:31 · Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Home team on offense−5.9Pregame prior−12.2Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:21: Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 21 — TULN win probability +3.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52: Timeout Southern Miss, clock 00:52 — USM win probability +5.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:10: Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 10 — TULN win probability +3.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:19: Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +10.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:03: Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD Southern Miss Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLEMONS, Jalil of 15 yards will be enforced on the ensuing kickoff (Jalil Clemons) to the USM 0 (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 6 of 11TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:54USM 4th & 2 at TULN 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:28TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:14USM 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29TULN 4th & 2 at USM 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21USM 4th & 15 at USM 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:48TULN 4th & 11 at USM 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:31USM 4th & 4 at USM 19, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:29TULN 4th & 10 at USM 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23USM 4th & 14 at TULN 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:38USM 4th & 18 at USM 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−3.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:45USM 4th & 11 at TULN 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:49USM 4th & 10 at USM 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:35TULN 4th & 19 at USM 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:12USM 4th & 3 at USM 8, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21TULN 4th & 6 at USM 30, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:16USM 4th & 2 at TULN 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:58USM 4th & 17 at TULN 45, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:16TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:19TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:03TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4469% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
30.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
30.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+14
30.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 14 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+29
30.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 29 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
30.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 11 yds to the USM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.9%
Kai Horton run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:2231% → 32%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
31.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 24Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
31.2%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 3 yds to the USM 27Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
31.1%
Billy Wiles run for 10 yds to the USM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
31.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 36Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
31.2%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+15
31.3%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 15 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
32.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
32.0%
Billy Wiles run for 6 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-1
32.0%
Tiaquelin Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
32.0%
Frank Gore Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2670% → 68%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.5%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
30.7%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 39Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 12
OWN 39
-6
31.2%
Kai Horton sacked by Jalil Clemons for a loss of 6 yards to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
31.8%
Will Karoll punt for 41 yds to the USM 26, return by Tiaquelin Mims for 13 yards to the USM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:1931% → 31%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
31.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 40Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+12
31.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 12 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
31.9%
Chandler Pittman run for 1 yd to the TULN 47Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
31.8%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 5 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
31.8%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 5 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
31.9%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
32.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
32.0%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
32.2%
Andrew Stein 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
30.5%
(01:09) CLAYTON-JOHNSON, Shaadie rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the TLN32 (LAWRENCE, Dylan;STANLEY, Jay). PENALTY Before the snap, TLN False Start on KEYS III, Lawrence enforced 5 yards from the TLN31 to the TLN26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:4069% → 70%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+1
31.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+21
31.2%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 21 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
29.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+24
29.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 24 yds to the USM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
29.3%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the USM 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
29.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USM 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
29.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the USM 18Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 2
OPP 18
0
29.9%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:0830% → 29%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
30.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 19Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
30.0%
Billy Wiles run for 1 yd to the USM 20Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-7
29.7%
Billy Wiles sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 7 yards to the USM 13Similar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
29.4%
Bryce Lofton punt for 33 yds, fair caught by Tahir Annoor at the USM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3371% → 71%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
28.8%
Kai Horton sacked by Demeco Roland and Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 49Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+2
29.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the USM 47Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
29.5%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
29.5%
Will Karoll punt for 34 yds, downed at the USM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1730% → 30%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
30.2%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 3 yds to the USM 16Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
30.2%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 3 yds to the USM 19Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
29.8%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
29.6%
Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5668% → 66%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
32.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 10 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
32.0%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
32.1%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
32.7%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
34.0%
Will Karoll punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:5830% → 37%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
30.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the USM 21Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
30.2%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 8 yds to the USM 29Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
30.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the USM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
30.6%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Tyquan Henderson for 18 yds to the USM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
32.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the USM 49Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
31.8%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+13
30.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 13 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
32.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 8 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-12
41.4%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 12 yards to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
38.2%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
37.2%
Bryce Lofton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
33.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2230% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.2%
Tulane Penalty, Targeting on DEAL, Devean enforced (Devean Deal) to the USM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
32.1%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 15 yds to the TULN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
33.5%
Southern Miss Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Billy Wiles) to the USM 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 20
OWN 45
-3
30.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 42Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 23
OWN 42
+5
29.9%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Avery White for 5 yds to the USM 47Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
29.0%
Bryce Lofton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:1972% → 84%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
28.1%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
26.6%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 15 yds to the USM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
26.2%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the USM 38Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
26.1%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the USM 35Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+35
15.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:2718% → 21%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
17.7%
Billy Wiles run for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 25Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+18
17.5%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 18 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
19.1%
Chandler Pittman run for 11 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
19.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+39
19.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 39 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
20.3%
GORE, Frank rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TLN6 (SMALL, Jared). PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TLN8 to the TLN13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
20.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the TULN 11Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
17.1%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
17.8%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
20.8%
Andrew Stein 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3080% → 95%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
20.5%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Carter for 8 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
20.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
19.5%
Kai Horton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
19.1%
Southern Miss Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Micheal Caraway Jr.) to the USM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
16.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 14 yds to the USM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
13.9%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the USM 4Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
13.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USM 3Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD Southern Miss Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLEMONS, Jalil of 15 yards will be enforced on the ensuing kickoff (Jalil Clemons) to the USM 0 (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:144% → 4%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.1%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
4.0%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Bryce Lofton punt for 33 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for no gain to the TULN 25 Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TULN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:5796% → 97%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
4.5%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 40Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+17
4.5%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 17 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
3.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 13 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-11
3.6%
Kai Horton sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 11 yards to the USM 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 41
-5
3.8%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Yulkeith Brown) to the USM 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 26
OPP 46
+3
3.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the USM 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OPP 43
+4
3.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 39Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
3.5%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, downed at the USM 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:233% → 2%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
2.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 7 yds to the USM 8Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 8
0
2.6%
Billy Wiles run for no gain to the USM 8Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
2.5%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
2.0%
Bryce Lofton punt for 46 yds, downed at the TULN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:4197% → 98%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
2.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 20 yds to the USM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
2.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the USM 31Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
2.6%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the USM 31Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+1
1.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the USM 30Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
2.1%
Valentino Ambrosio 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 4:181% → 1%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
1.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 7 yds to the USM 37Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+6
1.5%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Latreal Jones for 6 yds to the USM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
1.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 42Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+3
1.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 3 yds to the USM 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+6
1.4%
Billy Wiles pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 6 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+11
1.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 11 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
1.5%
Billy Wiles run for 6 yds to the USM 32 Southern Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wil Saxton) to the USM 42Similar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
1.5%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+3
0.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 17
OPP 45
0
0.6%
Billy Wiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 17
OPP 45
-4
0.6%
Billy Wiles sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 5 yds · 3:5599% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
1.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the USM 48Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
1.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 44Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
1.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
1.0%
[SG] Kneel down by TLN at USM42 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
1.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TLN at USM44 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
0.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by TLN at USM46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:19
Kai Horton pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 35 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q3 2:03
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 3 yds for a TD Southern Miss Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CLEMONS, Jalil of 15 yards will be enforced on the ensuing kickoff (Jalil Clemons) to the USM 0 (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-9
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 00:52
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com