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MASS

Massachusetts 17 at Eastern Michigan 19

EMU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:05 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+7.2Home team on offense+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:12: Jaylon Jackson run for 55 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +10.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 5:19: Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 13 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +20.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:06: Jesus Gomez 45 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:42: Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +52.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:20: Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED) — EMU win probability +65.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 14:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:31EMU 4th & 9 at MASS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:13MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:57MASS 4th & 10 at EMU 33, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:09EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16MASS 4th & 7 at EMU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:51EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:55MASS 4th & 1 at EMU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−2.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−11.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:05EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:45MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 24, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:06EMU 4th & 19 at MASS 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−5.8
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−12.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:04MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:48EMU 4th & 12 at MASS 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−2.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−2.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:49EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−3.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:53MASS 4th & 22 at MASS 13, down 2
    Numbers favored punt by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 11:12EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:19MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:42MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:20EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5673% → 73%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Max ReeseSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 8 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
73.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
73.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0427% → 27%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
73.2%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the MASS 21 Carlos Davis fumbled, recovered by MASS Carlos DavisSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+15
73.1%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete deep left to Simpson,Anthony QB hurried by Zelinsky,Joseph PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Scandrett,Quentavius) 15 yards from UMASS21 to UMASS36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
73.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 16 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
72.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 16 yds Anthony Simpson fumbled, recovered by EMU Justin JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:2773% → 72%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
73.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMU 37Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
73.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
73.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Max ReeseSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
72.8%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
72.7%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short right to Knue,Tanner for 53 yards to the UMASS00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:18 PENALTY EMU Holding offsetting UMASS Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
72.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
72.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:1028% → 30%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
72.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 7Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 7
0
72.5%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Eni FalayiSimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+10
72.8%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the MASS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
72.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
72.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+21
72.3%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 21 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
71.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
71.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
70.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMASS44 (Sparacio,Joe) PENALTY EMU Offside (Shine,Kempton) 5 yards from UMASS39 to UMASS44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.3%
Carlos Davis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0572% → 73%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
72.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 8 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+15
72.1%
Samson Evans run for 15 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
72.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the MASS 20Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
72.4%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMASS17 (Martin,Tyler), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding offsetting UMASS Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
72.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the MASS 21Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
72.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+40
72.5%
Jesus Gomez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:2028% → 30%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
71.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 16Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+12
71.9%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 12 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
71.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 4 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+23
71.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 23 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
69.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
69.9%
Carlos Davis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 3:3172% → 83%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
72.3%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMU 9Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
72.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 4 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+5
71.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 5 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
72.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EMU 26Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+4
72.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Von Swinton for 4 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
83.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 55 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4622% → 21%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
77.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+21
77.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 21 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 25
OWN 34
+9
78.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 9 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 16
OWN 43
0
78.7%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Greg Desrosiers Jr.Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 16
OWN 43
+15
79.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 15 yds to the EMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:5583% → 84%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
83.2%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short middle to Knue,Tanner for 10 yards to the EMU36 (Ferrell,Jalon) PENALTY EMU Holding (Reese,Max) 10 yards from EMU26 to EMU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+23
83.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 23 yds to the EMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
83.9%
Samson Evans run for 61 yds Samson Evans fumbled, recovered by EMUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:0320% → 19%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
79.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
79.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 29Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
80.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
79.7%
Anthony Simpson run for 5 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+10
79.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the EMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.1%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
79.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 16 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.4%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
78.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
79.8%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 10
OPP 33
-2
81.2%
Carlos Davis sacked by Chase Kline for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4883% → 84%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 39Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
85.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMU 41 fumbled, recovered by MASSSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
84.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
84.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 1:4318% → 21%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
82.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 19Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+18
82.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 18 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
82.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 19 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
80.1%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete short right to Harris Jr.,Shawn QB hurried by Jefferson,Justin PENALTY EMU Holding (Walker,Bennett) 10 yards from EMU44 to EMU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
79.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the EMU 35Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
79.2%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Shawn Harris Jr.Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+4
80.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 4 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
78.7%
Cameron Carson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
78.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4624% → 22%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
76.1%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for no gain to the MASS 22Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
76.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the MASS 24Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-8
77.0%
Carlos Davis sacked by Chase Kline for a loss of 8 yards to the MASS 16 Carlos Davis fumbled, recovered by MASS Cole Garcia , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 16
OWN 16
+4
78.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 52 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for 4 yds to the EMU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5777% → 75%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
77.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 38Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-10
77.8%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short left to Knue,Tanner for 7 yards to the EMU45 (Rutherford,Isaiah) PENALTY EMU Holding (Rewolinski,Mickey) 10 yards from EMU38 to EMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+8
76.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 8 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
76.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to JB Mitchell IIISimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
75.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:2425% → 42%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
74.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+12
73.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 12 yds to the EMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
72.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+11
72.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 11 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
71.2%
Mark Pope run for 11 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
70.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 8 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
70.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
71.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
73.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the EMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
52.8%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 13 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
58.4%
PENALTY EMU Roughing The Passer (Kline,Chase) 15 yards from UMASS35 to UMASS50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:0064% → 58%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 41Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
62.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 40Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-1
60.1%
Austin Smith sacked by Marcus Bradley for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 39Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
57.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0742% → 40%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
58.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Isaac Ross for 2 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+2
58.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+13
59.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 13 yds to the MASS 24Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
59.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Hamze El-Zayat at the EMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19FG
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:5468% → 72%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
67.7%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short right to Mitchell,JB for 5 yards to the UMASS13 (Oppong,Michael; Armstrong,Tristan) PENALTY EMU Chop Block (Dooley,Brian) 15 yards from UMASS18 to UMASS33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 25
OPP 33
0
66.8%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 25
OPP 33
+6
65.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 19
OPP 27
0
63.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Blake DanielsSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+45
72.3%
Jesus Gomez 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5229% → 27%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
70.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+5
71.4%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
72.2%
Carlos Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
73.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:1177% → 75%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
76.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
77.9%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
79.3%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Conti,Zack) 5 yards from UMASS40 to UMASS45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+3
77.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the MASS 42Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
78.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the MASS 42Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
77.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
75.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2729% → 36%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
70.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 23Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+67
73.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 67 yds to the EMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
63.3%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 2 yds to the EMU 8Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
62.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+10
64.1%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chase Kline)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1577% → 77%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
77.4%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMU 10Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-8
78.1%
Austin Smith sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 8 yards to the EMU 2Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+13
77.4%
Austin Smith run for 13 yds to the EMU 15Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+1
76.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 61 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 1 yd to the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:5129% → 88%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
71.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 18 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
69.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 19 yds to the EMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+40
64.9%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 40 yds to the EMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
11.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:0625% → 88%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
25.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.4%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jaylon JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+16
19.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Blake Daniels for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
50
0
23.2%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
50
+50
88.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:2228% → 22%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
74.8%
Carlos Davis sacked by Mikah Coleman for a loss of 12 yards to the MASS 13Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
76.8%
Carlos Davis pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+14
78.3%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 14 yds to the MASS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4792% → 96%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
91.8%
A. Smith takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-1
96.2%
A. Smith takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:20
Austin Smith pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for 50 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez PAT MISSED)
+65.3
TD · Q4 2:42
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
-52.9
TD · Q3 5:19
Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 13 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com