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BYU

BYU 34 at Oklahoma State 40

OKST
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:32 · Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 21Pregame prior+33.4Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:04: Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +17.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:53: Ollie Gordon II 2 Yd Run (Alan Bowman Pass to Rashod Owens for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +29.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 0:53: Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Hale PAT BLOCKED) — OKST win probability +51.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Will Ferrin 48 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +32.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: (00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short left to Johnson III,Leon PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Garrett,Kamden) 9 yards from BYU11 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. — OKST win probability +23.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:26OKST 4th & 3 at BYU 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48OKST 4th & 3 at BYU 3, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 29, up 6
    Close callPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:05OKST 4th & 1 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:51BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:23OKST 4th & 7 at BYU 38, down 8
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−0.7
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:08OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 13, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:58BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 39, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.8%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37BYU 4th & 10 at OKST 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:57BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:35BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:46OKST 4th & 22 at BYU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:09BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:05BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:35BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:47OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:23BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 35, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.2 ptsPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−6.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:02OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.1%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:24BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:47BYU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:29BYU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:04OKST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:53OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:53OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:2287% → 87%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
87.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 23 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
86.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 20 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
86.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+6
86.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
86.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
86.5%
Alex Hale 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:2814% → 14%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
86.3%
Jake Retzlaff run for 10 yds to the BYU 19 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by OKST Trey Rucker (11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake rush right for 10 yards loss to the BYU19 fumbled by Retzlaff,Jake at BYU24 recovered by OSU Rucker,Trey at BYU19, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4987% → 86%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
86.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 8 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
86.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
86.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the BYU 3Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
86.2%
Alex Hale 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0914% → 14%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.0%
Aidan Robbins run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
85.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
85.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the BYU 29 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by BYU Jake Retzlaff (08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Retzlaff,Jake rush middle for 4 yards loss to the BYU29 fumbled by Retzlaff,Jake at BYU29 recovered by BYU Retzlaff,Jake at BYU29, End Of Play.Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
86.0%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5986% → 86%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
85.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 6 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
85.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:5914% → 19%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
85.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 8 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+1
85.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+13
85.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 13 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
84.7%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Isaac Rex for 9 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+24
84.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 24 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
84.0%
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the OKST 11Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
83.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds to the OKST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
83.4%
Parker Kingston run for 7 yds to the OKST 2Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.6%
Jake Retzlaff run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-12
81.5%
Ferrin,Will onside kickoff 5 yards to the BYU40 PENALTY BYU Offside 5 yards from BYU35 to BYU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:0882% → 82%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
81.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
82.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
82.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
81.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 1
50
0
82.0%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 1
50
0
81.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0720% → 19%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
79.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the OKST 49Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
79.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+4
79.7%
Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
80.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-13
75.4%
Eddie Heckard 13 Yd Interception Return (Will Ferrin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 52 yds · 6:0075% → 69%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
75.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
74.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 13Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+12
73.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 12 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
73.6%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
72.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 18 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
73.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-5
73.6%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass complete short left to Bray,Jaden for 11 yards to the BYU33 (Vongphachanh,AJ), out of bounds PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Michalski,Joe) 5 yards from BYU44 to BYU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
73.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
71.9%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short left to Johnson III,Leon broken up by Garrett,Kamden PENALTY BYU Offside (Batty,Tyler) 5 yards from BYU46 to BYU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
71.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+3
69.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds Josiah Johnson fumbled, recovered by OKST (07:12) Bowman,Alan pass complete short right to Johnson,Josiah for 3 yards to the BYU38 fumbled by Johnson,Josiah at BYU38 forced by Heckard,Eddie, out of bounds at BYU38.Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
69.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:4732% → 51%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
68.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
68.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+25
67.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 25 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+50
64.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 50 yds to the OKST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
62.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the OKST 11Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
48.9%
Keelan Marion run for 11 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0157% → 54%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
56.9%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the OKST 6Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+7
56.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 7 yds to the OKST 13Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
55.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
54.3%
Wes Pahl punt for 50 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:1655% → 64%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
45.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
44.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
44.0%
PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BYU40 to BYU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
45.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+36
44.1%
Ryan Rehkow pass complete to Tyler Batty for 36 yds to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Mason FakahuaSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
40.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
40.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
36.3%
Will Ferrin 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:2345% → 43%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
44.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
44.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
43.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+8
42.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5562% → 64%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.1%
Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
35.9%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
34.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 3 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
35.6%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:3638% → 56%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the OKST 36Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+26
36.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 26 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
38.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 24 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
38.1%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short right to Presley,Brennan PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Lassiter,Darius) 12 yards from BYU14 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1850% → 55%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+14
49.5%
Keelan Marion run for 14 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.7%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
44.8%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
44.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
45.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:3545% → 36%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
45.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 20 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
45.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
47.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
46.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+15
45.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 15 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kody Epps) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
47.4%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
46.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 15
OPP 35
-10
45.0%
Alan Bowman sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 25
OPP 45
+3
39.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
36.2%
Hudson Kaak punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3262% → 62%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
38.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
38.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+3
38.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
38.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4335% → 34%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
35.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for 11 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
35.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
34.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Braden Cassity for no gain to the OKST 44Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+14
32.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 14 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
35.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
35.2%
PENALTY OSU False Start (Owens,Rashod) 5 yards from BYU42 to BYU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
33.6%
Alan Bowman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0570% → 70%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
30.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
29.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+9
30.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 9 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
29.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:0829% → 60%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
28.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
28.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 17Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+19
26.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 19 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
28.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+23
26.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 23 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
29.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
31.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
30.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 22 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
30.1%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short left to Johnson III,Leon broken up by Garrett,Kamden PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Garrett,Kamden) 5 yards from BYU07 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
59.7%
Ollie Gordon II 2 Yd Run (Alan Bowman Pass to Rashod Owens for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1455% → 58%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.1%
Keelan Marion run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
45.3%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Isaac Rex for 10 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
40.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
41.2%
Kody Epps run for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
39.6%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
42.4%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4848% → 43%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
47.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
47.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
44.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
43.1%
Hudson Kaak punt for 52 yds , Landon Rehkow returns for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1561% → 66%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
39.4%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
36.0%
Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
35.3%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
34.1%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2243% → 92%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
42.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 21Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
41.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 13 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
43.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 35Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
42.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 7 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
43.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+4
38.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 4 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
38.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+21
40.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 21 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
43.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
40.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
92.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Hale PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 0:4720% → 57%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
80.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 19 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Kody EppsSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
75.4%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 11 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.0%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
72.1%
Jake Retzlaff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
74.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 11 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
67.5%
Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
66.2%
Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the OKST 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+48
42.6%
Will Ferrin 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowman,Alan pass incomplete short left to Johnson III,Leon PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Garrett,Kamden) 9 yards from BYU11 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:53
Ollie Gordon II run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Hale PAT BLOCKED)
+51.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+34.4
FG · Q4 0:00
Will Ferrin 48 yd FG GOOD
-32.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com