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M-OH

Miami (OH) 41 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:37 · Alec Bevelhimer punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense−28.9Pregame prior−10.5Score differential−15.5Garbage-time factor−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:39: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 13 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:20: Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +7.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:51: Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the M-OH 35 — MASS win probability +14.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:16: George Johnson III 5 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Cameron Carson Kick) — M-OH win probability +10.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 10:57: Cade McDonald 1 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +25.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:50MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:42MASS 4th & 1 at M-OH 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−4.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:50M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−2.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:30MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:14MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:14MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:37M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:51M-OH 4th & 9 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:12M-OH 4th & 12 at MASS 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−4.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−15.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:49MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−6.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:56MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:51M-OH 4th & 2 at MASS 37, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−2.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:03MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:32M-OH 4th & 11 at MASS 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:14M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:40M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:17M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:10MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:39M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:20MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:57M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:5053% → 52%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
47.4%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 16Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-14
47.8%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 14 yards to the M-OH 2 Brett Gabbert fumbled, recovered by M-OH Billy Wooden , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4671% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+38
28.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 38 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
28.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 6 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the M-OH 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+38
28.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 38 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
28.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 6 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+26
28.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 26 yds for a TD (Kellan McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2429% → 29%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
29.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 3 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
28.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
29.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds , Gage Larvadain returns for 4 yds to the M-OH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4471% → 71%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
29.0%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
28.9%
Brett Gabbert pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
20 plays · 63 yds · 8:2429% → 30%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
29.3%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 7 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
29.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 44Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
29.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
29.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the M-OH 49Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
29.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete deep right to Johnson,George PENALTY UMass Holding offsetting UMU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
29.6%
Anthony Simpson run for 6 yds to the M-OH 43Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
29.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
29.6%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
29.6%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 9 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
29.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
29.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 10 yds to the M-OH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
29.7%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 3 yds to the M-OH 14Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
29.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the M-OH 13Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
29.6%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 7 yds to the M-OH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
29.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the M-OH 1Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
29.7%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ty Wise) to the M-OH 1Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
29.6%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.9%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 99 yds · 1:0270% → 75%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
29.8%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+99
25.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 99 yds for a TD Miami (OH) Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gage Larvadain) to the MASS 0 (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
20.6%
Kobe Hilton 0 Yd Fumble Return (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3021% → 20%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the MASS 25Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
20.6%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 9 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
20.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
19.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9INT TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:3783% → 78%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
17.3%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the M-OH 36Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+8
17.3%
Rashad Amos run for 8 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
17.0%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
17.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
17.0%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-53
22.3%
Dashaun Jerkins 53 Yd Interception Return (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 4:1277% → 78%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.4%
Kolodziey,CJ kickoff 65 yards to the UMU00 Davis,Kevin return 0 yards to the PENALTY UMass Offside offsetting UMU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.9%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
22.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 13 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
22.2%
Rashad Amos run for 10 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
22.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabbert,Brett rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMass46 (Martin,Tyler), out of bounds PENALTY UMU Holding (Vaughan,Sam) 10 yards from UMass49 to UMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+4
22.6%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
22.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Gage LarvadainSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+3
22.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rashad Amos for 3 yds to the M-OH 42Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 16
OWN 45
-3
22.8%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rashad Amos for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 42Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+2
22.1%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 50 yds , Isaac Ross returns for 2 yds to the MASS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2022% → 21%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
21.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 4 yds TEAM fumbled, recovered by MASSSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
21.5%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+1
21.2%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the MASS 13Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
20.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gage Larvadain at the M-OH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:5180% → 90%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
20.3%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
20.2%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
20.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Gage LarvadainSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
20.4%
Rashad Amos run for 8 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+19
20.4%
Keyon Mozee run for 19 yds to the MASS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
10.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 13 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:3214% → 13%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+10
14.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 10 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
14.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Christian Wells for 5 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
14.1%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 5 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
14.6%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+21
14.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 21 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
14.3%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 12 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
14.7%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+3
13.8%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+52
12.9%
Cameron Carson 55 yd FG MISSED , Kevin Davis return for 52 yds to the MASS 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4613% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
12.5%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
13.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
13.0%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+32
12.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , Gage Larvadain returns for 32 yds to the MASS 46Similar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+32
12.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds , Gage Larvadain returns for 32 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3791% → 91%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
9.1%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 31Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
9.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-2
9.6%
Brett Gabbert sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 29Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
8.7%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:1712% → 21%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
12.4%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 9 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
13.1%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 4 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
13.0%
Carlos Davis pass complete to George Johnson III for 8 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+9
13.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 9 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
20.6%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2384% → 85%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.8%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
16.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 22 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
14.6%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 9
50
0
14.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Javon TracySimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 9
50
0
14.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie VirgilSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 9
50
0
15.0%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the MASS 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 0:0016% → 33%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
16.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+18
16.1%
Carlos Davis run for 18 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
16.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 11 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
18.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 11 yds to the M-OH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
18.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos pass incomplete short left to Ross,Isaac PENALTY UMass Holding offsetting UMU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
18.5%
Carlos Davis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the MASS 45Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 20
OWN 45
0
16.9%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+15
16.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Carlos sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UMass40 (Washington,Nasir) PENALTY UMU Face Mask (Washington,Nasir) 15 yards from UMass45 to UMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
18.5%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the M-OH 39Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
32.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the M-OH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3258% → 53%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
42.1%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+20
41.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 20 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
38.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Gage LarvadainSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
38.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Rashad Amos for 2 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
42.4%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
46.9%
Graham Nicholson 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20Uncategorized
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1152% → 51%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
51.7%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 21 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
55.7%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
55.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-4
52.2%
Carlos Davis sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
50.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4361% → 50%
Q4 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+3
60.8%
Anthony Simpson run for 3 yds to the M-OH 5Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
50.0%
George Johnson III 5 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Cameron Carson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
15.6%
Cade McDonald 1 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5517% → 13%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
17.2%
Carlos Davis pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 3 yds to the MASS 24Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
17.5%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
16.2%
Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+13
13.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds , Gage Larvadain returns for 13 yds to the MASS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0588% → 88%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Gage Larvadain for no gain to the MASS 45Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
11.9%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+4
12.1%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the MASS 37Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
12.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4814% → 11%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
13.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the MASS 20Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
13.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
12.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
11.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Gage Larvadain at the M-OH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:3190% → 98%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
10.5%
Rashad Amos run for 15 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
8.7%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
8.4%
Rashad Amos run for 8 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 13
OPP 29
0
8.7%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Gabbert) to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+7
9.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
2.3%
Graham Nicholson 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:235% → 5%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady pass intercepted by McKee,Yahsyn at UMU34 PENALTY UMU Roughing The Passer (Washington,Nasir) 15 yards from UMass25 to UMass40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
4.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady pass incomplete short left to Johnson,George PENALTY UMU Offside 5 yards from UMass40 to UMass45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 5
OWN 45
0
5.2%
Brady Olson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 3:0998% → 99%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
1.9%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the MASS 35Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+10
2.0%
Rashad Amos run for 10 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
1.9%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-1
1.2%
B. Gabbert takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:57
Cade McDonald 1 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)
-25.2
TD · Q3 7:51
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the M-OH 35
+14.3
TD · Q4 11:16
George Johnson III 5 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Cameron Carson Kick)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com