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CIN

Cincinnati 21 at West Virginia 42

WVU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:57 · Mason Fletcher punt for 33 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the CIN 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense+7.9Score differential+2.5Pregame prior+10.8Garbage-time factor+0.5Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:52: Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +7.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:07: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +11.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:32: Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK) — CIN win probability +11.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:40: Garrett Greene run for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +8.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:39: Garrett Greene run for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:33WVU 4th & 16 at CIN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:40WVU 4th & 1 at CIN 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53CIN 4th & 2 at CIN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:16CIN 4th & 15 at CIN 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:29WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:57CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:48CIN 4th & 8 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:39CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:47CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 38, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48WVU 4th & 1 at CIN 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:40WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:52WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:07WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:32CIN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:40WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:39WVU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:31WVU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:29CIN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:11CIN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:2368% → 67%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
67.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 28 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
67.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 12 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
67.6%
Jahiem White run for 11 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.6%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the CIN 28Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
67.6%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Devin thrown to the CIN10. PENALTY WVU Holding on TAYLOR, Kole enforced 10 yards from the CIN28 to the CIN38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+4
67.6%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
67.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+52
67.2%
Michael Hayes 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1133% → 33%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
67.2%
Brady Lichtenberg pass complete to Evan Prater for 3 yds to the CIN 37Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
67.1%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 42Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
67.0%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 43Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
66.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds, downed at the WVU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 91 yds · 6:4267% → 70%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
67.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+18
66.9%
Jahiem White run for 18 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
67.1%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 23Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+10
67.0%
Jahiem White run for 10 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
66.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
67.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+15
67.3%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FOX, Preston thrown to the CIN14. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on CARROLL, Kalen enforced 15 yards to the CIN45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
67.7%
Garrett Greene run for 22 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
67.8%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the CIN 15Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
67.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
67.1%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
67.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 5 yds to the CIN 7Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
67.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+4
67.0%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 3Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+3
70.4%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4730% → 31%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for 5 yds to the CIN 30Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
69.2%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
69.0%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
68.7%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
68.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for no gain to the CIN 46Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
69.5%
Mason Fletcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 2:0170% → 77%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
70.1%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-1
70.0%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 17Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+8
69.5%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
76.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:3025% → 24%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
75.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.0%
Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 23Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-9
75.0%
run for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 14Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+1
75.4%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the CIN 15Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
76.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4779% → 78%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
78.6%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
79.0%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-1
78.4%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
78.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3223% → 22%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
76.9%
Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 15Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-1
77.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 14Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+3
77.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 3 yds to the CIN 17Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
78.2%
Mason Fletcher punt for 33 yds , Preston Fox returns for no gain to the CIN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:5080% → 91%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
79.8%
Garrett Greene run for 27 yds to the CIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3512% → 23%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.9%
Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 32Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
87.4%
Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
87.3%
Brady Lichtenberg sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 31Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+15
88.1%
Brady Lichtenberg run for 15 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.3%
Brady Lichtenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
87.5%
Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+7
86.9%
Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.5%
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 40 Ryan Montgomery fumbled, recovered by CIN Ryan Montgomery [NHSG] MONTGOMERY, Ryan rush up the middle for no gain, MONTGOMERY, Ryan fumbled at WVU40 , recovered by CIN MONTGOMERY, Ryan at the WVU40, returned 0 yards to the WVU40 (MARTIN, Sean).Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+22
89.2%
pass complete to Evan Prater for 22 yds to the WVU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
88.7%
Brady Lichtenberg run for 17 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.5%
West Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) to the WVU 1Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.2%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5284% → 94%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
84.4%
Garrett Greene run for 30 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
85.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 15 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
85.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
93.6%
Garrett Greene run for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:409% → 9%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 2 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
91.6%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
91.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 16 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:128% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
91.3%
Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.6%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
91.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
91.5%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
50
0
91.3%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
50
0
91.6%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 8
50
0
93.3%
Mason Fletcher punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 7:0994% → 100%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
94.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 16 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
94.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher for 7 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+8
94.4%
Jahiem White run for 8 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
94.5%
Jahiem White run for 17 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
94.6%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
94.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
94.5%
Jahiem White run for 8 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
94.6%
Rodney Gallagher run for 2 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+6
94.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 6 yds to the CIN 18Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+3
94.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
94.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 18Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+18
99.5%
Garrett Greene run for 18 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:001% → 0%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, downed at the WVU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 20 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Devin Carter for 20 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.6%
Jahiem White run for 14 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
99.6%
Jahiem White run for 16 yds to the CIN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
6 plays · 96 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.8%
Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+11
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-6
99.8%
Emory Jones sacked by Mike Lockhart for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+55
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 55 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 30 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:42100% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.8%
Jahiem White run for 21 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
99.8%
Jahiem White run for 47 yds to the CIN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.8%
West Virginia Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CIN 12Similar
Q4 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
99.8%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the CIN 10Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 2 yds to the CIN 8Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
99.9%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the left complete for 8 yards to TAYLOR, Kole caught at the CIN0 and advanced to the CIN0, TOUCHDOWN WVU, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:57 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY WVU Tripping on WHITE, Jahiem enforced 15 yards from the CIN8 to the CIN23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
-16
99.9%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Ken Willis return for 16 yds to the CIN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:360% → 1%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 16 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Cincinnati Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Emory Jones) to the CIN 23Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 21
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the CIN 30Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 38Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+25
99.9%
Emory Jones run for 25 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+7
99.9%
Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
JONES, Emory pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PRATER, Evan thrown to the WVU0. PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on BISHOP JR., Beanie enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the WVU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:1199% → 100%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+18
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.2%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 48Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
99.6%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
99.6%
Justin Johnson Jr. run for 26 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.7%
[SG] Kneel down by WVU at CIN13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:32
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Carter Brown KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q2 6:07
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q2 0:40
Garrett Greene run for 26 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com