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KSU

Kansas State 31 at Kansas 27

KU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · W. Howard takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: Keagan Johnson 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Lawrence Arnold 5 Yd pass from Cole Ballard (Seth Keller Kick) — KU win probability +10.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:28: Devin Neal 2 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick) — KU win probability +13.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:35: DJ Giddens 1 Yd Run (Will Howard Run for Two-Point Conversion) — KSU win probability +19.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 10:22: Will Howard 15 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick) — KSU win probability +29.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q4 13:23KSU 4th & 22 at KSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−9.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15KSU 4th & 8 at KU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:43KU 4th & 2 at KSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:23KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:08KSU 4th & 3 at KU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:13KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:36KU 4th & 4 at KU 48, up 11
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:50KU 4th & 8 at KSU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−2.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:50KU 4th & 8 at KSU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−2.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:33KU 4th & 5 at KSU 11, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.1 ptsWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%−3.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    35.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−15.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:44KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:05KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:55KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:24KSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:28KU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:35KSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:22KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:5052% → 48%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
48.0%
DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
49.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 16
OWN 21
-6
50.6%
Will Howard sacked by Austin Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 15Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 22
OWN 15
0
52.3%
Jack Blumer punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0365% → 65%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
34.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 46 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
35.0%
DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
35.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
35.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
34.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0635% → 35%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
35.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
35.0%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
35.0%
Damon Greaves punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0765% → 65%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
35.0%
DJ Giddens run for 12 yds to the KSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
34.9%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 4 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
34.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+9
34.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 9 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
34.7%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short left to Brooks,Phillip PENALTY KAN Holding (Grant,Marvin) 10 yards from KSU39 to KSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
34.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
34.5%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KU 49Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
34.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
34.7%
Jack Blumer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 6:0635% → 41%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
35.0%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 12 yds to the KU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
35.1%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 5 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
35.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 33Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+8
34.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 8 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
35.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
35.9%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
36.2%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Devin NealSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
36.0%
Torry Locklin run for 5 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+3
36.3%
Cole Ballard run for 3 yds to the KSU 41Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+5
35.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 5 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
41.4%
Devin Neal run for 36 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3561% → 60%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.2%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Ben SinnottSimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
40.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 34Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
40.1%
Jack Blumer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevor Wilson at the KU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 4:0541% → 51%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
40.9%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+27
41.2%
Cole Ballard run for 27 yds to the KSU 47 Cole Ballard fumbled, recovered by KU Jared Casey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
43.0%
Devin Neal run for 8 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
43.5%
Devin Neal run for 1 yd to the KSU 40Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
43.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 4 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
44.2%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 33 yds to the KSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+6
44.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KSU 9Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
50.6%
Devin Neal 9 Yd Run (Seth Keller PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2455% → 64%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
44.9%
DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
44.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
42.9%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
43.1%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short left to Jackson,Jadon, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KAN Pass Interference (Bryant,Cobee) 14 yards from KAN44 to KAN30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
42.4%
DJ Giddens run for 7 yds to the KU 23Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
42.5%
Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for no gain to the KU 23Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
46.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
47.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+10
47.3%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete short right to Brown,Jayce PENALTY KAN Holding (Dotson,Ra'Mello) 10 yards from KAN23 to KAN13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
45.0%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
36.4%
Keagan Johnson 11 Yd pass from Will Howard (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5540% → 53%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
40.0%
Cole Ballard sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 8 yards to the KU 17Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+17
39.8%
Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
41.1%
Torry Locklin run for 10 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
42.6%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+12
43.0%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Sevion Morrison for 12 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
43.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Luke Grimm for 3 yds to the KSU 39Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
44.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
43.9%
Cole Ballard run for 1 yd to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
45.9%
Cole Ballard run for 3 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
46.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
46.3%
(01:03) Shotgun Ballard,Cole pass incomplete deep right to Arnold,Lawrence, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Garber,Keenan) 15 yards from KSU20 to KSU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.3%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Torry LocklinSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.3%
Cole Ballard run for no gain to the KSU 5Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.7%
Lawrence Arnold 5 Yd pass from Cole Ballard (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
53.3%
PENALTY KSU Roughing The Passer (Romaine,Austin) 15 yards from KAN35 to KAN50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.4%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:1953% → 70%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+59
52.7%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 59 yds to the KSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
56.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KSU 2Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.3%
Devin Neal 2 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0733% → 31%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 6 yds to the KSU 31Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
66.9%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 32Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
68.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to DJ GiddensSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
69.5%
Jack Blumer punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3072% → 71%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
71.6%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
72.3%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
71.8%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Quentin SkinnerSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
70.9%
Damon Greaves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:5530% → 51%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
70.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+52
70.4%
Treshaun Ward run for 52 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jadon JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
66.8%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the KU 34Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+13
68.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 13 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
67.0%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 13Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
67.4%
DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KU 13Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
69.6%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
68.5%
Phillip Brooks run for 8 yds to the KU 1Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.8%
DJ Giddens 1 Yd Run (Will Howard Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3159% → 56%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
59.0%
Devin Neal run for 4 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+2
57.1%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
56.1%
Cole Ballard pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:0448% → 47%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
52.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 12 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
52.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
53.4%
Will Howard pass intercepted Mello Dotson return for no gain to the KU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17Uncategorized
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:3758% → 60%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
58.2%
Devin Neal run for 14 yds to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
61.4%
Devin Neal run for 10 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
63.1%
(02:08) Shotgun Ballard,Cole rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU43 (Moore,Austin), out of bounds PENALTY KAN Holding (Baynes,Kobe) 10 yards from KSU46 to KAN44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+2
60.5%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+2
60.4%
Devin Neal run for 2 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+8
59.2%
Cole Ballard run for 8 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
59.5%
Damon Greaves punt for 32 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
59.5%
Damon Greaves punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4841% → 74%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
58.7%
DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 42Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+6
61.8%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+29
60.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Jayce Brown for 29 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
55.7%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KU 15Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
55.7%
Phillip Brooks run for no gain to the KU 15Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
26.4%
Will Howard 15 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:4237% → 37%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.8%
Devin Neal run for 6 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
38.7%
Devin Neal run for 17 yds to the KU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
41.0%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Quentin Skinner for 18 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
44.3%
Cole Ballard run for 18 yds to the KSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
44.5%
Cole Ballard sacked by Beau Palmer for a loss of 7 yards to the KSU 23Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+2
40.5%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Devin Neal for 2 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+10
37.2%
Cole Ballard run for 10 yds to the KSU 11Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 5
OPP 11
0
37.3%
Cole Ballard pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20END OF GAME
16 plays · 12 yds · 5:2475% → 94%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.1%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 25Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
23.8%
DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
22.7%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
21.7%
DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 37Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
16.3%
DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
14.5%
DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 46Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
13.5%
DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+9
13.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the KU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-16
8.6%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 26
OWN 41
-6
9.0%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 32
OWN 35
-3
5.9%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:22
Will Howard 15 Yd Run (Chris Tennant Kick)
-29.3
TD · Q3 6:35
DJ Giddens 1 Yd Run (Will Howard Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-19.7
TD · Q3 13:28
Devin Neal 2 Yd Run (Seth Keller Kick)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com