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UNM

New Mexico 34 at Massachusetts 31

MASS
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 20 yds to the MASS 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 122Home team on offense−25.5Pregame prior+1.3Score differential−7.3Garbage-time factor−12.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:09: Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +11.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:22: Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +7.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:35: Sherod White run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +12.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:45: Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 65 yds for a TD (Gino Campiotti pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — MASS win probability +53.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jacory Croskey-Merritt 2 Yd Run — UNM win probability +36.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:50UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14MASS 4th & 1 at UNM 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:16MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:08MASS 4th & 5 at UNM 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−6.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:49UNM 4th & 19 at UNM 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−3.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:53MASS 4th & 3 at UNM 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    26.5%−3.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:38UNM 4th & 7 at MASS 38, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:14MASS 4th & 9 at UNM 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:05UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−3.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:51MASS 4th & 18 at UNM 44, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%
    27% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:31UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:20UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:02MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:09UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:22MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:35UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:45MASS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    21.4%−10.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:0639% → 38%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
61.5%
Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the UNM 24Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+8
61.5%
Dorian Lewis run for 8 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
61.5%
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-5
61.5%
PENALTY UNM False Start (McClour,Wyatt) 5 yards from UNM32 to UNM27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
61.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3662% → 62%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
61.7%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
61.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+15
61.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete short right to Johnson,George PENALTY UNM Roughing The Passer (Riley,Syaire) 15 yards from UMass43 to UNM42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
61.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 41Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+11
61.7%
Anthony Simpson run for 11 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
61.8%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 7 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
61.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 21Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
61.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the UNM 21Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+39
61.7%
Cameron Carson 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:5439% → 44%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+55
61.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 55 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
60.4%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+15
60.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 15 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
60.4%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the MASS 12Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
59.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+12
56.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Caleb Medford for 12 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5757% → 56%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
57.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 7 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
57.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
57.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
56.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 2:1745% → 51%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
55.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+9
55.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 9 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
54.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
48.8%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 21 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:4950% → 56%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
50.4%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
50.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+12
50.8%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 12 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
51.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 22 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
50.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
50.3%
Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
50.3%
Anthony Simpson run for 14 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
50.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the UNM 2Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4648% → 61%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 27Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
51.8%
Sherod White run for 8 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
50.8%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Wingfield,DJ) 5 yards from UMass45 to UMass50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 15
50
0
51.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 15
50
0
51.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Caleb MedfordSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 15
50
+34
52.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Duece Jones for 34 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
50.5%
Sherod White run for no gain to the MASS 16Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:3842% → 52%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
41.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+21
41.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 21 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
43.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 49Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+13
43.3%
Carlos Davis run for 13 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
43.5%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
43.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
43.9%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
51.8%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:4254% → 71%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
46.5%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+9
46.9%
Sherod White run for 9 yds to the UNM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+52
44.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 52 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
41.2%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
41.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 3 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+19
42.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 19 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
29.5%
Sherod White run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3530% → 29%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
30.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
28.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4533% → 37%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+54
32.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 54 yds to the UNM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
36.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
36.3%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+16
34.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 16 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
36.2%
Anthony Simpson run for 5 yds to the UNM 13Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
36.2%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
35.4%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+32
37.3%
Cameron Carson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:1064% → 68%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
35.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
36.3%
Sherod White run for 12 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
34.5%
Sherod White run for 10 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
34.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 45 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UNM Dylan Hopkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 19
OWN 45
0
35.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 19
OWN 45
0
35.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jeremiah HixonSimilar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
32.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the MASS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:5631% → 29%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
31.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 5 yds to the MASS 18Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
31.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 16Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
30.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the MASS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
31.8%
New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noa Pola-Gates) to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
34.2%
Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
34.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
34.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 45Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
28.8%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:1574% → 75%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
26.0%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+11
26.1%
Sherod White run for 11 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
25.8%
Dorian Lewis run for 2 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-4
25.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 43Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
26.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. WashingtonSimilar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
25.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2425% → 25%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
24.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+3
23.7%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+32
23.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 32 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
27.8%
Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+15
28.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
29.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+2
29.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+7
27.8%
Ahmad Haston run for 7 yds to the UNM 12 Ahmad Haston fumbled, recovered by UNM Josh Atwood for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
29.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the UNM 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
29.7%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
27.5%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
25.3%
Cameron Carson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0780% → 87%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
19.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 17 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
17.8%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
17.6%
Sherod White run for no gain to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
18.1%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Stafford,Taurrian) 5 yards from UNM44 to UNM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
19.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Duece JonesSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+20
13.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 20 yds to the MASS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 4:1418% → 11%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
18.0%
Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
19.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
50
+14
21.3%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 14 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-12
22.3%
Ahmad Haston sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 22
OPP 48
+2
19.4%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+2
17.9%
Ahmad Haston run for 2 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 18
OPP 44
+16
11.1%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 16 yds to the UNM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:2093% → 96%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
6.6%
Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+3
6.6%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+1
6.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UNM 30Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
4.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:465% → 58%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
4.8%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to George Johnson III for 5 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
5.1%
Ahmad Haston run for 4 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
5.1%
Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
58.3%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 65 yds for a TD (Gino Campiotti pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4551% → 52%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.5%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
48.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.2%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt 2 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:45
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 65 yds for a TD (Gino Campiotti pass to for Two-Point Conversion)
+53.2
TD · OT 0:00
Jacory Croskey-Merritt 2 Yd Run
-36.3
TD · Q2 0:35
Sherod White run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com