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TEM

Temple 26 at Tulsa 48

TLSA
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2023 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:59 · E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Xavier Irvin
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:58: Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 27 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK) — TLSA win probability +5.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:28: Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK) — TLSA win probability +12.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:07: Sam Martin 95 Yd Kickoff Return (E.J. Warner Pass to Dante Wright for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +10.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:00: Amad Anderson Jr. 3 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Camden Price Kick) — TLSA win probability +5.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:04: Tahj Gary 40 Yd Run (Chase Meyer Kick) — TLSA win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:02TEM 4th & 8 at TLSA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:47TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:01TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:53TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:40TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.5%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:59TEM 4th & 2 at TLSA 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−7.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:06TLSA 4th & 6 at midfield, up 18
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:44TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 16, down 18
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:21TLSA 4th & 1 at TEM 8, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%−2.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:40TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:10TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 25, up 11
    Close callPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:00TEM 4th & 2 at TLSA 3, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:24TLSA 4th & 3 at TEM 18, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:35TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 45, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:34TEM 4th & 1 at TLSA 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:58TLSA 4th & 5 at TEM 22, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:15TLSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:58TLSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:28TLSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:07TEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:04TLSA Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:58TLSA Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:35TEM Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 3:5352% → 51%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.5%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 24Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
48.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
48.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 16 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 4 yds to the TEM 44Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
48.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+13
48.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds to the TLSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
48.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 10 yds to the TLSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
48.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 7 yds to the TLSA 26Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
48.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the TLSA 27Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+7
48.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 7 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
48.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
48.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 2 yds to the TLSA 18Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
48.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
48.8%
Camden Price 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:3749% → 52%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
48.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the TLSA 23Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+9
48.8%
Anthony Watkins run for 9 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
48.9%
Cardell Williams run for 3 yds to the TLSA 35Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+30
48.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Carl Chester for 30 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
49.8%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+12
49.8%
Cardell Williams run for 12 yds to the TEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
49.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Jordan Ford for 4 yds to the TEM 17Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
50.1%
Cardell Williams run for 4 yds to the TEM 13Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
49.7%
Tahj Gary run for 3 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
52.4%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 10 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1249% → 47%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
51.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Joquez Smith for 1 yd to the TEM 25Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+3
51.8%
E.J. Warner run for 3 yds to the TEM 28Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
52.0%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jordan SmithSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
52.7%
Dante Atton punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4253% → 58%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
52.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
53.3%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Anthony WatkinsSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
52.9%
Tahj Gary run for 3 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
53.5%
PENALTY TLS False Start 5 yards from TEM45 to TEM50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 15
50
+9
53.1%
Tahj Gary run for 9 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-4
53.8%
Cardell Williams sacked by Allan Haye for a loss of 4 yards to the TEM 45Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+18
52.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 18 yds to the TEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
57.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 27 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5INT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:5443% → 41%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.9%
Joquez Smith run for 7 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
56.3%
Joquez Smith run for no gain to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
57.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 3 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
57.5%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
57.6%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 38Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
58.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 7 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
57.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 6 yds to the TLSA 49Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
57.8%
Amad Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
59.3%
E.J. Warner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4362% → 62%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
61.9%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the TLSA 38Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
61.8%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the TLSA 38Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-10
61.4%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Cardell rush right for 16 yards gain to the TEM46 (Magee,Jordan) PENALTY TLS Holding 10 yards from TLS38 to TLS28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+15
60.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 15 yds to the TLSA 43Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
61.7%
Angus Davies punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the TEM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4939% → 38%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
61.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
61.4%
Joquez Smith run for 4 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
62.2%
Joquez Smith run for no gain to the TEM 25 Joquez Smith fumbled, recovered by TLSA Julien SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3865% → 79%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.1%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Watkins,Anthony rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEM22 (Thomas,Tra) PENALTY TEM Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TEM25 to TEM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 5
OPP 20
0
65.6%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TEM 20Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
65.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TEM 16Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
65.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
66.0%
Cardell Williams run for no gain to the TEM 14Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
66.1%
Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the TEM 8Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
78.7%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:1827% → 26%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
73.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
73.6%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 29Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+7
74.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 7 yds to the TEM 36Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+4
74.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 4 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jordan SmithSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
74.3%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd to the TEM 41Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
75.0%
E.J. Warner run for 8 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
73.7%
E.J. Warner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
50
+27
73.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 27 yds to the TLSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
72.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Reese Clark for 8 yds to the TLSA 15Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
73.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
74.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
74.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Xavier IrvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10END OF HALF
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:4981% → 82%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
81.4%
Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the TLSA 19Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
81.3%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the TLSA 22Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+5
80.9%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Cardell pass incomplete deep left to Shoulders,Marquis PENALTY TEM Offside 5 yards from TLS22 to TLS27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
81.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the TLSA 33Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
81.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
82.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 37Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+1
81.5%
Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the TLSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4881% → 88%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.2%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 29Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
81.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
85.7%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 14 yds to the TLSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
86.5%
Cardell Williams run for 6 yds to the TEM 48Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
87.2%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TEM 48Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-2
87.2%
Cardell Williams sacked by Joseph Appiah Darkwa for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 6
50
0
87.5%
Angus Davies punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the TEM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1715% → 15%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
84.6%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the TEM 12Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+4
84.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 4 yds to the TEM 16Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
85.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Darvon HubbardSimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
85.3%
Dante Atton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:1590% → 94%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+42
89.5%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 42 yds to the TEM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
89.7%
Tahj Gary run for 2 yds to the TEM 19Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+7
90.4%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 7 yds to the TEM 12Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+4
90.8%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Tahj Gary for 4 yds to the TEM 8Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+26
93.6%
Chase Meyer 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5279% → 81%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 28Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
78.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+40
78.7%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 40 yds to the TEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
80.9%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 18 yds to the TEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
81.1%
Anthony Watkins 10 Yd Run (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2125% → 19%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
50
-8
75.1%
E.J. Warner sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TEM 42Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+3
78.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to D'Wan Mathis for 3 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
79.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
81.1%
Dante Atton punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TLSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2582% → 81%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
81.6%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the TLSA 18Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
81.8%
Cardell Williams pass complete to Marquis Shoulders for 7 yds to the TLSA 25Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
81.9%
Tulsa Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+18
81.0%
Angus Davies punt for 49 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 18 yds to the TEM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:0120% → 13%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
79.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 4
50
+39
78.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 39 yds to the TLSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jordan SmithSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
77.8%
Joquez Smith run for 8 yds to the TLSA 3Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
82.0%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
87.4%
Amad Anderson Jr. 3 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Camden Price Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18FG
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:2489% → 93%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
89.4%
Cardell Williams run for 50 yds to the TEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
92.2%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TEM 21Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
92.3%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TEM 18Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Devan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:24
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
93.2%
Chase Meyer 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:389% → 8%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.2%
Edward Saydee run for 5 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
91.5%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Edward SaydeeSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
91.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 4 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
91.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:2395% → 99%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
94.6%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TEM 46Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
95.2%
Tahj Gary run for 6 yds to the TEM 40Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+40
98.6%
Tahj Gary 40 Yd Run (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+23
98.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 23 yds to the TLSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
98.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 2 yds to the TLSA 42Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
98.5%
Darvon Hubbard run for 7 yds to the TLSA 35Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
98.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:2999% → 100%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.0%
Bill Jackson run for 10 yds to the TLSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Cardell Williams run for 1 yd to the TLSA 44Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+13
99.2%
Bill Jackson run for 13 yds to the TEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.2%
Bill Jackson run for 6 yds to the TEM 37Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
99.3%
Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the TEM 36Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+9
99.3%
Jordan Ford run for 9 yds to the TEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.4%
Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
99.5%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the TEM 20Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
99.6%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the TEM 22Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Cardell Williams 22 Yd Run (Chase Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:110% → 1%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+36
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Dante Wright for 36 yds to the TLSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Edward SaydeeSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to D'Wan Mathis for 9 yds to the TLSA 26Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+8
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 8 yds to the TLSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
100.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 15 yds to the TLSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
100.0%
Quincy Patterson run for 1 yd to the TLSA 2Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
John Adams 2 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (E.J. Warner Pass to Edward Saydee for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Crooks,Cam rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TLS27 (Hollins,Jacob) PENALTY TEM Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TLS25 to TLS30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Cam Crooks run for 1 yd to the TLSA 31Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Cam Crooks run for 10 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Cam Crooks run for no gain to the TLSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:28
Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q3 8:07
Sam Martin 95 Yd Kickoff Return (E.J. Warner Pass to Dante Wright for Two-Point Conversion)
-10.7
TD · Q3 1:00
Amad Anderson Jr. 3 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Camden Price Kick)
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com