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USA

South Alabama 17 at Tulane 37

TULN
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:41 · Carter Bradley sacked by Corey Platt Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense+17.3Pregame prior+3.9Score differential+6.2Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:54: Carter Bradley run for 4 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +5.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:34: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 47 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +7.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:39: Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 47 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +9.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:12: Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +11.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:27: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 48 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +10.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:20USA 4th & 16 at TULN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20USA 4th & 16 at TULN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:40TULN 4th & 9 at USA 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:09USA 4th & 1 at USA 23, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:09USA 4th & 1 at USA 23, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:39USA 4th & 16 at TULN 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:31TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:41USA 4th & 3 at USA 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:44TULN 4th & 2 at USA 12, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%−0.8
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:48TULN 4th & 8 at USA 9, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:09TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:54USA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:34TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:39TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:12USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:27TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
64.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the USA 38 La'Damian Webb fumbled, recovered by TULN Lance RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:2164% → 65%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
64.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 33 yds to the USA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
64.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the USA 4Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 4 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:4935% → 34%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the USA 28Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
64.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 8 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
64.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Brandon Crum for 5 yds to the USA 41Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
64.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 6 yds to the USA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
64.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McReynolds,Braylon rush middle for 0 yards to the USA47 (Cooper Jr.,Keith; Deal,Devean) PENALTY TLN Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USA47 to TLN48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+19
64.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 19 yds to the TULN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
64.5%
PENALTY USA False Start (Thomas-Jones,DJ) 5 yards from TLN29 to TLN34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+5
64.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 5 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
64.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-7
64.6%
Carter Bradley sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 7 yards to the TULN 35Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+53
66.4%
Diego Guajardo 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+53
66.4%
Diego Guajardo 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 5:4066% → 68%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.3%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
66.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
66.7%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the USA 49Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+21
66.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 21 yds to the USA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
66.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 4 yds to the USA 24Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+12
66.8%
Michael Pratt run for 12 yds to the USA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
66.8%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the USA 10Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
66.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 1 yd to the USA 11Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
66.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
68.4%
Valentino Ambrosio 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4632% → 38%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 26Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
67.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 18 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
67.1%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 40Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+10
67.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
50
+4
67.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
67.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the TULN 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
67.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
67.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
67.2%
Carter Bradley run for 10 yds to the TULN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
67.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 17 yds to the TULN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
62.0%
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2064% → 72%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.2%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
64.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 39 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dontae Fleming) to the USA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
72.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 47 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1729% → 27%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
70.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the USA 10Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+3
71.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the USA 13Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+10
71.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the USA 23Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
73.0%
Jack Martin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 47Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
73.0%
Jack Martin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:3073% → 83%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
73.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the USA 47Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+47
82.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 47 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9INT
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:3019% → 20%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
80.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 2 yds to the USA 19Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
80.8%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+10
80.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bradley,Carter pass incomplete short right to Pritchett,Jamaal PENALTY TLN Holding (Hampton, Jr.,A.J.) 10 yards from USA19 to USA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
80.4%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 30Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
80.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 8 yds to the USA 38Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
79.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
80.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the USA 43Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
80.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the USA 47Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
80.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
80.2%
Carter Bradley pass intercepted Tulane Penalty, Illegal Block (Jared Small) to the TULN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:2684% → 86%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
84.2%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the TULN 23Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-5
85.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 13 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by USA Ke'Shun Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11FG
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:5720% → 20%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
80.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the TULN 11Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
80.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 4 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-5
80.1%
PENALTY USA False Start (Crum,Brandon) 5 yards from TLN07 to TLN12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-7
80.4%
Carter Bradley sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 7 yards to the TULN 19Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+36
79.7%
Diego Guajardo 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:0883% → 85%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
82.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
83.4%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
84.5%
Casey Glover punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:3116% → 19%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.9%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jamaal PritchettSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
84.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Kentrel BullockSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+12
84.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 12 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
83.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Voisin for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kam Pedescleaux) to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
81.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 14 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:0483% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.0%
PENALTY TLN False Start (Remetich,Josh) 5 yards from TLN25 to TLN20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
82.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 7 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
83.0%
Michael Pratt run for 10 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
83.2%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
84.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 11 yds to the USA 47 Iverson Celestine fumbled, recovered by USA Ricky FletcherSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
84.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 11 yds to the USA 47 Iverson Celestine fumbled, recovered by USA Ricky FletcherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:4418% → 28%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
81.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+20
81.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 20 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
80.0%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
80.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the TULN 20Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+5
80.9%
Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the TULN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-6
79.9%
Carter Bradley sacked by Kameron Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the TULN 21Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+8
83.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 8 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+9
83.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 9 yds to the TULN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
82.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 1 yd to the TULN 3Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
82.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the TULN 2Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
83.7%
PENALTY USA False Start (Lucas,Dontae) 5 yards from TLN02 to TLN07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
72.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4579% → 91%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.0%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
79.7%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
79.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 7 yds to the TULN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
80.6%
Lawrence Keys III run for 12 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 48 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:4612% → 10%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for no gain to the USA 25Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the USA 33Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
87.9%
PENALTY USA False Start (Lucas,Dontae) 5 yards from USA33 to USA28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
88.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bradley,Carter pass incomplete short right to Lacy,Caullin PENALTY TLN Holding (Pedescleaux,Kam) 10 yards from USA28 to USA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.6%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jamaal PritchettSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the USA 40Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
88.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 45Similar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 3
OWN 45
-2
89.9%
Carter Bradley sacked by Corey Platt Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:5794% → 96%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
93.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 13 yds to the USA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
93.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the USA 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+2
94.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
94.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the USA 16Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
94.5%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the USA 13Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
94.3%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the USA 12Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
96.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 31 yds · 3:0697% → 97%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
96.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the TULN 49Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+8
96.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the USA 43Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+21
96.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 21 yds to the USA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
96.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the USA 20Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
97.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds James Miller fumbled, recovered by TULN Rashad GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 4:3897% → 99%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
97.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the USA 23Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
97.3%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the USA 20Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
97.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 9 yds to the USA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the USA 13Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+2
97.3%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the USA 11Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the USA 9Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
99.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-15
99.3%
South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the USA 16Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+11
99.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 11 yds to the USA 27Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
99.4%
Carter Bradley sacked by Kameron Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the USA 17 Carter Bradley fumbled, recovered by TULN Eric Hicks Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 3:4299% → 100%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.4%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the USA 13Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
99.4%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the USA 11Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+8
99.4%
Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the USA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.4%
M. Pratt takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.7%
M. Pratt takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:12
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-11.6
TD · Q3 4:27
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 48 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q2 7:39
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 47 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com